Racing Verdict
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Result Race of the Day 16:23 · Market Rasen

Tractor Drivers Go Free On Agriculture Raceday 'Newcomers' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)

Class 52m 125yGood to soft-soft in places · GoingStick 5.94YO to 5YO · 4 ran£2,178 to the winnerShowers 2 experts
Analyst verdict Locked 09:19 GMT · #a9b6b8 · updated 15:35 GMT (v2)
No bet: this newcomers' race gives no clear edge over the betting

All four runners are first-timers with little beyond stable form and the betting to judge them on, and none stands out as underrated. With no strong, specific reason to back any of them against the market, this race is best left alone.

How the race should unfoldAll four runners are first-time starters, so there's little proven form to go on and the betting is the best guide available. The favourite carries the strongest stable and jockey form, including a winner earlier in the day, while the others have shown nothing to suggest they're underrated. Expect the race to be shaped more by inexperience than tactics.
1
Clos Du Mouche
The favourite, backed by a yard and jockey in excellent form with a winner already today, but that strength already looks built into the price.
43% / 54%
2
Beau De Maine
Has shortened sharply in the betting on the back of a hot stable, though that support looks already reflected in the current price.
37% / 27%
3
Soviet Sailor
A first-timer ridden by a claiming apprentice, from a yard short of recent winners, with nothing pointing to hidden value.
11% / 10%
4
Ezenli
Another newcomer whose price has eased rather than shortened, with no standout reason to expect a bigger run than the betting suggests.
9% / 9%
Red flags
All four runners are unraced, so there's very little hard evidence to judge them on.Market moves here look already priced in rather than signs of hidden value.With no bet placed, each runner's true chance remains genuinely hard to call.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

2 experts

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Ezenli (IRE)20.021.0
Clos Du Mouche (FR): 2.22 at 15:23 → 2.02 at 16:22.
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Result

Official · time 4m 23.95s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Clos Du Mouche — 3rd.

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 No form J Daniel Sansom (3) 100% T Seamus Mullins 2/12 11% / 10% 9.60 9.80

No previous runs on our record.

First run on our record
Trainer Seamus Mullins: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Daniel Sansom: 100% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 1/1Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/1Course Tight: 1/1Class C5: 1/1Field ≤ 8: 1/1
Our chance 11% · market 10%
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2 No form J Sam Twiston-Davies 21% T N & W Twiston-Davies 5/23 37% / 35% 2.82 2.84

No previous runs on our record.

First run on our record
Trainer N & W Twiston-Davies: 5/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies: 21% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/1Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/1Course Tight: 0/1Class C5: 0/1Field ≤ 8: 0/1
Our chance 37% · market 35%
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3 No form J S Bowen 28% T O Murphy 8/34 43% / 49% 2.00 2.02

No previous runs on our record.

First run on our record
Trainer O Murphy: 8/34 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey S Bowen: 28% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/1Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/1Course Tight: 0/1Class C5: 0/1Field ≤ 8: 0/1
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 43% · market 49%
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4
Ezenli (IRE)
4yo · 11-3
No form J Miss Brodie Hampson 0% T A Watson 1/12 9% / 5% 20.0 21.0

No previous runs on our record.

First run on our record
Trainer A Watson: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Miss Brodie Hampson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/1Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/1Course Tight: 0/1Class C5: 0/1Field ≤ 8: 0/1
Our chance 9% · market 5%
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5