Today › Redcar › 16:05
Result
Race of the Day
16:05 · Redcar
Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap (Div 2)
Class 6? Handicap? 5f 217y? Soft? 3YO plus · 14 ran £3,140 to the winner Rain
2 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 10:19 GMT · #e77e07 · updated 15:22 GMT (v2)
One Of Our Own looks the value pick in a wide-open, closely packed handicap.
Confidence?
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfold With fourteen runners on soft ground and no obvious pace-setter, this looks likely to be a steady race that's only sorted out in the closing stages. The market favourite is stepping down sharply in distance, which raises doubts, while a couple of others look better than their current mark suggests.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Night Emperor The market favourite, but dropping sharply in distance from recent runs and underwhelming last time, so the strong backing looks a touch generous.
19% / 22%
2
Valentine Catcher Has already won at this course and distance and looks capable of much better than her current mark, with her last poor run excused by trouble in running.
17% / 12%
3
Showtime Mahomes Has run two close races in a row at this same course and distance, and comes from a yard that's currently in good form.
13% / 10%
4
One Of Our Own Drawn in a stall that has a strong record here, ridden by a jockey in good form, and dropping down in class — a combination the market seems to be underrating.
8% / 5%
5
Taygar Was narrowly beaten in a tougher race at this same course and distance, and takes a jockey who has already won on the card today.
6% / 10%
Red flags One Of Our Own's most recent form is well below her best, so she may not be fully back to that level yet. Her stable's winning strike rate has cooled off in the last couple of weeks. She finished near the back of the field in her last start, which is a point of caution despite the positive signs.
Expert confidence? 2 experts
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Redcar 5f–6f?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Prominent 0.99 0.67 1.39 Mid-div 0.89 1.43 1.13 Held up 0.51 0.45 0.19
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 1m 14.83s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (11)
0 4 4 0 0 9
J Joanna Mason 8%
T Michael & David Easterby 2/21
— / 6%
17.0 18.0
7 wins from 61 · placed 24
Won 3 of 30 at around this trip
Last ran 39 days ago
Trainer Michael & David Easterby: 2/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Joanna Mason: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/10 Trip 6f: 3/30 Course Galloping: 1/19 Class C6+: 0/0 Field 13+: 1/11
1 expert tipped this horse
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2 (12)
5 0 3 1 5 2
J Oliver Stammers 20%
T Grant Tuer 4/15
13% / 12%
8.40 8.80
8 wins from 64 · placed 20
Won 5 of 42 at around this trip
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer Grant Tuer: 4/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Oliver Stammers: 20% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/5 Trip 6f: 5/42 Course Galloping: 1/19 Class C6+: 2/7 Field 13+: 1/18
Our chance 13% · market 12%
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3 (3)
1 4 4 5 3 3
J J P Sullivan 0%
T Mrs R Carr 1/23
— / 11%
9.20 9.60
1 win from 14 · placed 4
5 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 16 days ago
Trainer Mrs R Carr: 1/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey J P Sullivan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 6f: 0/5 Course Galloping: 0/7 Class C6+: 1/5 Field 13+: 0/3
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4 (14)
0 1 4 3 4 8
J Cam Hardie 12%
T S Hanlon 1/8
— / 1%
140.0 240.0
9 wins from 64 · placed 27
Won 7 of 34 at around this trip
Returns from a 357-day break
Trainer S Hanlon: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Cam Hardie: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/5 Trip 6f: 7/34 Course Galloping: 1/23 Class C6+: 3/12 Field 13+: 3/11
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5 (10)
5 3 0 4 6 3
J William Pyle 0%
T David & Nicola Barron 0/4
— / 11%
9.00 9.40
1 win from 18 · placed 6
1 run here without a win
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer David & Nicola Barron: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey William Pyle: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/0 Trip 6f: 0/1 Course Galloping: 0/5 Class C6+: 0/3 Field 13+: 0/4
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6 (5)
2 3 3 5 2 0
J D Allan 12%
T T D Easterby 6/58
17% / 15%
6.60 6.80
2 wins from 28 · placed 10
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer T D Easterby: 6/58 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Allan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/6 Trip 6f: 2/19 Course Galloping: 2/11 Class C6+: 0/4 Field 13+: 0/9
Our chance 17% · market 15%
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7 (1)
6 9 9 2 0 5
J P Mulrennan 9%
T M Dods 2/25
6% / 7%
14.5 15.0
4 wins from 39 · placed 14
Course winner: 1 win from 12 here
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer M Dods: 2/25 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey P Mulrennan: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/3 Trip 6f: 2/26 Course Galloping: 3/25 Class C6+: 2/12 Field 13+: 0/4
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 6% · market 7%
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8 (13)
4 3 3 6 2 6
J D Nolan 5%
T Paul Midgley 1/16
— / 7%
15.0 16.0
8 wins from 58 · placed 17
Course winner: 2 wins from 5 here
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer Paul Midgley: 1/16 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Nolan: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 4/12 Trip 6f: 7/45 Course Galloping: 3/14 Class C6+: 5/19 Field 13+: 4/15
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9 (8)
6 3 6 5 3 0
J Kaiya Fraser 8%
T R Menzies 1/17
8% / 5%
20.0 21.0
6 wins from 51 · placed 20
Course winner: 2 wins from 9 here
Last ran 39 days ago
Trainer R Menzies: 1/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kaiya Fraser: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/3 Trip 6f: 6/41 Course Galloping: 2/16 Class C6+: 6/29 Field 13+: 1/7
Our chance 8% · market 5%
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10 (4)
7 0 6 4 4 9
J T Eaves 5%
T Thomas Faulkner 0/2
— / 2%
60.0 75.0
2 wins from 30 · placed 12
Won 2 of 21 at around this trip
Returns from a 142-day break
Trainer Thomas Faulkner: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey T Eaves: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/5 Trip 6f: 2/21 Course Galloping: 0/18 Class C6+: 0/3 Field 13+: 0/2
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11 (2)
6 7 1 5 4 8
J Aiden Brookes 0%
T D Thompson 0/7
— / 5%
21.0 22.0
4 wins from 33 · placed 10
Won 1 of 9 at around this trip
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer D Thompson: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Aiden Brookes: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/3 Trip 6f: 1/9 Course Galloping: 0/3 Class C6+: 2/5 Field 13+: 0/5
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12 (6)
5 1 4 3 4 4
J Tom Kiely-Marshall (3) 0%
T Tina Jackson 0/2
19% / 20%
4.90 5.00
1 win from 15 · placed 2
Course winner: 1 win from 6 here
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer Tina Jackson: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 6f: 1/10 Course Galloping: 1/6 Class C6+: 1/10 Field 13+: 0/6
Our chance 19% · market 20%
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13 (7)
9 0 8 9 3 8
J Lauren Young (5) 15%
T J R Jenkins 0/6
— / 1%
100.0 190.0
2 wins from 29 · placed 4
Won 2 of 18 at around this trip
Last ran 32 days ago
Trainer J R Jenkins: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Lauren Young: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 2/7 Trip 6f: 2/18 Course Galloping: 1/9 Class C6+: 2/23 Field 13+: 1/5
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14 (9)
0 7 0 7 0 0
J Barry McHugh 29%
T John Wainwright 1/3
— / 0%
200.0 870.0
2 wins from 31 · placed 8
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 47 days ago
Trainer John Wainwright: 1/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Barry McHugh: 29% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/5 Trip 6f: 0/7 Course Galloping: 0/9 Class C6+: 1/25 Field 13+: 0/2
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