Friday 23 October › Sligo › 16:55
Result
Race of the Day
16:55 · Sligo (IRE)
Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle
Handicap? 3m 1f 164y? Good to yielding? 4YO plus · 9 ran €7,200 to the winner Light rain showers
1 expert
Analyst verdict
Locked 12:20 BST · #923a5b · updated 16:22 BST (v2)
A fair, well-assessed market means no clear betting edge in this long hurdle race.
The favourite's strengths already look priced in fairly, and the most interesting alternative carries enough question marks that there is no confident edge to back. Better to watch this one than get involved.
How the race should unfold Over this very long trip on good to yielding ground, two horses are likely to share the early lead, which could set a brisk pace. That should suit horses who can finish strongly in the closing stages rather than front-runners who fade late.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Strong Contender The market favourite, having already won over this course and distance and arriving in strong form, but the price already reflects those strengths.
25% / 23%
2
Boston Rajj Has recently faced tougher rivals than today's and only lost narrowly, suggesting more ability than his price implies, though he steps up sharply in distance on a quick turnaround.
20% / 21%
3
Mickey Cohen Finished a close second last time out, but his yard is short of winners lately and he has a history of jumping mistakes, so he looks fairly priced.
17% / 28%
4
Broken Ice Looks capable of better than his current mark suggests, but he is short of his best form and his jockey has other claims today.
11% / 10%
5
Johnny Cakes Returns from a long absence and has previously found this calibre of race too strong for him, so a fair price despite an improving profile on paper.
9% / 9%
Red flags Mickey Cohen has a history of jumping errors, which could cost him in a race run at a strong pace. Johnny Cakes is returning from a lengthy spell off the track, always a question mark over readiness. Boston Rajj is stepping up sharply in distance and ran only five days ago, both adding uncertainty.
Expert confidence? 1 expert
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Result Official · time 6m 51.90s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Strong Contender — 6th.
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
3 4 5 7 5 2
J Gearoid Brouder (5) 0%
T Ian OConnor 0/4
20% / 24%
4.10 4.20
1 win from 18 · placed 8
Course winner: 1 win from 3 here
Last ran 5 days ago
Trainer Ian OConnor: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Gearoid Brouder: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/7 Trip 3m+: 1/3 Course Tight: 1/9 Field 9–12: 0/7
Our chance 20% · market 24%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
2
1 4 5 4 6 0
J Paddy Cody (7) 0%
T John C McConnell 0/22
— / 2%
44.0 48.0
0 wins from 2 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer John C McConnell: 0/22 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Paddy Cody: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/1 Trip 3m+: 0/2 Course Tight: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/1
Spotted wrong data? Report it
4
1 2 4 5 6 2
J Mr Finn Tegetmeier (7) 0%
T Noel Meade 1/18
17% / 18%
5.50 5.60
1 win from 16 · placed 6
1 run here without a win
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer Noel Meade: 1/18 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Finn Tegetmeier: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/3 Trip 3m+: 0/4 Course Tight: 0/5 Field 9–12: 1/5
Our chance 17% · market 18%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
5
5 0 3 5 2 3
J Eoin Staples (5) 12%
T John C McConnell 0/22
11% / 10%
10.0 10.5
3 wins from 63 · placed 19
Course winner: 1 win from 8 here
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer John C McConnell: 0/22 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Eoin Staples: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/20 Trip 3m+: 1/24 Course Tight: 2/30 Field 9–12: 2/24
Our chance 11% · market 10%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
6
3 4 4 U 9 F
J Paddy Cleary (7) 0%
T Nigel Thomas Slevin 0/5
— / 2%
60.0 70.0
2 wins from 12 · placed 5
Course winner: 1 win from 1 here
Last ran 17 days ago
Trainer Nigel Thomas Slevin: 0/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Paddy Cleary: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/5 Trip 3m+: 0/1 Course Tight: 1/7 Field 9–12: 1/8
Spotted wrong data? Report it
7
8 6 5 F P 0
J Danny Mullins 15%
T P A Fahy 2/13
— / 3%
30.0 36.0
0 wins from 7 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 21 days ago
Trainer P A Fahy: 2/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Danny Mullins: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/2 Trip 3m+: 1/2 Course Tight: 1/1 Field 9–12: 1/2
Spotted wrong data? Report it
8
7 8 1 1 3 5
J Conor Smithers (7) 0%
T Norman Lee 0/6
25% / 20%
4.80 5.00
2 wins from 9 · placed 3
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 28 days ago
Trainer Norman Lee: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Conor Smithers: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/6 Trip 3m+: 2/5 Course Tight: 2/7 Field 9–12: 1/2
Our chance 25% · market 20%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
9
5 0 4 3 5 5
J Shane OCallaghan (3) 0%
T P J Rothwell 0/32
9% / 11%
9.00 9.40
1 win from 22 · placed 3
First time at this course and trip
Returns from a 233-day break
Trainer P J Rothwell: 0/32 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Shane OCallaghan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 0/6 Trip 3m+: 0/6 Course Tight: 0/5 Field 9–12: 0/8
Our chance 9% · market 11%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
11
4 3 4 2 0 8
J Josh Williamson (3) 8%
T P A Fahy 2/13
— / 10%
10.0 10.5
3 wins from 40 · placed 7
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 23 days ago
Trainer P A Fahy: 2/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Josh Williamson: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Gd-Soft: 1/11 Trip 3m+: 0/1 Course Tight: 3/19 Field 9–12: 2/14
Spotted wrong data? Report it