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Result Race of the Day 18:30 · Newcastle

AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap (Div 2)

Class 5Handicap1m 5yStandard3YO plus · 12 ran£3,716 to the winnerShowers 4 experts
Analyst verdict Locked 09:43 BST · #958842 · updated 17:46 BST (v2)
Second Fiddle and Sea Legend both look overpriced in a wide-open Newcastle handicap.
Our chance
23% 1 in 4
Market (Betfair)
13% 4.70
Worth it down to
4.40
Confidence
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfoldWith no obvious pace-setter, the field should race close together and the result should come down to the final stretch. The favourite Chesneys Charm is in good form but faces a step up in class and a much shorter trip, so its price looks fair rather than a bargain.
1
Second Fiddle
Second Fiddle was keeping on well when checked in traffic last time and is quickly back at a track and distance that suit.
23% / 13%
2
Chesneys Charm
Chesneys Charm is the in-form favourite, but stepping up in class over a notably shorter distance adds real risk.
16% / 18%
3
Starliner
Starliner has a decent amount in hand on official figures and a sound excuse for its last defeat, though the most recent form reading was modest.
10% / 10%
4
Sea Legend
Sea Legend drops two levels in grade with a yard in good form, and last time's below-par run looks explainable.
10% / 6%
5
Poppeye
Poppeye has one eye-catching effort from only five career starts, which is too little evidence to fully trust.
8% / 11%
Red flags
Second Fiddle's price has already shortened a lot, so some of the good news may already be reflected in it.Neither the trainer nor the jockey has had a winner at today's meeting yet.Sea Legend is dropping sharply in grade, which can sometimes flatter a horse's true standard.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

4 experts
Princess Honey Bee
1 expert · 1 with a strong record
Second Fiddle (IRE)
1 expert · 1 with a strong record
Bajan Bandit
1 expert · 1 with a strong record
Shes Got The Blues (IRE)
1 expert · 1 with a strong record
Our analyst and the proven experts agree on Second Fiddle.

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Poppeye (GB)6.807.00
Bajan Bandit9.8010.5
Second Fiddle (IRE): 5.50 at 17:30 → 4.70 at 18:29.
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Newcastle 1m–1m1f

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Led—2.101.30Prominent0.580.940.92Mid-div1.261.381.23Held up1.270.720.85
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 1m 38.85s · Report
How our analyst did
Second Fiddle9thBSP 5.57−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (2)
Sea Legend (FR) h
6yo · 9-13 · OR 69
318318 J Lauren Young (5) 15% T J S Goldie 4/26 10% / 5% 19.5 21.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
20 Apr 26Redcar1mGood To FirmC38/96¾L17.0
27 Mar 26Newcastle1mStandardC51/9—5.50
06 Mar 26Newcastle7fStandardC53/83½L10.0
3 wins from 35 · placed 13
Course winner: 3 wins from 18 here
Returns from a 183-day break
Trainer J S Goldie: 4/26 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Lauren Young: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/19Trip 1m: 2/11Course AW: 3/19Class C5: 1/11Field 9–12: 2/21
Our chance 10% · market 5%
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2 (10)
Hostility (IRE)
4yo · 9-12 · OR 68
513936 J Kevin Stott 18% T D O'Meara 5/44 — / 7% 13.5 14.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
13 Oct 26Leicester1m 53yGood to softC56/95¼L5.50
03 Oct 26Redcar1m 2f 1yGoodC53/91½L5.00
09 Sep 26Carlisle7f 173yGoodC59/920½L2.88
2 wins from 24 · placed 13
Won 2 of 6 at around this trip
Last ran 7 days ago
Trainer D O'Meara: 5/44 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kevin Stott: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/7Trip 1m: 2/7Course AW: 0/7Class C5: 0/15Field 9–12: 1/12
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3 (5)
Princess Honey Bee
3yo · 9-11 · OR 70
422416 J D Allan 12% T Craig Lidster 1/11 — / 7% 14.5 15.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
16 Sep 26Great Yarmouth1m 3f 104yGood To SoftC46/87¾L29.0
03 Sep 26Lingfield Park1m 1yStandardC51/5—3.25
10 Aug 26Windsor1m 31yGood To FirmC54/81½L1.57
1 win from 8 · placed 5
Won 1 of 4 at around this trip
Last ran 34 days ago
Trainer Craig Lidster: 1/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Allan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/3Trip 1m: 1/5Course AW: 1/3Class C5: 1/5Field 9–12: 0/1
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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4 (9)
Arkenstaar p
6yo · 9-10 · OR 66
430680 J Sean Kirrane 0% T M Dods 2/25 — / 1% 95.0 120.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Oct 26Pontefract1m 6yGoodC510/136¾L51.0
29 Sep 26Ayr1mSoft-heavy in placesC58/821L41.0
09 Sep 26Carlisle7f 173yGoodC56/97¼L34.0
8 wins from 41 · placed 17
Won 6 of 28 at around this trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer M Dods: 2/25 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Sean Kirrane: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/2Trip 1m: 1/17Course AW: 0/2Class C5: 6/30Field 9–12: 3/19
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5 (1)
Starliner (IRE)
5yo · 9-9 · OR 65
262218 J William Pyle 0% T Miss L A Perratt 0/11 10% / 10% 9.80 10.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
17 Sep 26Ayr1mSoftC58/1315¼L12.0
05 Sep 26Newcastle1m 5yStandardC61/9—2.50
02 Sep 26Newcastle1m 5yStandardC52/11½L11.0
5 wins from 55 · placed 21
Course winner: 2 wins from 19 here
Last ran 33 days ago
Trainer Miss L A Perratt: 0/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey William Pyle: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 2/25Trip 1m: 2/27Course AW: 2/25Class C5: 1/26Field 9–12: 2/34
Our chance 10% · market 10%
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6 (8)
Second Fiddle (IRE) Our pick
7yo · 9-8 · OR 64
334204 J A Mullen 4% T I Jardine 3/29 23% / 21% 4.70 4.80
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
12 Oct 26Newcastle1m 5yStandardC54/112½L5.00
17 Sep 26Ayr1mSoftC510/1218L9.50
05 Sep 26Newcastle1m 5yStandardC62/9½L4.50
6 wins from 35 · placed 12
Course winner: 5 wins from 11 here
Last ran 8 days ago
Trainer I Jardine: 3/29 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey A Mullen: 4% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 5/13Trip 1m: 5/20Course AW: 5/13Class C5: 1/10Field 9–12: 3/17
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 23% · market 21%
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7 (7)
Henry Halflight (IRE)
3yo · 9-8 · OR 67
271806 J Billy Garritty 6% T Liam Bailey 0/5 — / 1% 65.0 80.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
01 Oct 26Newcastle7f 14yStandardC56/102L67.0
15 Sep 26Redcar7f 219yGoodC513/1336L151.0
05 Apr 26Southwell7fStandardC48/822L34.0
1 win from 6 · placed 2
Course winner: 1 win from 4 here
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer Liam Bailey: 0/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Billy Garritty: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/6Trip 1m: 0/3Course AW: 1/6Class C5: 0/3Field 9–12: 1/4
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8 (3)
Chesneys Charm
4yo · 9-7 · OR 63
737345 J Jason Hart 11% T Ivan Furtado 2/31 16% / 16% 6.00 6.20
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
15 Oct 26Southwell1m 3f 23yStandardC65/710L6.50
05 Oct 26Kempton Park1m 3f 219yStandard to slowC64/102¾L6.00
21 Sep 26Wolverhampton1m 1f 104yStandardC63/11¾L7.00
4 wins from 28 · placed 9
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 5 days ago
Trainer Ivan Furtado: 2/31 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jason Hart: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/12Trip 1m: 0/11Course AW: 3/12Class C5: 2/12Field 9–12: 1/14
Our chance 16% · market 16%
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9 (6)
Poppeye (GB)
4yo · 9-7 · OR 63
47425 J Oliver Stammers 20% T Grant Tuer 4/15 8% / 14% 6.80 7.00
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Aug 26Redcar1m 2f 1yGoodC55/92½L4.33
20 Jun 26Redcar7f 219yGoodC62/121½L5.50
26 May 26Redcar1m 2fGood To FirmC44/68½L51.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 1
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 59 days ago
Trainer Grant Tuer: 4/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Oliver Stammers: 20% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/2Trip 1m: 1/2Course AW: 1/2Class C5: 1/2Field 9–12: 1/4
Our chance 8% · market 14%
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10 (11)
Bajan Bandit v
6yo · 9-5 · OR 61
232013 J Alexandra Egan (5) 17% T P Morris 1/9 — / 10% 9.80 10.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
25 Sep 26Newcastle1m 5yStandardC63/11¾L4.33
19 Sep 26Newcastle1m 5yStandardC61/10—6.00
31 Aug 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC612/147¼L7.50
7 wins from 55 · placed 19
Course winner: 2 wins from 12 here
Last ran 25 days ago
Trainer P Morris: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Alexandra Egan: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 4/30Trip 1m: 2/31Course AW: 4/30Class C5: 2/16Field 9–12: 6/33
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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11 (4)
Shes Got The Blues (IRE)
3yo · 9-5 · OR 64
133131 J Marco Ghiani 5% T Tony Carroll 2/34 — / 5% 18.5 20.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
28 Sep 26Brighton6f 210yGood to firm-good in placesC61/10—11.0
12 Sep 26Bath1mGoodC63/111L5.00
01 Sep 26Brighton7f 216yGoodC61/9—4.33
4 wins from 21 · placed 9
Won 1 of 12 at around this trip
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Tony Carroll: 2/34 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Marco Ghiani: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/8Trip 1m: 1/11Course AW: 0/8Class C5: 0/3Field 9–12: 3/10
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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12 (12)
Sogniamo b1,t1
3yo · 9-1 · OR 60
756886 J Mark Winn 25% T D O'Meara 5/44 — / 2% 55.0 65.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
01 Oct 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC56/1111¾L41.0
20 Sep 26Hamilton Park1m 1f 35yHeavyC58/935¼L51.0
22 Aug 26Redcar1m 2f 1yGoodC58/98¾L17.0
1 win from 8 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
First time in blinkers and a tongue strap
Trainer D O'Meara: 5/44 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mark Winn: 25% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/2Trip 1m: 0/3Course AW: 0/2Class C5: 0/6Field 9–12: 0/6
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