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Result Race of the Day 17:30 · Southwell

Join The Midnite Movement Handicap

Class 6Handicap1m 4f 14yStandard3YO plus · 14 ran£3,768 to the winnerRain 4 experts
Analyst verdict Locked 09:30 BST · #55108d · updated 16:47 BST (v2)
A wide-open 14-runner handicap with no standout and no betting value on offer.

The market's prices look broadly fair across this big field, and the few areas of possible value are too marginal or uncertain to back with confidence.

How the race should unfoldFourteen runners line up with no dominant favourite. One horse looks the likeliest to take the lead, but another with a similar racing style could prevent a clean break, so this race is unlikely to be settled until deep into the final stages.
1
Spirit Of Nature
Came into this on the up after a close second at a big price, and now sits as a fair-priced favourite with little hidden value left.
17% / 11%
2
Wyvill
The three-year-old is in the best form of its career, having run close to winning in each of its recent starts.
13% / 12%
3
Havachoc
Finished well back last time, but that run came against much stronger opposition, and several of those rivals have since gone on to win.
12% / 9%
4
Masego
Drops in from jumps racing with a big gap between its official rating and apparent ability, though this move is largely unproven so far.
12% / 13%
5
Lednikov
Looks the likeliest to take it up in front, with more raw ability than its rating suggests, but was only narrowly beaten last time out.
6% / 5%
Red flags
The pace picture is not fully settled - the likely leader could be challenged for the front, which would change how the race plays out.The step up from jumps to this longer flat trip is a big, largely untested leap for one of the contenders.Reading improved form into one runner's last run depends on judging how strong its opposition really was, not a clear result.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

4 experts
Masego (IRE)
1 expert

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Wyvill6.606.80
Masego (IRE)7.407.60
Havachoc13.013.5
Miss Veronika: 10.5 at 16:30 → 6.20 at 17:29.
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Southwell 1m 2f+

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Led1.081.70—Prominent1.141.161.06Mid-div0.581.120.95Held up0.670.950.75
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 2m 40.10s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Spirit Of Nature — 13th.

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (10)
Miss Veronika
4yo · 9-9 · OR 55
466 J Callum Rodriguez 8% T Brian Ellison 4/24 — / 16% 6.20 6.40
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
08 Sep 26Catterick5f 212yGood To SoftC56/618L67.0
03 Sep 26Southwell4f 214yStandardC46/637½L67.0
20 Aug 26Newcastle7f 14yStandardC44/99¾L67.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
Last ran 46 days ago
Trainer Brian Ellison: 4/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Callum Rodriguez: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/3Trip 1m1f+: 0/1Course AW: 0/3Class C6+: 0/1Field 13+: 0/1
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2 (5)
Havachoc p
4yo · 9-7 · OR 53
624796 J Paddy Bradley 5% T P Morris 1/12 12% / 8% 13.0 13.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
25 Sep 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC66/124¼L9.00
11 Sep 26Chester1m 7f 196yGood To SoftC59/1263¾L67.0
07 Aug 26Haydock Park1m 6fGoodC57/716L34.0
3 wins from 26 · placed 10
Course winner: 1 win from 4 here
Last ran 29 days ago
Trainer P Morris: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Paddy Bradley: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/16Trip 1m1f+: 3/24Course AW: 3/16Class C6+: 3/20Field 13+: 0/2
Our chance 12% · market 8%
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3 (13)
Hickton (IRE)
4yo · 9-7 · OR 53
965337 J Zak Wheatley 0% T Declan Carroll 0/12 — / 4% 23.0 24.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
28 Sep 26Hamilton Park1m 4f 15ySoft-heavy in placesC67/1024½L15.0
14 Sep 26Thirsk1m 4f 8yGoodC63/124¼L10.0
02 Sep 26Hamilton Park1m 3f 15ySoftC63/84L26.0
3 wins from 26 · placed 10
Course winner: 2 wins from 6 here
Last ran 26 days ago
Trainer Declan Carroll: 0/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Zak Wheatley: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 2/10Trip 1m1f+: 3/21Course AW: 2/10Class C6+: 3/24Field 13+: 1/3
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4 (12)
Nymphaea (GB) p
4yo · 9-6 · OR 52
215144 J Darragh Keenan 0% T J Candlish 0/19 — / 2% 40.0 42.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
13 Oct 26Wolverhampton1m 4f 51yStandardC64/118½L34.0
28 Jul 26Great Yarmouth1m 3f 104yGood To FirmC64/61½L4.00
21 Jul 26Nottingham1m 2f 50yGood To FirmC61/6—3.75
2 wins from 18 · placed 6
4 runs here without a win
Last ran 11 days ago
Trainer J Candlish: 0/19 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Darragh Keenan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/10Trip 1m1f+: 2/19Course AW: 0/10Class C6+: 2/16Field 13+: 0/3
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5 (3)
Highland Harvey (IRE) b11
4yo · 9-5 · OR 51
332344 J Callum Shepherd 0% T Gihan Arnolda 0/5 — / 9% 10.5 11.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
06 Oct 26Brighton1m 3f 198yGood-good to firm in placesC64/94L3.75
21 Sep 26Wolverhampton1m 4f 51yStandardC64/91½L4.00
10 Sep 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC63/9nk4.50
1 win from 23 · placed 9
11 runs at around this trip without a win
First time in blinkers
Trainer Gihan Arnolda: 0/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Callum Shepherd: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/11Trip 1m1f+: 1/18Course AW: 0/11Class C6+: 1/13Field 13+: 0/8
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6 (8)
Masego (IRE)
4yo · 9-5 · OR 51
551323 J Kevin Stott 17% T Tony Carroll 1/35 12% / 13% 7.40 7.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
23 Sep 26Listowel2m 2f 135yGood—7/1820¾L29.0
26 Aug 26Bellewstown2m 1f 40yGood To Yielding—12/1545L4.50
20 Jul 26Ballinrobe1m 4f 179yGood To Yielding—3/119¾L2.50
1 win from 16 · placed 4
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 31 days ago
Trainer Tony Carroll: 1/35 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kevin Stott: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/2Trip 1m1f+: 1/8Course AW: 0/2Class C6+: 0/1Field 13+: 1/12
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 12% · market 13%
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7 (1)
Raysham (IRE) p11
4yo · 9-4 · OR 50
773300 J Luke Morris 10% T Gihan Arnolda 0/5 — / 2% 48.0 55.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
11 May 26Catterick1m 4fGoodC610/1421L17.0
18 Apr 26Nottingham1m 110yGoodC610/1018L12.0
27 Oct 25Redcar1m 2fGood To SoftC63/132½L4.33
0 wins from 9 · placed 2
1 run here without a win
First time in cheekpieces
Trainer Gihan Arnolda: 0/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Luke Morris: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/2Trip 1m1f+: 0/7Course AW: 0/2Class C6+: 0/6Field 13+: 0/4
1 expert tipped this horse
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8 (2)
Wyvill
3yo · 9-3 · OR 55
66733 J Billy Loughnane 19% T Ian Williams 1/23 13% / 15% 6.60 6.80
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC63/112½L4.50
09 Sep 26Kempton Park1m 2f 219yStandard To SlowC63/122¼L15.0
16 Aug 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC47/1014½L301.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 2
1 run here without a win
Last ran 35 days ago
Trainer Ian Williams: 1/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Billy Loughnane: 19% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/5Trip 1m1f+: 0/4Course AW: 0/5Class C6+: 0/3Field 13+: 0/1
Our chance 13% · market 15%
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9 (7)
Clipsham Noble (IRE) p
4yo · 9-3 · OR 49
614336 J Rob Hornby 6% T Charlie Clover 2/5 — / 4% 26.0 27.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
06 Oct 26Brighton1m 3f 198yGood-good to firm in placesC66/98½L6.00
15 Sep 26Wolverhampton1m 5f 219yStandardC63/94¼L9.50
01 Sep 26Brighton1m 3f 198yGoodC63/8½L7.00
3 wins from 35 · placed 10
Won 1 of 6 at around this trip
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer Charlie Clover: 2/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rob Hornby: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/14Trip 1m1f+: 3/19Course AW: 1/14Class C6+: 4/33Field 13+: 1/4
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10 (9)
Fighting Poet (IRE) b
8yo · 9-3 · OR 49
689237 J R Havlin 6% T Richard Phillips 0/4 — / 1% 140.0 220.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
26 Aug 26Wolverhampton1m 4f 51yStandardC67/1118¾L11.0
18 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC63/101¼L11.0
11 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC62/11½L81.0
3 wins from 43 · placed 10
Won 1 of 20 at around this trip
Last ran 59 days ago
Trainer Richard Phillips: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey R Havlin: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/20Trip 1m1f+: 3/43Course AW: 0/20Class C6+: 3/40Field 13+: 0/8
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11 (6)
Spirit Of Nature
4yo · 9-3 · OR 49
870672 J Harry Davies 12% T J S Goldie 2/21 17% / 14% 6.80 7.20
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
25 Sep 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC62/12nk23.0
02 Sep 26Hamilton Park1m 3f 15ySoftC67/829½L29.0
11 Aug 26Hamilton Park1m 4f 15yGoodC66/86¼L34.0
0 wins from 8 · placed 2
2 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 29 days ago
Trainer J S Goldie: 2/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Harry Davies: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/2Trip 1m1f+: 0/7Course AW: 0/2Class C6+: 0/6Field 13+: 0/1
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 17% · market 14%
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12 (4)
Lednikov b
8yo · 9-2 · OR 48
574357 J Elle-May Croot (5) 0% T Ivan Furtado 2/26 6% / 5% 21.0 22.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
28 Sep 26Wolverhampton1m 5f 219yStandardC67/108¼L10.0
31 Aug 26Southwell1m 6f 21yStandardC65/614¼L4.33
15 Aug 26Doncaster1m 6f 115yGood To FirmC63/71½L17.0
7 wins from 53 · placed 17
Course winner: 6 wins from 21 here
Last ran 26 days ago
Trainer Ivan Furtado: 2/26 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Elle-May Croot: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 6/37Trip 1m1f+: 7/52Course AW: 6/37Class C6+: 7/46Field 13+: 1/5
Our chance 6% · market 5%
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13 (14)
Alkaios
3yo · 9-2 · OR 54
599055 J Dougie Costello 0% T Steph Hollinshead 2/16 — / 6% 15.0 16.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Oct 26Wolverhampton1m 4f 51yStandardC65/113½L15.0
10 Sep 26Lingfield Park1m 2fStandardC65/102L41.0
27 Jul 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC610/1314¾L67.0
0 wins from 6 · placed 0
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer Steph Hollinshead: 2/16 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Dougie Costello: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/6Trip 1m1f+: 0/5Course AW: 0/6Class C6+: 0/4Field 13+: 0/3
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14 (11)
The Ormer Gatherer
7yo · 9-1 · OR 47
177173 J William Cox 0% T Faye Bramley 2/12 — / 1% 70.0 75.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
27 Sep 26Ffos Las1m 2fSoftC63/54½L8.00
12 Sep 26Bath1mGoodC67/114½L51.0
10 May 25Leicester1m 2fGood To FirmC67/99¾L51.0
1 win from 18 · placed 3
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 27 days ago
Trainer Faye Bramley: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey William Cox: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/12Trip 1m1f+: 1/7Course AW: 1/12Class C6+: 1/15Field 13+: 0/4
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