Thursday 22 October › Clonmel › 14:46
Result
Race of the Day
14:46 · Clonmel (IRE)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle
2m 4f 23y? Good-good to yielding in places on hurdle course? 4YO plus · 12 ran €9,000 to the winner overcast light rain
3 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:40 BST · #8c0328 · updated 14:13 BST (v2)
Wicked Pleasure stands out as the value play behind pace-setter Red Acres Georgie.
Market (Betfair)?
24% 3.45
Confidence?
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfold Red Acres Georgie looks set to stride off alone in front, a tactic that has suited her before, with Katie Can't Count tracking handily. The gallop should stay steady enough to keep the leader going, while Wicked Pleasure, racing off the pace, looks the type to finish strongest late on.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Red Acres Georgie The highest-rated runner here and likely to lead unchallenged, a tactic that has kept her competitive before; fairly priced rather than a bargain.
30% / 40%
2
Katie Can't Count From a yard in excellent form and racing at her peak, with experience against tougher fields, though she looks fairly assessed rather than undervalued.
22% / 10%
3
Wicked Pleasure Previously faced stronger fields than today's, with several of those rivals winning next time out, suggesting more ability than her bare results show.
20% / 24%
4
Run For Power Her last defeat has a clear excuse, and the yard is in good current form, but she doesn't look clearly undervalued at this price.
15% / 6%
5
Cloudy Rosie Carries a touch more weight than rivals thanks to her ratings edge, but limited experience and a modest stable record make this more of a guess.
7% / 3%
Red flags Wicked Pleasure has had jumping errors in the past, a concern over this longer hurdle trip. Her jockey's recent strike rate isn't especially strong by the numbers. With 13 runners, a hold-up ride like hers can be vulnerable to being short of room or getting shuffled back early.
Expert confidence? 3 experts
Our analyst and the proven experts agree on Wicked Pleasure.
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Result Official · time 5m 04.40s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
2 4 7
J John Shinnick 14%
T Mrs Lorna Fowler 0/3
— / 1%
85.0 130.0
0 wins from 2 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer Mrs Lorna Fowler: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey John Shinnick: 14% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2 Course Undulating: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/1
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2
5 6 8 7 8 3
J Philip Donovan 0%
T Miss Evanna McCutcheon 0/2
— / 0%
200.0 380.0
0 wins from 6 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer Miss Evanna McCutcheon: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Philip Donovan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/4 Course Undulating: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/2
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4
3 3 2 4 3
J Kevin Healy (7) 8%
T Richard Morrissey 0/1
7% / 4%
22.0 25.0
0 wins from 2 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer Richard Morrissey: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kevin Healy: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2 Course Undulating: 0/2 Field 9–12: 0/1
Our chance 7% · market 4%
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5
4 F 6 2
J Brian Hayes 11%
T W P Mullins 3/23
22% / 5%
19.5 21.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
First time in a tongue strap
Trainer W P Mullins: 3/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Brian Hayes: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/4 Course Undulating: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/2
Our chance 22% · market 5%
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6
No form
J Phillip Enright 9%
T Patrick John Kiely 1/3
— / 0%
380.0 1000.0
No previous runs on our record.
First run on our record
Trainer Patrick John Kiely: 1/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Phillip Enright: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/1 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/1 Course Undulating: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/1
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7
1 7 7 F 4 2
J Danny Mullins 18%
T Anthony Mullins 0/4
30% / 43%
2.28 2.30
0 wins from 5 · placed 1
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Anthony Mullins: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Danny Mullins: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/4 Course Undulating: 0/4 Field 9–12: 0/2
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 30% · market 43%
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8
0 4 6 6 5
J Philip Byrnes 15%
T C Byrnes 3/11
15% / 3%
29.0 34.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
First time in a visor
Trainer C Byrnes: 3/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Philip Byrnes: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/5 Course Undulating: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/3
Our chance 15% · market 3%
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9
4 5 0 4 3
J Eoghan Finegan (5) 10%
T Ciaran Murphy 1/17
— / 2%
55.0 65.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 1
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Ciaran Murphy: 1/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Eoghan Finegan: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/3 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/4 Course Undulating: 0/2 Field 9–12: 0/4
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10
3 3 4
J Mike OConnor 20%
T Henry De Bromhead 7/31
20% / 29%
3.45 3.50
0 wins from 3 · placed 2
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 24 days ago
Trainer Henry De Bromhead: 7/31 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mike OConnor: 20% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/2 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/3 Course Undulating: 1/3 Field 9–12: 1/1
2 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record
Our chance 20% · market 29%
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11
5
J James Smith (3) 0%
T Matthew J Smith 0/7
— / 6%
17.5 19.0
0 wins from 11 · placed 2
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer Matthew J Smith: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey James Smith: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/7 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2 Course Undulating: 0/7 Field 9–12: 0/6
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12
0 9 0
J Richard Condon (5) 0%
T P A Fahy 2/13
— / 0%
1000.0 —
0 wins from 3 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer P A Fahy: 2/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Richard Condon: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/4 Course Undulating: 0/2 Field 9–12: 0/2
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13
2 2 8
J Ross Sugrue (7) 0%
T Sean Thomas Doyle 0/2
— / 6%
16.0 18.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 2
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer Sean Thomas Doyle: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ross Sugrue: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/3 Course Undulating: 0/2 Field 9–12: 0/3
Spotted wrong data? Report it