Wednesday 21 October › Navan › 17:04
Result
Race of the Day
17:04 · Navan (IRE)
Navan Racecourse Handicap (0-60)
Handicap? 1m 6f? Yielding? 3YO plus · 23 ran €6,000 to the winner Sunny intervals
2 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:29 BST · #f040d5
Big field, messy finish — but one shortening outsider looks worth a second look at Navan.
Confidence?
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfold A huge field races a long way on tiring ground, so stamina and getting a clear run matter. Two front-runners should set a strong pace, with the rest packed in behind, meaning this is won in the final stretch. The favourites look solid, but winning from such a big field is never easy, which helps a couple of overlooked runners.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Maxwell Smart Maxwell Smart is the market favourite, but his latest run was well below his best for no obvious reason, so he's rated with a touch of caution.
15% / —
2
Omakase Omakase is holding his current form well and comes from a yard in excellent form, matching the market's strong faith in him.
12% / —
3
Divine Believer Divine Believer has plenty in hand of her official rating, is fresh, and runs for a yard currently in fine form.
8% / —
4
Acanto Acanto has strong market support and a capable jockey, but his yard has been quiet lately and he may already be near his peak.
7% / —
5
Desert Friend Desert Friend is older but has previously taken on much tougher fields and won at this trip; his price has shortened noticeably.
6% / —
Red flags Desert Friend hasn't matched his best form for a long time, so much of his case rests on past performances rather than recent ones. His starting stall isn't statistically favourable for this race. He's likely to race mid-pack, so he'll need the race to unfold kindly in such a crowded field.
Expert confidence? 2 experts
Our analyst and the proven experts disagree: the experts lean elsewhere.
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Navan 1m 2f+?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Prominent 0.58 1.17 0.98 Mid-div 2.00 1.27 0.60 Held up 0.36 1.13 0.23
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 3m 15.16s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (25)
4 0 6 0 7 3
J Robbie Colgan 9%
T Ms Sheila Lavery 1/5
— / 4%
25.0 27.0
0 wins from 12 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer Ms Sheila Lavery: 1/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Robbie Colgan: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/5 Trip 1m1f+: 0/11 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/9
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2 (14)
7 1 3 5 1 3
J Jessica O'Gorman (7) 0%
T P G Fahey 1/3
12% / 3%
34.0 40.0
2 wins from 18 · placed 6
1 run here without a win
Last ran 28 days ago
Trainer P G Fahey: 1/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jessica O'Gorman: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 2/8 Course Stiff: 0/2 Field 13+: 1/13
Our chance 12% · market 3%
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3 (19)
8 8 9
J Rory Cleary 0%
T D A McLoughlin 1/5
— / 2%
55.0 70.0
3 wins from 19 · placed 4
1 run here without a win
Last ran 43 days ago
Trainer D A McLoughlin: 1/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rory Cleary: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/8 Trip 1m1f+: 0/3 Course Stiff: 2/5 Field 13+: 1/14
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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4 (23)
7 7 0 0 0
J Luke McAteer 5%
T J S Bolger 2/11
— / 1%
110.0 220.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
First time in cheekpieces
Trainer J S Bolger: 2/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Luke McAteer: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/6 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/4
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5 (8)
6 5 9 7 8 7
J Seamie Heffernan 3%
T Eamonn OConnell 0/2
— / 1%
100.0 260.0
1 win from 12 · placed 2
4 runs at around this trip without a win
First time in cheekpieces and a tongue strap
Trainer Eamonn OConnell: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Seamie Heffernan: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/10 Course Stiff: 1/2 Field 13+: 0/2
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6 (1)
5 6 7
J Robert Whearty 0%
T F G Hand 0/1
— / 7%
13.0 14.0
2 wins from 23 · placed 10
4 runs here without a win
First time in cheekpieces and a tongue strap
Trainer F G Hand: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Robert Whearty: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/9 Trip 1m1f+: 0/4 Course Stiff: 1/7 Field 13+: 0/12
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7 (13)
5 4 9 3 4 3
J Colin Keane 16%
T Noel Meade 1/17
7% / 8%
12.0 13.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer Noel Meade: 1/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Colin Keane: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/1 Trip 1m1f+: 0/4 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/3
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 7% · market 8%
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8 (9)
1 5 7 3 7 0
J Adam Browne-Souza (7) 8%
T T J OMara 1/2
— / 7%
13.0 14.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer T J OMara: 1/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Adam Browne-Souza: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/3 Trip 1m1f+: 1/4 Course Stiff: 1/2 Field 13+: 1/3
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9 (21)
5 8 3 4 6 1
J James Ryan 8%
T T G McCourt 1/16
15% / 5%
20.0 23.0
2 wins from 37 · placed 11
10 runs here without a win
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer T G McCourt: 1/16 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey James Ryan: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/7 Trip 1m1f+: 2/25 Course Stiff: 0/12 Field 13+: 1/25
Our chance 15% · market 5%
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10 (22)
4 5 4 4 5 3
J Ben Coen 12%
T Noel Meade 1/17
— / 9%
10.5 11.0
0 wins from 7 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 16 days ago
Trainer Noel Meade: 1/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ben Coen: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/6 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/2
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11 (3)
0 6 0 5 5 5
J Adam Grant (7) 0%
T Patrick Magee 1/12
— / 1%
100.0 1000.0
0 wins from 8 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Returns from a 181-day break
Trainer Patrick Magee: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Adam Grant: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/1 Trip 1m1f+: 0/4 Course Stiff: 0/2 Field 13+: 0/2
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12 (5)
5 0 7 3 0 0
J Rory Mulligan (5) 0%
T G A Kingston 0/4
— / 2%
36.0 46.0
0 wins from 9 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
First time in a hood
Trainer G A Kingston: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rory Mulligan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/9 Course Stiff: 0/2 Field 13+: 0/8
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13 (16)
0 0 7 7 8 7
J W J Lee 17%
T Henry De Bromhead 7/31
8% / 10%
10.0 10.5
0 wins from 8 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer Henry De Bromhead: 7/31 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey W J Lee: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/3 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/5
Our chance 8% · market 10%
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14 (4)
0 6 4 9 0 2
J Leigh Roche 0%
T John Andrew Kinsella 0/6
— / 3%
32.0 36.0
0 wins from 8 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer John Andrew Kinsella: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Leigh Roche: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/4 Trip 1m1f+: 0/7 Course Stiff: 0/2 Field 13+: 0/5
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15 (24)
4 5 0 4 3 6
J Gary Carroll 5%
T Gerard Keane 2/10
— / 1%
85.0 180.0
6 wins from 70 · placed 14
5 runs here without a win
Last ran 16 days ago
Trainer Gerard Keane: 2/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Gary Carroll: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/18 Trip 1m1f+: 3/38 Course Stiff: 1/11 Field 13+: 3/52
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16 (18)
9 0 4 4 0 5
J Conor Cusack (7) 14%
T P J F Murphy 2/6
6% / 1%
75.0 450.0
9 wins from 73 · placed 18
Won 1 of 7 at around this trip
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer P J F Murphy: 2/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Conor Cusack: 14% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/15 Trip 1m1f+: 5/49 Course Stiff: 0/9 Field 13+: 2/32
Our chance 6% · market 1%
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18 (6)
0 2 4 1 9 0
J Reese Holohan (5) 3%
T Anthony McCann 0/4
— / 4%
22.0 25.0
1 win from 10 · placed 2
Won 1 of 1 at around this trip
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer Anthony McCann: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Reese Holohan: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/4 Trip 1m1f+: 1/9 Course Stiff: 0/3 Field 13+: 1/8
Spotted wrong data? Report it
19 (11)
0 3 0 4 4 0
J Jack Kearney 22%
T Gerard Keane 2/10
— / 1%
70.0 130.0
1 win from 31 · placed 6
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer Gerard Keane: 2/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jack Kearney: 22% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/8 Trip 1m1f+: 1/22 Course Stiff: 0/3 Field 13+: 1/26
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20 (12)
8 0 0 4 2 5
J Gavin Ryan 0%
T John Joseph Hanlon 1/11
— / 4%
21.0 24.0
1 win from 11 · placed 4
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer John Joseph Hanlon: 1/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Gavin Ryan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/5 Trip 1m1f+: 0/5 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/3
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21 (20)
0 0 5 8 5 5
J Patrick McGettigan (5) 5%
T S M Duffy 0/3
— / 7%
13.0 14.0
0 wins from 11 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer S M Duffy: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Patrick McGettigan: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/7 Trip 1m1f+: 0/9 Course Stiff: 0/2 Field 13+: 0/11
Spotted wrong data? Report it
22 (17)
2 0 5 9 5 6
J Jimmy Dalton (7) 28%
T Francis Casey 0/2
— / 17%
5.60 5.70
0 wins from 15 · placed 3
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Francis Casey: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jimmy Dalton: 28% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/7 Trip 1m1f+: 0/12 Course Stiff: 0/4 Field 13+: 0/13
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23 (10)
5 0 0 7 0
J Chris Hayes 3%
T Gavin Cromwell 5/31
— / 2%
46.0 75.0
0 wins from 4 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 51 days ago
Trainer Gavin Cromwell: 5/31 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Chris Hayes: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/3 Trip 1m1f+: 0/5 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/3
Spotted wrong data? Report it
25 (26)
9 8 0 0
J Wesley Joyce 0%
T Brendan W Duke 0/1
— / 0%
280.0 910.0
0 wins from 4 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
First time in blinkers
Trainer Brendan W Duke: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Wesley Joyce: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/3 Course Stiff: 0/1 Field 13+: 0/4
Spotted wrong data? Report it