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Race of the Day 16:10 · Ascot

BetMGM Handicap

Class 2Handicap6fGood to firm · GoingStick 7.93YO plus · 18 runners£23,193 to the winnerPartly cloudy 16 experts
Off in
1h 32m
View on Betfair ↗
Analyst verdict Locked 10:27 BST · #5c6773
Annaf looks the value pick in this red-hot Ascot sprint handicap.
Our chance
8% 1 in 12
Market (Betfair)
— 9.60
Worth it down to
12.00
Confidence
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfoldWith eighteen runners and several confirmed front-runners engaged, the pace looks certain to be strong, and they are likely to tire each other out. That should help horses who settle off the pace and finish their race in the closing stages, rather than those trying to lead throughout.
1
Goldmoyne
Goldmoyne heads the market after practically winning last time out in a huge field, with his form still on an upward curve.
12% / —
2
Pilu
Pilu followed up his latest win with only a modest step up in class, and looks capable of winning again.
9% / —
3
Annaf
Annaf looks the most unexposed horse in the field and ran far better than his finishing position suggests last time, at a big price.
8% / —
4
First Legion
First Legion also won last time out, but his much bigger jump in grade makes him a touch riskier than Pilu.
7% / —
5
Northcliff
Northcliff won his last race too, but his rating rise already looks fuller, leaving him vulnerable at a short price.
6% / —
Red flags
Annaf's standout form came from an earlier run rather than his most recent one, so it's unclear how much of that edge remains.He is already seven years old, which leaves less scope for further improvement.A huge field and a likely scrappy, fast-run race add an element of unpredictability.

Expert confidence

16 experts
Pilu (IRE)
3 experts
Annaf (IRE)
2 experts

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Annaf (IRE)9.6010.0
Fandom12.019.0
Pilu (IRE)12.012.5
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Ascot 5f–6f

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Prominent1.100.671.42Mid-div0.741.110.88Held up0.980.520.99
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (9)
Far Above Dream (IRE)
4yo · 9-12 · OR 101
114620 J K Shoemark 20% T James Owen 3/41 — / 16% 5.90 6.40
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Ayr6fHeavyC211/249¼L5.00
22 Aug 26York6fGood To SoftC22/20nse17.0
01 Aug 26Goodwood6fGood To FirmC26/272L7.00
5 wins from 17 · placed 9
Won 5 of 13 at around this trip
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer James Owen: 3/41 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey K Shoemark: 20% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/4Trip 6f: 5/13Course Stiff: 0/1Class C2: 1/7Field 13+: 1/8
2 experts tipped this horse
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2 (13)
Wiltshire t
6yo · 9-11 · OR 100
651000 J C Lee 8% T W J Haggas 8/43 — / 1% 50.0 460.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Ayr6fHeavyC224/2463¾L67.0
27 Jun 26Newcastle6fStandard To SlowC111/1165¼L6.50
16 May 26Newbury6fGoodC211/146¼L9.00
5 wins from 20 · placed 7
Won 4 of 15 at around this trip
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer W J Haggas: 8/43 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey C Lee: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/1Trip 6f: 4/14Course Stiff: 0/1Class C2: 2/10Field 13+: 3/8
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3 (10)
Badri
9yo · 9-10 · OR 99
102302 J Lewis Edmunds 13% T M Herrington 3/11 — / 3% 29.0 36.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Sep 26Beverley5fGoodC22/6nk5.50
12 Sep 26Doncaster5f 143yGoodC217/2112L29.0
30 Aug 26Beverley5fHeavyC13/8¾L17.0
15 wins from 80 · placed 34
Course winner: 1 win from 7 here
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer M Herrington: 3/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Lewis Edmunds: 13% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 5/15Trip 6f: 8/50Course Stiff: 5/16Class C2: 4/37Field 13+: 3/32
1 expert tipped this horse
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4 (2)
Annaf (IRE) Our pick
7yo · 9-8 · OR 97
037004 J Jason Watson 16% T M Appleby 4/22 8% / 10% 9.60 10.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
12 Sep 26Doncaster5f 143yGoodC24/211¼L21.0
22 Aug 26York6fGood To SoftC215/207L41.0
01 Aug 26Goodwood6fGood To FirmC211/274L41.0
8 wins from 47 · placed 21
Course winner: 2 wins from 7 here
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer M Appleby: 4/22 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jason Watson: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/9Trip 6f: 7/36Course Stiff: 2/9Class C2: 3/19Field 13+: 1/20
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 8% · market 10%
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5 (16)
Fandom
5yo · 9-7 · OR 96
430302 J P J Dobbs 9% T R Hannon 5/53 — / 6% 12.0 19.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
26 Sep 26Haydock Park5fSoft-good to soft in placesC22/10½L13.0
30 Aug 26Goodwood6fSoftC210/106¼L13.0
08 Aug 26Ascot5fGood To FirmC23/101¾L6.00
1 win from 14 · placed 5
Won 1 of 8 at around this trip
Last ran 6 days ago
Trainer R Hannon: 5/53 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey P J Dobbs: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/5Trip 6f: 1/8Course Stiff: 0/4Class C2: 1/10Field 13+: 1/8
1 expert tipped this horse
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6 (5)
Bolo Neighs (IRE) p
4yo · 9-3 · OR 92
189365 J Rossa Ryan 18% T R M Beckett 11/53 — / 7% 12.5 16.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
08 Aug 26Ascot5fGood To FirmC25/103¾L5.50
25 Jul 26Ascot5fGood To FirmC26/132½L7.00
10 Jul 26Ascot6fGood To FirmC33/112½L23.0
2 wins from 16 · placed 7
Course winner: 1 win from 4 here
Last ran 55 days ago
Trainer R M Beckett: 11/53 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rossa Ryan: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/5Trip 6f: 2/12Course Stiff: 1/4Class C2: 0/7Field 13+: 0/1
2 experts tipped this horse
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7 (15)
Ray Mon Dough
3yo · 9-2 · OR 92
626184 J H Crouch 18% T Oliver Cole 0/7 — / 1% 55.0 80.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Sep 26Thirsk6fGood To SoftC34/95½L7.50
17 Aug 26Windsor6f 12yGood To FirmC48/85L2.50
09 Aug 26Leicester6fGood To FirmC41/4—2.62
2 wins from 7 · placed 3
Won 2 of 6 at around this trip
Last ran 27 days ago
Trainer Oliver Cole: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey H Crouch: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 1/2Trip 6f: 2/6Course Stiff: 0/0Class C2: 0/0Field 13+: 0/1
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8 (1)
Orion's Belt (IRE)
3yo · 9-2 · OR 92
629009 J W Buick 32% T R Hannon 5/53 — / 1% 65.0 580.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Sep 26Ascot1mGood To FirmC29/109½L41.0
29 Jul 26Goodwood7fGood To FirmC111/139¾L34.0
27 Sep 25Newmarket6fGood To FirmC19/929¼L34.0
1 win from 8 · placed 3
1 run here without a win
Last ran 27 days ago
Trainer R Hannon: 5/53 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey W Buick: 32% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 1/6Trip 6f: 0/3Course Stiff: 0/4Class C2: 0/1Field 13+: 0/1
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9 (18)
Goldmoyne (IRE) p
6yo · 9-2 · OR 91
223862 J George Wood 8% T James Owen 3/41 12% / 6% 16.0 21.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Ayr6fHeavyC22/23nse23.0
22 Aug 26Chester7f 127yGood To SoftC26/134¼L11.0
29 Jul 26Goodwood7fGood To FirmC38/204L9.50
8 wins from 41 · placed 20
Won 2 of 10 at around this trip
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer James Owen: 3/41 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey George Wood: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 1/7Trip 6f: 2/10Course Stiff: 0/1Class C2: 0/4Field 13+: 3/25
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 12% · market 6%
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10 (8)
Pilu (IRE)
3yo · 9-1 · OR 91
625811 J Joe Leavy 8% T Roger Teal 3/15 9% / 8% 12.0 12.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
17 Sep 26Great Yarmouth6f 3yGoodC31/9—5.00
22 Aug 26Newmarket6fGoodC41/13—5.00
30 Jul 26Goodwood5fGood To FirmC38/185½L7.00
4 wins from 9 · placed 5
Won 4 of 8 at around this trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer Roger Teal: 3/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Joe Leavy: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 1/5Trip 6f: 4/8Course Stiff: 1/2Class C2: 0/3Field 13+: 1/3
3 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 9% · market 8%
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11 (4)
Another Abbot (IRE) t
4yo · 9-1 · OR 90
177182 J Tom Marquand 17% T W J Haggas 8/43 — / 4% 19.0 30.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
17 Sep 26Great Yarmouth6f 3yGoodC32/91L10.0
10 Aug 26Windsor6f 12yGood To FirmC28/164L7.00
27 Jul 26Windsor6f 12yGood To FirmC31/13—5.00
4 wins from 19 · placed 8
Won 4 of 11 at around this trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer W J Haggas: 8/43 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Tom Marquand: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 3/10Trip 6f: 4/11Course Stiff: 0/5Class C2: 0/1Field 13+: 2/5
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12 (17)
First Legion (IRE)
3yo · 8-13 · OR 89
645451 J S M Levey 15% T R Hannon 5/53 7% / 6% 14.0 18.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
04 Sep 26Ascot7fGoodC41/8—6.00
13 Jun 26York6fGoodC25/223L11.0
25 May 26Leicester6fGood To FirmC34/126L4.50
2 wins from 12 · placed 4
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 28 days ago
Trainer R Hannon: 5/53 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey S M Levey: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 1/5Trip 6f: 1/8Course Stiff: 1/4Class C2: 1/6Field 13+: 0/5
Our chance 7% · market 6%
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13 (14)
Northcliff (IRE) b
6yo · 8-12 · OR 87
022231 J Toby Moore (7) 18% T Jane Chapple-Hyam 3/9 6% / 5% 17.5 25.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Newmarket6fGoodC41/9—5.50
05 Sep 26Ascot6fGood To FirmC23/131L12.0
28 Aug 26Goodwood6fGood to FirmC52/7½L3.50
8 wins from 62 · placed 26
Course winner: 2 wins from 6 here
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam: 3/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Toby Moore: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 4/19Trip 6f: 6/45Course Stiff: 2/7Class C2: 0/4Field 13+: 1/19
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 6% · market 5%
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14 (12)
Diligently p
4yo · 8-12 · OR 87
481026 J Pierre-Louis Jamin 11% T C G Cox 5/28 — / 3% 25.0 48.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Sep 26Ascot6fGood To FirmC26/134¼L13.0
10 Aug 26Windsor6f 12yGood To FirmC22/16½L6.50
10 Jul 26Ascot6fGood To FirmC310/117¼L6.50
3 wins from 18 · placed 7
Won 3 of 15 at around this trip
Last ran 27 days ago
Trainer C G Cox: 5/28 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 3/10Trip 6f: 3/15Course Stiff: 0/4Class C2: 1/6Field 13+: 1/7
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15 (6)
Intense Vision
3yo · 8-11 · OR 87
130090 J Jonny Peate 5% T Oli Rix 1/5 — / 2% 50.0 580.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
13 Sep 26Doncaster7f 6yGoodC210/144¾L7.50
21 Aug 26York7f 192yGood To SoftC29/198L8.00
30 Jul 26Goodwood1mGood To FirmC311/194L23.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer Oli Rix: 1/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jonny Peate: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/2Trip 6f: 0/0Course Stiff: 0/1Class C2: 0/4Field 13+: 0/4
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16 (7)
Yordan (IRE)
3yo · 8-11 · OR 87
211 J Kevin Stott 19% T K A Ryan 6/41 — / 5% 17.5 23.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
02 Sep 26Newcastle6fStandardC41/10—1.15
16 Aug 26Southwell6f 16yStandardC41/9—2.20
29 Jul 26Leicester7fGood To FirmC42/4½L11.0
2 wins from 3 · placed 3
Won 2 of 2 at around this trip
Last ran 30 days ago
Trainer K A Ryan: 6/41 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kevin Stott: 19% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 0/1Trip 6f: 2/2Course Stiff: 0/0Class C2: 0/0Field 13+: 0/0
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17 (11)
Ironwill (IRE)
3yo · 8-11 · OR 87
312043 J Marco Ghiani 3% T Stuart Williams 5/25 — / 12% 7.80 8.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
13 Sep 26Doncaster7f 6yGoodC23/141L8.00
29 Aug 26Goodwood7fGood to SoftC24/113¾L15.0
21 Aug 26York7f 192yGood To SoftC210/198½L26.0
3 wins from 11 · placed 7
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer Stuart Williams: 5/25 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Marco Ghiani: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 2/4Trip 6f: 1/3Course Stiff: 1/3Class C2: 0/6Field 13+: 0/5
2 experts tipped this horse
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18 (3)
Purest Time
6yo · 8-7 · OR 82
717907 J Saffie Osborne 3% T Ian Williams 3/28 — / 2% 32.0 60.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
13 Sep 26Doncaster6f 2yGoodC47/162¾L12.0
10 Aug 26Windsor6f 12yGood To FirmC215/169¾L13.0
10 Jul 26Ascot6fGood To FirmC39/116L23.0
1 win from 17 · placed 5
Won 1 of 15 at around this trip
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer Ian Williams: 3/28 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Saffie Osborne: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Firm: 1/4Trip 6f: 1/14Course Stiff: 0/2Class C2: 0/10Field 13+: 0/8
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