Monday 26 October › Hereford › 14:52
Betting.Bet Free Bets Mares' Handicap Hurdle
Class 4? Handicap? 2m 53y? Good to firm-good in places · GoingStick 7.2? 3YO plus · 6 ran £4,066 to the winner Overcast
2 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 10:15 GMT · #32cd79 · updated 14:07 GMT (v2)
Hello Sweety looks underrated after an excused pulled-up run and carries the strongest claims.
Market (Betfair)?
19% 4.70
Confidence?
How the race should unfold This is an open six-runner mares' hurdle with no obvious pace leader, so two of the field may fight for an early lead. Hello Sweety, racing off her best-ever weight, should be well positioned to pounce once things heat up in the closing stages.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Hello Sweety She was pulled up last time but that had a valid excuse, her earlier form was strong, and she now carries the best weight of her career.
30% / 19%
2
Lucy The Wire The market favourite is shortening fast, but all her form comes from the Flat and all-weather, making this her first run over hurdles.
28% / 24%
3
Getarose She sits second favourite in the market, but her yard has gone a long time without a winner, which is a reason for caution.
17% / 28%
4
Mavis Pike Her price has drifted sharply as her recent form has clearly faded, though she does drop back to a shorter distance today.
9% / 13%
Red flags She was pulled up on her last start, so there's a risk of a repeat problem. Another runner could also want to lead, setting up a contested, demanding pace. She carries the top weight in the race, which adds to her task.
Expert confidence? 2 experts
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Result Official · time 3m 52.20s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: ?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
5 1 2 3 1 P J Charlie Hammond 25% T S Edmunds 3/9 30% / 21% 4.70 4.80
4 wins from 18 · placed 8
Won 4 of 15 at around this trip
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer S Edmunds: 3/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Charlie Hammond: 25% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/2 Trip 2m: 3/12 Class C4: 2/9 Field ≤ 8: 4/12
Our chance 30% · market 21%
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2
2 4 2 8 1 2 J J J Burke 25% T James Owen 9/56 28% / 34% 2.90 2.94
3 wins from 13 · placed 8
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Last ran 21 days ago
Trainer James Owen: 9/56 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey J J Burke: 25% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/4 Trip 2m: 3/6 Class C4: 2/6 Field ≤ 8: 3/9
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 28% · market 34%
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3
4 7 7 3 1 J Stan Sheppard 0% T Henry Daly 0/4 — / 7% 14.5 15.5
1 win from 5 · placed 2
Won 1 of 5 at around this trip
Returns from a 169-day break
Trainer Henry Daly: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Stan Sheppard: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/1 Trip 2m: 1/6 Class C4: 1/4 Field ≤ 8: 1/4
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4
1 5 5 F U 3 J Sam Twiston-Davies 19% T N & W Twiston-Davies 5/24 9% / 6% 15.5 16.5
2 wins from 15 · placed 5
Won 2 of 9 at around this trip
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer N & W Twiston-Davies: 5/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies: 19% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/1 Trip 2m: 2/9 Class C4: 0/9 Field ≤ 8: 2/10
Our chance 9% · market 6%
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5
1 1 4 9 1 0 J Jack Tudor 12% T Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 1/12 — / 2% 44.0 50.0
3 wins from 9 · placed 3
Won 3 of 8 at around this trip
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jack Tudor: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/2 Trip 2m: 1/6 Class C4: 0/5 Field ≤ 8: 2/5
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6
8 4 4 3 1 3 J Adam Wedge 5% T Mrs C Williams 1/23 17% / 30% 3.30 3.40
1 win from 10 · placed 4
Won 1 of 5 at around this trip
Last ran 17 days ago
Trainer Mrs C Williams: 1/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Adam Wedge: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/1 Trip 2m: 1/4 Class C4: 0/3 Field ≤ 8: 1/9
Our chance 17% · market 30%
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