Friday 23 October › Doncaster › 17:05
William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap (Div 2)
Class 4? Handicap? 6f 2y? Soft-good to soft in places · GoingStick 4.8? 3YO plus · 11 ran £5,653 to the winner showery
6 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 12:22 BST · #24d6a8 · updated 17:01 BST (v2)
No clear betting edge in this Doncaster sprint, with the favourite carrying extra weight.
There are a couple of interesting clues among the chasing group, but nothing stands out strongly enough to back with real confidence. The favourite's big weight burden in a full field is historically an unfavourable combination, so it's best watched rather than backed.
How the race should unfold Jellystone Park should set a strong, even pace up front, but that horse's own recent form is modest. The favourite Intense Vision drops in class after tough runs but must carry top weight in a well-filled field, a combination that often works against short-priced horses.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Intense Vision Drops two levels in class after racing in much stronger fields, but carries the heaviest weight in a field of eleven.
30% / 23%
2
Angel Gabriel Had a reasonable excuse for finishing third last time, is dropping in class, and has been attracting growing support.
25% / 22%
3
French Affair Dependable form overall, though nothing here marks it out beyond where the market already has it.
12% / 14%
4
Never Just A Dream Has shown much better form in the past, but has been well below that peak lately and is returning from a lengthy break.
9% / 10%
5
Mythical Phoenix Price has shortened sharply, there's a fair excuse for its last defeat, and today's shorter trip should suit it better.
7% / 3%
Red flags Carrying top weight in a full field has historically been a tough combination for favourites here. The likely pace-setter, Jellystone Park, has weak recent form of its own despite shaping the race. Soft and soft-in-places ground adds an extra layer of unpredictability to the form.
Expert confidence? 6 experts
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Doncaster 5f–6f?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Prominent 0.80 1.21 1.08 Mid-div 0.84 0.56 1.75 Held up 0.57 0.52 0.42
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 1m 17.24s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Intense Vision — won.
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: ?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (5)
3 0 0 9 0 7 J Saffie Osborne 12% T Oli Rix 1/6 30% / 31% 3.10 3.15
0 wins from 6 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
Last ran 21 days ago
Trainer Oli Rix: 1/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Saffie Osborne: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/1 Trip 6f: 1/2 Course Galloping: 1/5 Class C4: 1/1 Field 9–12: 1/1
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 30% · market 31%
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3 (8)
4 8 3 4 1 3 J Rossa Ryan 12% T R M Beckett 4/37 25% / 19% 5.30 5.40
2 wins from 9 · placed 6
Won 2 of 7 at around this trip
Last ran 27 days ago
Trainer R M Beckett: 4/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rossa Ryan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/3 Trip 6f: 2/8 Course Galloping: 0/5 Class C4: 2/8 Field 9–12: 0/5
3 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 25% · market 19%
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5 (13)
6 1 1 3 5 3 J Jason Hart 8% T J Candlish 0/21 12% / 16% 6.20 6.40
3 wins from 18 · placed 9
Won 3 of 8 at around this trip
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer J Candlish: 0/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jason Hart: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/2 Trip 6f: 3/9 Course Galloping: 2/13 Class C4: 2/12 Field 9–12: 0/5
Our chance 12% · market 16%
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6 (3)
0 4 1 2 0 0 J Shay Farmer (5) 29% T S Spencer 1/4 — / 4% 23.0 24.0
6 wins from 39 · placed 11
Course winner: 1 win from 8 here
Last ran 40 days ago
Trainer S Spencer: 1/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Shay Farmer: 29% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/6 Trip 6f: 4/20 Course Galloping: 5/26 Class C4: 3/24 Field 9–12: 2/14
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7 (4)
4 1 9 9 0 0 J Rhys Elliott (5) 0% T M Walford 1/17 — / 1% 75.0 85.0
4 wins from 34 · placed 15
Won 1 of 20 at around this trip
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer M Walford: 1/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rhys Elliott: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/3 Trip 6f: 1/20 Course Galloping: 1/13 Class C4: 3/18 Field 9–12: 1/14
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8 (6)
4 0 4 9 0 3 J Ray Dawson 0% T T Kent 1/8 9% / 7% 14.5 15.0
3 wins from 15 · placed 4
Won 3 of 14 at around this trip
Last ran 49 days ago
Trainer T Kent: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ray Dawson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 6f: 3/15 Course Galloping: 0/7 Class C4: 1/5 Field 9–12: 2/9
Our chance 9% · market 7%
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9 (12)
4 2 1 0 J George Bass 0% T Jack Channon 1/10 — / 2% 55.0 65.0
1 win from 4 · placed 2
Won 1 of 4 at around this trip
First time in a hood and a tongue strap
Trainer Jack Channon: 1/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey George Bass: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 6f: 1/5 Course Galloping: 1/4 Class C4: 0/4 Field 9–12: 0/3
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10 (11)
4 8 2 6 1 4 J P Mulrennan 12% T J S Goldie 2/21 — / 3% 34.0 38.0
9 wins from 40 · placed 15
Won 3 of 20 at around this trip
Last ran 36 days ago
Trainer J S Goldie: 2/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey P Mulrennan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/4 Trip 6f: 3/21 Course Galloping: 2/13 Class C4: 3/12 Field 9–12: 5/20
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11 (7)
8 8 0 6 5 8 J D Egan 16% T Miss J A Camacho 1/23 7% / 5% 18.0 19.0
1 win from 21 · placed 8
4 runs here without a win
Last ran 31 days ago
Trainer Miss J A Camacho: 1/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Egan: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 6f: 0/16 Course Galloping: 0/10 Class C4: 0/14 Field 9–12: 0/14
Our chance 7% · market 5%
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12 (2)
4 3 9 3 8 0 J D Allan 12% T T D Easterby 6/58 — / 7% 14.0 14.5
3 wins from 21 · placed 7
Won 2 of 14 at around this trip
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer T D Easterby: 6/58 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Allan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/3 Trip 6f: 2/15 Course Galloping: 1/12 Class C4: 1/9 Field 9–12: 1/9
1 expert tipped this horse
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13 (1)
9 5 0 9 8 5 J Barry McHugh 18% T A Keatley 1/8 — / 4% 22.0 23.0
6 wins from 58 · placed 18
Won 3 of 22 at around this trip
Last ran 24 days ago
Trainer A Keatley: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Barry McHugh: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 2/20 Trip 6f: 3/23 Course Galloping: 3/34 Class C4: 2/21 Field 9–12: 1/24
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