Result Race of the Day 15:02 · Carlisle

Race Home With Genesis Homes Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)

Class 5Handicap2m 3f 218yChase: good to firm-good in places; hurdle: good · GoingStick 7.23YO plus · 13 ran£3,565 to the winnerOvercast 4 experts

View on Betfair ↗

Analyst verdict Locked 09:41 BST · #52ee93 · updated 14:36 BST (v2)

Rickety Gate's course-and-distance form and in-form yard make it the pick over the favourite.

Our chance

16% 1 in 6

Market (Betfair)

13% 7.20

Worth it down to

6.40

Confidence

Medium · Tier B

How the race should unfoldWith no confirmed front-runner in this big field, a scrap for position looks likely to continue right into the finish. The market is tightly bunched, with the favourite only narrowly ahead of several rivals, so this looks more open than the betting alone suggests.

U S Marshall

U S Marshall is the market favourite, but it has no clear edge in ability, has had jumping errors before, and its team isn't in the strongest recent form.

16% / 13%

Rickety Gate

Our pick: already a winner at this course and over this distance, with a yard currently in much better form than its usual average.

16% / 13%

La Lolita

Popular in the betting and trying a tongue-tie for the first time, though its price has been drifting and it has had jumping errors.

13% / 16%

Jetovango

Backed heavily and dropping in class, but its recent form is well below the peak it showed a while back.

12% / 8%

Lady Phoebe

Making its first start over hurdles after a flat-racing career, which leaves a lot of guesswork in judging its chance.

9% / 11%

Red flags

Rickety Gate's last run was a heavy defeat, and its rating wasn't adjusted downward afterwards.At 11 years old, it's towards the older end for this grade.It's returning from a break of this length, a pattern that hasn't always worked out well for it before.

Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

4 experts

La Lolita (FR)

2 experts · 1 with a strong record

Final Straw (IRE)

1 expert · 1 with a strong record

Jetovango (IRE)

1 expert · 1 with a strong record

Our analyst and the proven experts disagree: the experts lean elsewhere.

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

U S Marshall (IRE)6.006.20

Jetovango (IRE)6.606.80

La Lolita (FR)7.007.20

Rickety Gate (GB)7.207.40

Coventry (IRE)9.209.40

Lady Phoebe (IRE)9.409.60

Rickety Gate (GB): 7.60 at 14:02 → 7.20 at 14:53.

Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Result

Official · time 5m 07.50s · Report

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Beaten	SP	BSP
1	Lady Phoebe (IRE)	Ryan Mania	Adam Nicol	—	8.00	10.5
2	Billable Grant (IRE)	Patrick Wadge	Jackie Stephen	4L	81.0	149.9
3	Half Track (IRE)	Bruce Lynn	N W Alexander	7L	29.0	40.9
4	Rickety Gate (GB) Our pick	Danny McMenamin	Nicky Richards	9L	4.50	5.48
5	Gonnino (IRE)	Callum Bewley	Gary Rutherford	11¼L	10.0	14.0
6	U S Marshall (IRE)	Toby Wynne	Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	11¾L	5.00	5.80
7	Coventry (IRE)	Peter Kavanagh	Lisa Harrison	13½L	7.00	9.00
8	Am Still Here (IRE)	Sean Quinlan	Lizzie Quinlan	19L	19.0	27.0
9	La Lolita (FR)	Jonathan England	S England	27½L	7.00	9.20
10	Final Straw (IRE)	Jamie Hamilton	M Todhunter	30¼L	23.0	40.0
11	Jetovango (IRE)	Harry Reed	T Davidson	37¼L	6.00	8.00
12	Shoeshine Boy (IRE)	Craig Nichol	Donald Whillans	42¼L	34.0	44.3
13	Chicago Storm (GB)	Lorcan Murtagh	Barry Murtagh	45½L	151.0	430.0

How our analyst did

Rickety Gate4thBSP 5.48−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon

Final Straw (IRE)

6yo · 12-0 · OR 100

64116 J Jamie Hamilton 8% T M Todhunter 1/4 — / 4% 24.0 26.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
04 Dec 25	Wincanton	3m 110y	Good To Soft	C5	6/7	13L	3.00
17 Nov 25	Plumpton	3m 1f	Good	C5	1/6	—	1.91
10 Nov 25	Kempton Park	3m 110y	Good	C5	1/9	—	3.75

2 wins from 6 · placed 2

First time at this course and trip

Returns from a 322-day break

Trainer M Todhunter: 1/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Jamie Hamilton: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 2/6Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2Course Stiff: 1/2Class C5: 2/4Field 13+: 0/1

1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Full profile →Jockey Jamie Hamilton Trainer M Todhunter

Spotted wrong data? Report it

Shoeshine Boy (IRE)

10yo · 12-0 · OR 100

1135P J Craig Nichol 0% T Donald Whillans 0/2 — / 2% 48.0 55.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
13 May 26	Perth	3m 2f 110y	Good To Soft	C4	PU	—	26.0
17 Apr 26	Ayr	3m 110y	Soft	C3	5/15	11½L	23.0
10 Feb 26	Ayr	3m 110y	Soft	C4	3/9	15L	5.00

7 wins from 40 · placed 19

Course winner: 1 win from 3 here

Returns from a 162-day break

Trainer Donald Whillans: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Craig Nichol: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 0/4Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/3Course Stiff: 2/11Class C5: 2/12Field 13+: 2/11

Full profile →Jockey Craig Nichol Trainer Donald Whillans

Spotted wrong data? Report it

U S Marshall (IRE) p

6yo · 11-12 · OR 98

59552 J Toby Wynne 0% T Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 1/12 16% / 17% 6.00 6.20

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
04 Apr 26	Huntingdon	2m 4f 110y	Good	C5	2/7	6½L	5.50
14 Mar 26	Newcastle	2m 4f 110y	Good To Soft	C5	5/15	9L	7.00
17 Feb 26	Market Rasen	2m 7f	Soft	C4	5/9	19¼L	21.0

0 wins from 6 · placed 2

1 run here without a win

Returns from a 201-day break

Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Toby Wynne: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 0/3Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2Course Stiff: 0/2Class C5: 0/3Field 13+: 0/2

Our chance 16% · market 17%

Full profile →Jockey Toby Wynne Trainer Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Spotted wrong data? Report it

Jetovango (IRE) p

7yo · 11-9 · OR 95

4P374 J Harry Reed 9% T T Davidson 1/9 12% / 15% 6.60 6.80

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
07 Oct 26	Sedgefield	2m 5f 34y	Good-good to firm in places	C4	4/7	12L	17.0
24 Sep 26	Perth	2m 7f 207y	Good	C5	7/9	19½L	6.50
30 Jun 26	Wexford	2m 3f 110y	Good	—	3/14	5L	151.0

0 wins from 7 · placed 2

1 run at around this trip without a win

Last ran 15 days ago

Trainer T Davidson: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Harry Reed: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 0/6Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/3Course Stiff: 0/1Class C5: 0/2Field 13+: 0/5

1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 12% · market 15%

Full profile →Jockey Harry Reed Trainer T Davidson

Spotted wrong data? Report it

Chicago Storm (GB)

7yo · 11-9 · OR 95

F03P0 J Lorcan Murtagh 0% T Barry Murtagh 0/1 — / 0% 300.0 1000.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
24 Jul 26	Uttoxeter	1m 7f 168y	Good	C5	11/11	62¼L	81.0
13 Jun 26	Hexham	1m 7f 133y	Good	C5	PU	—	21.0
19 Apr 26	Stratford-on-Avon	2m 2f 110y	Good	C5	3/13	7¾L	12.0

5 wins from 48 · placed 11

First time at this course and trip

Returns from a 90-day break

Trainer Barry Murtagh: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Lorcan Murtagh: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 0/13Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/7Course Stiff: 0/5Class C5: 1/7Field 13+: 4/24

Full profile →Jockey Lorcan Murtagh Trainer Barry Murtagh

Spotted wrong data? Report it

La Lolita (FR) t11

5yo · 11-8 · OR 94

13545 J Jonathan England 25% T S England 3/21 13% / 14% 7.00 7.20

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
04 Sep 26	Bangor-on-Dee	2m 3f 123y	Good	C5	5/11	14¼L	8.00
23 Aug 26	Worcester	2m 4f	Good	C5	4/13	4¼L	13.0
12 Jul 26	Stratford-on-Avon	2m 2f 148y	Good To Firm	C5	5/8	13L	26.0

1 win from 11 · placed 3

4 runs at around this trip without a win

First time in a tongue strap

Trainer S England: 3/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Jonathan England: 25% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 1/9Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/8Course Stiff: 0/2Class C5: 0/6Field 13+: 0/3

2 experts tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 13% · market 14%

Full profile →Jockey Jonathan England Trainer S England

Spotted wrong data? Report it

Gonnino (IRE) p

7yo · 11-4 · OR 90

62454 J Callum Bewley 0% T Gary Rutherford 0/2 — / 7% 13.5 14.5

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
24 Sep 26	Perth	2m 47y	Good	C5	4/9	6¼L	9.00
13 May 26	Perth	2m 4f	Good To Soft	C5	5/9	28¾L	7.00
20 Apr 26	Kelso	2m 2f	Good	C5	4/10	26½L	3.50

0 wins from 14 · placed 4

1 run here without a win

Last ran 28 days ago

Trainer Gary Rutherford: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Callum Bewley: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 0/6Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/7Course Stiff: 0/2Class C5: 0/11Field 13+: 0/3

Full profile →Jockey Callum Bewley Trainer Gary Rutherford

Spotted wrong data? Report it

Half Track (IRE)

10yo · 11-2 · OR 88

88U5P J Bruce Lynn 0% T N W Alexander 0/14 — / 2% 48.0 55.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
27 Jan 26	Newcastle	2m 7f 110y	Heavy	C5	PU	—	13.0
14 Dec 25	Carlisle	2m 3f 110y	Soft	C5	5/8	10¾L	13.0
30 Nov 25	Carlisle	2m 3f 110y	Soft	C4	UR	—	5.50

1 win from 23 · placed 6

5 runs here without a win

Returns from a 268-day break

Trainer N W Alexander: 0/14 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Bruce Lynn: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Good: 0/4Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/7Course Stiff: 0/7Class C5: 0/4Field 13+: 0/3

Full profile →Jockey Bruce Lynn Trainer N W Alexander

Spotted wrong data? Report it

Lady Phoebe (IRE)

5yo · 10-12 · OR 84

07448 J Ryan Mania 10% T Adam Nicol 1/8 9% / 10% 9.40 9.60

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
30 Sep 26	Catterick	1m 7f 189y	Good to firm	C6	3/9	2½L	4.33
21 Jun 26	Hexham	2m 7f 63y	Good	C5	8/11	21¾L	5.00
08 Jun 26	Pontefract	2m 1f 27y	Good	C6	2/12	4¾L	8.50