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Result Race of the Day 17:30 · Southwell

Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap

Class 5Handicap1m 3f 23yStandard4YO plus · 11 ran£3,716 to the winnerLight rain 4 experts
Analyst verdict Locked 09:49 BST · #ceeca8 · updated 17:27 BST (v2)
A muddling handicap with no runner strong enough to back with real confidence.

None of today's fancied runners show a clear enough edge over their price to justify a confident recommendation. There are a couple of interesting cases, but not strong enough to back with conviction.

How the race should unfoldNo obvious pace-setter: the usual front-runner is well below its best, so the lead is likely to shift during the race. The market favourite's stable has been short of winners lately, leaving a question mark over it, while one class-dropper looks capable of running better than its position in the betting suggests.
1
Celestias Comet
Sent off the market favourite, but its stable has gone a long run without a winner, so the chance here looks a touch overstated.
16% / 18%
2
Mao Shang Wong
A model of consistency with a trainer-jockey combination that clicks well, though it has been known to find little when asked for an effort.
14% / 14%
3
Flightofthephoenix
Three narrow near-misses in similar company, with a slow start used to explain away the latest defeat, though the case isn't overwhelming.
12% / 14%
4
Optician
Drops into an easier class after two close efforts at a tougher level, and looks capable of outrunning its current position in the betting.
11% / 8%
5
Everyoneknowsadave
Has won over this course and distance before and drops in grade today, but its stable has been firmly out of form.
9% / 11%
Red flags
The favourite's stable has gone winless through a long run of recent starts.Another contender's yard is also out of form despite decent course-and-distance form on paper.No clear leader in the race, so the shape and pace are hard to predict.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

4 experts
Celestias Comet (IRE)
3 experts · 2 with a strong record
Everyoneknowsadave (IRE)
1 expert · 1 with a strong record

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Optician6.006.20
Sigliosa6.406.60
Celestias Comet (IRE): 4.80 at 16:43 → 5.70 at 17:29.
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Southwell 1m 2f+

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Led1.081.70—Prominent1.141.161.06Mid-div0.581.120.95Held up0.670.950.75
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 2m 28.24s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Celestias Comet — 9th.

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (1)
Everyoneknowsadave (IRE)
4yo · 9-9 · OR 75
214286 J George Wood 3% T Jessica Macey 0/8 9% / 12% 7.80 8.00
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
23 Sep 26Redcar1m 2f 1yGoodC46/124¾L6.00
11 Sep 26Doncaster1m 2f 43yGoodC48/175½L6.00
31 Aug 26Southwell1m 3f 23yStandardC52/7shd10.0
4 wins from 27 · placed 10
Course winner: 2 wins from 10 here
Last ran 29 days ago
Trainer Jessica Macey: 0/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey George Wood: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/14Trip 1m1f+: 2/18Course AW: 3/14Class C5: 4/22Field 9–12: 2/16
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 9% · market 12%
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2 (5)
Mao Shang Wong (IRE)
4yo · 9-8 · OR 74
027523 J Cieren Fallon 12% T D O'Meara 5/44 14% / 9% 11.5 12.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
16 Sep 26Beverley1m 1f 207yGoodC53/102L7.00
03 Sep 26Newcastle1m 2f 42yStandardC52/92L12.0
03 Aug 26Ripon1m 1f 170yGoodC45/57¾L9.00
3 wins from 19 · placed 8
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 36 days ago
Trainer D O'Meara: 5/44 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Cieren Fallon: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/12Trip 1m1f+: 3/16Course AW: 1/12Class C5: 2/13Field 9–12: 1/11
Our chance 14% · market 9%
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3 (4)
Optician
6yo · 9-8 · OR 74
529320 J Jason Hart 11% T M Herrington 6/17 11% / 16% 6.00 6.20
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
10 Oct 26York1m 2f 56yGood-good to soft in placesC415/1945½L21.0
23 Sep 26Redcar1m 2f 1yGoodC42/121L13.0
11 Sep 26Doncaster1m 2f 43yGoodC43/172½L17.0
6 wins from 41 · placed 19
4 runs here without a win
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer M Herrington: 6/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jason Hart: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 6/21Trip 1m1f+: 7/38Course AW: 6/21Class C5: 2/15Field 9–12: 3/17
Our chance 11% · market 16%
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4 (10)
Sigliosa
4yo · 9-7 · OR 73
353634 J Jason Watson 8% T Dan Horsford 0/3 — / 15% 6.40 6.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
07 Oct 26Nottingham1m 2f 50yGood-good to firm in placesC44/103L15.0
12 Sep 26Chester1m 4f 63ySoftC43/111½L8.00
17 Aug 26Wolverhampton1m 4f 51yStandardC56/103¾L23.0
0 wins from 8 · placed 3
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer Dan Horsford: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jason Watson: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/2Trip 1m1f+: 0/8Course AW: 0/2Class C5: 0/2Field 9–12: 0/5
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5 (7)
Flightofthephoenix (IRE)
4yo · 9-7 · OR 73
211634 J Finley Marsh 6% T Charles Hills 2/12 12% / 12% 8.20 8.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
10 Oct 26Southwell1m 4f 14yStandardC54/114¼L8.50
26 Sep 26Southwell1m 4f 14yStandardC53/81¼L6.00
03 Sep 26Haydock Park1m 3f 140ySoftC56/115¼L4.50
2 wins from 17 · placed 9
Won 1 of 1 at around this trip
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Charles Hills: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Finley Marsh: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/13Trip 1m1f+: 2/13Course AW: 1/13Class C5: 2/16Field 9–12: 1/12
Our chance 12% · market 12%
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6 (9)
Celestias Comet (IRE) h
4yo · 9-6 · OR 72
655172 J D Egan 17% T J R Fanshawe 1/14 16% / 17% 5.70 5.90
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
01 Oct 26Nottingham1m 2f 50yGood-good to firm in placesC52/141¼L5.00
29 Jul 26Sandown Park1m 1f 209yGood To FirmC57/1017L9.00
04 Jul 26Nottingham1m 2f 50yGood To FirmC51/6—2.88
2 wins from 12 · placed 5
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 21 days ago
Trainer J R Fanshawe: 1/14 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Egan: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/5Trip 1m1f+: 1/7Course AW: 1/5Class C5: 2/8Field 9–12: 0/5
3 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record
Our chance 16% · market 17%
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7 (11)
Twilight Moon p
4yo · 9-5 · OR 71
166534 J Dougie Costello 0% T Marcus Tregoning 0/6 — / 2% 40.0 46.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
03 Sep 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC54/62¾L3.75
30 Jul 26Epsom Downs1m 4f 6yGood To FirmC53/53¾L11.0
03 Jul 26Chepstow1m 4fGood To FirmC55/513¾L7.50
4 wins from 22 · placed 11
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 49 days ago
Trainer Marcus Tregoning: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Dougie Costello: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 2/7Trip 1m1f+: 4/17Course AW: 2/7Class C5: 4/15Field 9–12: 1/8
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8 (2)
Pomme Pomme (IRE) p
4yo · 9-2 · OR 68
953708 J Rose Dawes (3) 17% T Jack Channon 1/10 — / 2% 44.0 50.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
29 Sep 26Bath1m 2f 37yGood to firm-good in placesC58/1021¼L13.0
03 Sep 26Haydock Park1m 2f 42ySoftC412/1321¾L15.0
22 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 2fStandardC47/97¾L26.0
5 wins from 17 · placed 8
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 23 days ago
Trainer Jack Channon: 1/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rose Dawes: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/4Trip 1m1f+: 5/16Course AW: 1/4Class C5: 1/7Field 9–12: 4/10
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9 (6)
Rodoya (IRE) b
4yo · 9-1 · OR 67
386885 J Ryan Sexton 22% T Miss J A Camacho 1/20 — / 2% 50.0 55.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
01 Oct 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC55/117L34.0
03 Sep 26Newcastle1m 2f 42yStandardC58/96¾L51.0
15 Jan 26Chelmsford City1m 2fStandardC48/99¾L67.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 21 days ago
Trainer Miss J A Camacho: 1/20 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ryan Sexton: 22% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/5Trip 1m1f+: 0/6Course AW: 0/5Class C5: 0/3Field 9–12: 0/5
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10 (8)
Bint Al Daar v
6yo · 9-1 · OR 67
879048 J Daniel Muscutt 15% T Kevin & Lauren Frost 0/21 — / 7% 14.5 15.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
23 Sep 26Goodwood1m 6fGoodC38/816½L17.0
11 Sep 26Doncaster1m 3f 197yGoodC24/106L151.0
21 Aug 26York1m 2f 56yGood To SoftC211/148¼L67.0
5 wins from 46 · placed 17
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
Last ran 29 days ago
Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost: 0/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Daniel Muscutt: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/22Trip 1m1f+: 4/38Course AW: 3/22Class C5: 1/10Field 9–12: 2/19
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11 (3)
Golspie (IRE) p
6yo · 8-10 · OR 62
363314 J Paddy Bradley 4% T P Morris 1/9 — / 5% 20.0 22.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
29 Sep 26Wolverhampton1m 4f 51yStandardC64/61¼L6.00
17 Sep 26Southwell1m 3f 23yStandardC61/9—2.88
31 Aug 26Southwell1m 3f 23yStandardC53/73¾L7.00
4 wins from 49 · placed 19
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
Last ran 23 days ago
Trainer P Morris: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Paddy Bradley: 4% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 2/35Trip 1m1f+: 3/43Course AW: 2/35Class C5: 1/27Field 9–12: 3/25
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