Result Race of the Day 17:00 · Newcastle

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Class 5Handicap1m 4f 98yStandard3YO plus · 11 ran£3,978 to the winnerPartly cloudy 5 experts

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Analyst verdict Locked 09:15 BST · #6d504d · updated 16:16 BST (v2)

L'Eagle Aid looks the sounder favourite, with Junkyard Dog an each-way outsider worth chancing.

Our chance

27% 1 in 4

Market (Betfair)

23% 3.90

Worth it down to

3.75

Confidence

Medium · Tier B

Also backing: Junkyard Dog at 6.40 or bigger

How the race should unfoldClansman may try to make all the running, but others look better placed. The market has warmed to Mr Moonshine despite a poor recent run, while L'Eagle Aid brings steadier form and course know-how. Junkyard Dog, racing off a modest mark, could have more in hand than his price suggests.

L'Eagle Aid

L'Eagle Aid has been in solid form, has won over this course and distance before, and looks better supported by the team behind him than his price suggests.

27% / 23%

Mr Moonshine

Mr Moonshine has been backed into favourite but trailed home well beaten only two weeks ago, making him hard to trust.

20% / 17%

Junkyard Dog

Junkyard Dog is racing off a lenient mark, finished his last race strongly, and has a helpful draw, so there could be more to come.

16% / 14%

Jujubella

Jujubella ran well over this same course and distance recently, but a sharp move out in price beforehand is a reason for caution.

11% / 18%

Clansman

Clansman is the most likely to lead and could be hard to catch if allowed an easy time in front, but his last effort and fading form are a concern.

6% / 5%

Red flags

L'Eagle Aid carries a high weight in a field of eleven, which has historically been a tough ask.Junkyard Dog's current rating isn't at his career peak, which slightly weakens the case for hidden improvement.Jujubella's price lengthened noticeably before the race, which can be a sign of a hidden worry rather than value.

Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

5 experts

L'Eagle Aid (IRE)

2 experts · 2 with a strong record

Junkyard Dog (IRE)

2 experts · 2 with a strong record

Mr Moonshine (IRE)

1 expert · 1 with a strong record

Our analyst and the proven experts agree on L'Eagle Aid.

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Mr Moonshine (IRE)3.803.85

L'Eagle Aid (IRE)3.903.95

Junkyard Dog (IRE)6.406.60

Jujubella (IRE)8.408.80

Molinari (IRE)11.512.0

Clansman17.018.0

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Track bias · Newcastle 1m 2f+

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons

Low drawMiddleHigh draw Led1.300.802.65Prominent1.060.840.99Mid-div1.281.461.17Held up0.630.570.86

Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 2m 40.98s · Report

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Beaten	SP	BSP
1	Jujubella (IRE)	O J Orr	Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore	—	7.50	9.82
2	Junkyard Dog (IRE) Our pick	A Mullen	I Jardine	nk	5.50	7.40
3	L'Eagle Aid (IRE) Our pick	Rowan Scott	C Johnston	1¾L	3.00	3.60
4	Mr Moonshine (IRE)	Warren Fentiman	R A Fahey	6L	3.25	3.55
5	Rodoya (IRE)	Tom Kiely-Marshall	Miss J A Camacho	7L	34.0	40.0
6	Sogniamo	C J Whiteley	D O'Meara	11¾L	41.0	62.5
7	Beckon	Cam Hardie	S Corbett	14L	34.0	65.0
8	Clansman	Billy Garritty	Liam Bailey	14¼L	15.0	19.5
9	Sophiesticate (IRE)	Shay Farmer	R Mike Smith	61¼L	81.0	166.5
10	Moon Sniper (GB)	William Pyle	Jessica Bedi	85¼L	101.0	270.0
PU	Molinari (IRE)	P Mulrennan	M Todhunter	—	10.0	13.5

How our analyst did

L'Eagle Aid3rdBSP 3.60−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Junkyard Dog2ndBSP 7.40−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon

1 (3)

Moon Sniper (GB) p,t1

4yo · 10-2 · OR 70

343356 J William Pyle 8% T Jessica Bedi 0/7 — / 1% 110.0 160.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
20 Apr 26	Newcastle	1m 4f 110y	Standard	C5	6/6	82¼L	19.0
30 Jan 26	Southwell	1m 6f	Standard	C4	5/7	3¾L	4.00
13 Jan 26	Southwell	1m 4f	Standard	C4	3/6	½L	17.0

1 win from 18 · placed 7

Course winner: 1 win from 3 here

First time in cheekpieces and a tongue strap

Trainer Jessica Bedi: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey William Pyle: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 1/9Trip 1m1f+: 1/13Course AW: 1/9Class C5: 1/7Field 9–12: 1/7

Full profile →Jockey William Pyle Trainer Jessica Bedi

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2 (4)

Rodoya (IRE) b

4yo · 10-2 · OR 70

138688 J Tom Kiely-Marshall (3) 3% T Miss J A Camacho 1/24 — / 2% 44.0 50.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
03 Sep 26	Newcastle	1m 2f 42y	Standard	C5	8/9	6¾L	51.0
15 Jan 26	Chelmsford City	1m 2f	Standard	C4	8/9	9¾L	67.0
01 Dec 25	Wolverhampton	2m 110y	Standard	C4	6/6	69¾L	41.0

0 wins from 4 · placed 0

1 run here without a win

Last ran 28 days ago

Trainer Miss J A Camacho: 1/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 0/4Trip 1m1f+: 0/5Course AW: 0/4Class C5: 0/2Field 9–12: 0/4

Full profile →Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall Trainer Miss J A Camacho

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3 (7)

Clansman

8yo · 10-2 · OR 70

133107 J Billy Garritty 10% T Liam Bailey 1/8 6% / 6% 17.0 18.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
29 Aug 26	Beverley	1m 4f 23y	Soft (Heavy in places)	C5	7/8	13¼L	13.0
27 Jun 26	Newcastle	2m 56y	Standard To Slow	C2	17/20	12L	51.0
29 Apr 26	Southwell	2m 110y	Standard	C5	1/5	—	9.50

8 wins from 46 · placed 21

Course winner: 1 win from 7 here

Last ran 33 days ago

Trainer Liam Bailey: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Billy Garritty: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 2/14Trip 1m1f+: 8/44Course AW: 2/14Class C5: 5/23Field 9–12: 4/21

Our chance 6% · market 6%

Full profile →Jockey Billy Garritty Trainer Liam Bailey

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4 (1)

L'Eagle Aid (IRE) p Our pick

5yo · 10-2 · OR 70

353363 J Rowan Scott 16% T C Johnston 6/52 27% / 25% 3.90 3.95

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
24 Sep 26	Pontefract	1m 4f 5y	Good	C5	3/8	¾L	5.50
29 Aug 26	Beverley	1m 4f 23y	Soft (Heavy in places)	C5	6/8	9½L	5.00
02 Aug 26	Chester	1m 4f 63y	Good	C4	3/7	3L	12.0

3 wins from 25 · placed 14

Course winner: 1 win from 2 here

Last ran 7 days ago

Trainer C Johnston: 6/52 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Rowan Scott: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 1/7Trip 1m1f+: 3/24Course AW: 1/7Class C5: 3/17Field 9–12: 1/8

2 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record

Our chance 27% · market 25%

Full profile →Jockey Rowan Scott Trainer C Johnston

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5 (9)

Junkyard Dog (IRE) v Our pick

4yo · 10-0 · OR 68

589214 J A Mullen 12% T I Jardine 6/27 16% / 15% 6.40 6.60

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
03 Sep 26	Newcastle	1m 2f 42y	Standard	C5	4/9	3¾L	6.00
06 Aug 26	Southwell	1m 3f 23y	Standard	C6	1/11	—	10.0
04 Jul 26	Carlisle	1m 3f 39y	Good	C5	2/5	3¼L	26.0

2 wins from 20 · placed 4

3 runs here without a win

Last ran 28 days ago

Trainer I Jardine: 6/27 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey A Mullen: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 1/4Trip 1m1f+: 2/11Course AW: 1/4Class C5: 0/7Field 9–12: 1/11

2 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record

Our chance 16% · market 15%

Full profile →Jockey A Mullen Trainer I Jardine

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6 (2)

Jujubella (IRE) p

5yo · 9-12 · OR 66

532302 J O J Orr 7% T Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 4/34 11% / 12% 8.40 8.80

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
05 Sep 26	Newcastle	1m 4f 99y	Standard	C5	2/6	1½L	2.50
30 Jul 26	Galway	1m 4f	Yielding To Soft	—	14/17	13½L	11.0
11 Jul 26	Hamilton Park	1m 3f 15y	Good	C5	3/6	3¼L	2.75

4 wins from 28 · placed 12

Course winner: 3 wins from 12 here

Last ran 26 days ago

Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore: 4/34 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey O J Orr: 7% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 4/14Trip 1m1f+: 5/22Course AW: 4/14Class C5: 2/10Field 9–12: 2/17

Our chance 11% · market 12%

Full profile →Jockey O J Orr Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

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7 (11)

Mr Moonshine (IRE) p

3yo · 9-10 · OR 70

523310 J Warren Fentiman (3) 5% T R A Fahey 3/37 20% / 26% 3.80 3.85

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
18 Sep 26	Ayr	1m 5f 26y	Soft	C5	10/10	104½L	10.0
03 Sep 26	Southwell	1m 4f 14y	Standard	C5	1/7	—	4.33
13 Aug 26	Beverley	1m 4f 23y	Good To Firm	C5	3/5	5L	3.25

1 win from 11 · placed 5

Won 1 of 3 at around this trip

Last ran 13 days ago

Trainer R A Fahey: 3/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Warren Fentiman: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 1/3Trip 1m1f+: 1/8Course AW: 1/3Class C5: 1/11Field 9–12: 0/5

1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 20% · market 26%

Full profile →Jockey Warren Fentiman Trainer R A Fahey

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8 (6)

Molinari (IRE)

9yo · 9-9 · OR 63

204860 J P Mulrennan 15% T M Todhunter 0/3 — / 9% 11.5 12.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
10 Aug 26	Ayr	1m 2f	Good To Soft	C4	12/13	17¾L	34.0
25 Jul 26	Newcastle	1m 4f 98y	Standard To Slow	C4	6/13	13½L	41.0
19 Jun 26	Ayr	1m 2f	Soft	C4	8/10	16L	26.0

6 wins from 56 · placed 27

Course winner: 2 wins from 12 here

Last ran 52 days ago

Trainer M Todhunter: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey P Mulrennan: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 2/16Trip 1m1f+: 6/55Course AW: 2/16Class C5: 5/24Field 9–12: 3/29

Full profile →Jockey P Mulrennan Trainer M Todhunter

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9 (10)

Sogniamo p,t

3yo · 9-4 · OR 64

175688 J C J Whiteley (5) 9% T D O'Meara 4/45 — / 2% 50.0 60.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
20 Sep 26	Hamilton Park	1m 1f 35y	Heavy	C5	8/9	35¼L	51.0
22 Aug 26	Redcar	1m 2f 1y	Good	C5	8/9	8¾L	17.0
11 Aug 26	Hamilton Park	1m 68y	Good	C5	6/9	6¼L	13.0

1 win from 7 · placed 1

First time at this course and trip

Last ran 11 days ago

Trainer D O'Meara: 4/45 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey C J Whiteley: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 0/1Trip 1m1f+: 1/5Course AW: 0/1Class C5: 0/5Field 9–12: 0/5

Full profile →Jockey C J Whiteley Trainer D O'Meara

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10 (8)

Sophiesticate (IRE)

7yo · 9-1 · OR 55

333168 J Shay Farmer (5) 0% T R Mike Smith 0/12 — / 1% 130.0 300.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
18 Sep 26	Ayr	1m 5f 26y	Soft	C5	8/10	27½L	81.0
02 Sep 26	Hamilton Park	1m 3f 15y	Soft	C6	6/8	15½L	9.00
31 Jul 26	Musselburgh	1m 5f	Good	C6	1/9	—	3.75

5 wins from 53 · placed 20

Won 3 of 9 at around this trip

Last ran 13 days ago

Trainer R Mike Smith: 0/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Shay Farmer: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 0/3Trip 1m1f+: 5/49Course AW: 0/3Class C5: 2/19Field 9–12: 1/24

Full profile →Jockey Shay Farmer Trainer R Mike Smith

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11 (5)

Beckon

3yo · 9-1 · OR 61

639905 J Cam Hardie 0% T S Corbett 1/10 — / 2% 44.0 50.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
25 Sep 26	Newcastle	1m 4f 98y	Standard	C6	5/12	3½L	34.0
09 Sep 26	Redcar	7f 219y	Good	C6	14/19	11½L	81.0
19 Aug 26	Carlisle	7f 173y	Good To Soft	C5	9/9	27L	126.0

1 win from 9 · placed 3

Course winner: 1 win from 2 here

Last ran 6 days ago

Trainer S Corbett: 1/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Cam Hardie: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going AW: 1/7Trip 1m1f+: 0/2Course AW: 1/7Class C5: 1/7Field 9–12: 0/5

Full profile →Jockey Cam Hardie Trainer S Corbett

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Expert confidence?

Betfair Exchange · Win

Track bias · Newcastle 1m 2f+?

Result

Runners

Expert confidence

Track bias · Newcastle 1m 2f+