Tuesday 20 October › Great Yarmouth › 14:53
Gold And Silver Exchange Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Class 4? Handicap? 1m 3f 104y? Soft · GoingStick 4.6? 3YO plus · 8 ran £5,653 to the winner Light rain showers
9 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:36 BST · #4e6b99 · updated 14:08 BST (v2)
No standout in this one, with the market's view of the favourite open to question.
There's enough doubt over the favourite's true form, and no runner stands out clearly enough at today's prices to recommend a bet.
How the race should unfold There's no obvious pace-setter, so this looks like a race that stays close together and is settled in the closing stages. The favourite's two wins came against weaker fields than she faces today, leaving her true level untested here. One overlooked runner with stronger hidden form could feature late.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Queen Of Scotland She's unbeaten in two starts, but those wins came against clearly weaker rivals than she meets here, so her true level is still in question.
30% / 36%
2
Lady Magu Drew plenty of market support, but a sharp drift in price, a less proven jockey pairing and a step up in class after a long break are concerning.
12% / 21%
3
Miss Tonnerre Her recent finishing positions understate her ability; she's run close to much stronger fields before and was clearly hampered last time out.
11% / 7%
4
Shangri La She finished second over this same course and distance last autumn, though her form has cooled and the stable isn't currently in form.
10% / 8%
5
Arrivera Her price has shortened with the stable in good form, but she's yet to prove herself against rivals of this calibre.
9% / 6%
Red flags Queen Of Scotland's unbeaten record came against a weaker level of opposition than she faces today. Lady Magu has drifted sharply in the betting and steps up in class after a long absence. Shangri La and Arrivera both come from a stable that isn't currently finding much form.
Expert confidence? 9 experts
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Great Yarmouth 1m 2f+?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Prominent 1.73 0.79 0.91 Mid-div 0.81 — — Held up — 0.89 0.64
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 2m 31.49s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Queen Of Scotland — 5th.
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (4)
2 1 1
J Billy Loughnane 18%
T G Boughey 6/29
30% / 32%
3.10 3.15
2 wins from 3 · placed 3
Won 2 of 2 at around this trip
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer G Boughey: 6/29 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Billy Loughnane: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 2/4 Course Galloping: 0/1 Class C4: 0/1 Field ≤ 8: 2/4
3 experts tipped this horse · 3 with a strong record
Our chance 30% · market 32%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
2 (2)
7 7 0 4 0 4
J Ashley Lewis (3) 0%
T E Walker 4/24
11% / 7%
13.5 14.5
1 win from 9 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
Last ran 47 days ago
Trainer E Walker: 4/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ashley Lewis: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/3 Trip 1m1f+: 0/6 Course Galloping: 1/8 Class C4: 1/3 Field ≤ 8: 0/5
Our chance 11% · market 7%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
3 (5)
6 2 1
J D Egan 16%
T Tom Clover 3/11
9% / 9%
10.5 11.0
1 win from 3 · placed 2
First time at this course and trip
Returns from a 69-day break
Trainer Tom Clover: 3/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Egan: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 1m1f+: 1/3 Course Galloping: 0/1 Class C4: 0/2 Field ≤ 8: 1/3
Our chance 9% · market 9%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
4 (7)
3 1 1 3 1 6
J K Shoemark 17%
T M Botti 3/11
— / 14%
7.00 7.40
3 wins from 6 · placed 5
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 39 days ago
Trainer M Botti: 3/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey K Shoemark: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/1 Trip 1m1f+: 4/6 Course Galloping: 1/3 Class C4: 3/3 Field ≤ 8: 3/4
Spotted wrong data? Report it
5 (6)
5 5 1 1
J Ross Coakley 0%
T R Varian 4/22
12% / 13%
7.40 7.60
2 wins from 4 · placed 2
First time at this course and trip
Returns from a 98-day break
Trainer R Varian: 4/22 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ross Coakley: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/2 Trip 1m1f+: 2/5 Course Galloping: 1/2 Class C4: 1/3 Field ≤ 8: 1/3
6 experts tipped this horse · 6 with a strong record
Our chance 12% · market 13%
Spotted wrong data? Report it
6 (1)
3 1 3 8 8 5
J Rossa Ryan 12%
T A King 0/13
— / 10%
9.80 10.5
1 win from 6 · placed 3
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 20 days ago
Trainer A King: 0/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rossa Ryan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 1/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/4 Course Galloping: 1/5 Class C4: 0/4 Field ≤ 8: 1/3
Spotted wrong data? Report it
7 (8)
4 2 2 1 4
J Cieren Fallon 13%
T G Boughey 6/29
— / 5%
18.5 19.5
1 win from 5 · placed 3
Won 1 of 2 at around this trip
Last ran 43 days ago
Trainer G Boughey: 6/29 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Cieren Fallon: 13% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/1 Trip 1m1f+: 1/5 Course Galloping: 0/3 Class C4: 0/3 Field ≤ 8: 1/5
Spotted wrong data? Report it
8 (3)
4 3 5 3 2 0
J Daniel Muscutt 19%
T David Simcock 0/13
10% / 10%
10.0 10.5
0 wins from 7 · placed 3
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 9 days ago
Trainer David Simcock: 0/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Daniel Muscutt: 19% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Soft: 0/2 Trip 1m1f+: 0/6 Course Galloping: 0/4 Class C4: 0/4 Field ≤ 8: 0/5
Our chance 10% · market 10%
Spotted wrong data? Report it