UK & Ireland racing · AI race analyst

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Locked 09:21 BST · #5e6a58

Newcastle · 20:30 · Class 6 · Handicap · 1m 5y · Standard · 4YO plus · 8 ran · £3,245 to the winner · Partly cloudy

Falcon Nine looks a smart alternative to a favourite that doesn't fully convince.

We make it a 20% chance (1 in 5). The market says 18%.

Medium · Tier B

How the race should unfoldThis Newcastle mile handicap has no obvious pace horse, so expect an even, tactical race with no big speed bias. The favourite isn't totally convincing, while Falcon Nine arrives at the top of his form and should be involved right to the finish.

Just Typical

Sits at the top of the betting, but he has a habit of racing too freely, which makes his position there debatable.

23% / 27%

Falcon Nine

Right at the peak of his form, finished close up two weeks ago over this same course and distance with the same jockey, and now drops in class carrying a light weight.

20% / 18%

Eve's Boy

Prominent in the betting, but his yard is out of form and his last run showed a notable dip, so he's harder to trust fully.

13% / 14%

Falcon Nine has shown a tendency to race too keenly in the pastIt's a small field of eight, which can make the run of the race harder to predict

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