Monday 19 October › Wolverhampton › 16:45
Download The At The Races App Nursery (Div 2)
Class 6? Handicap? 7f 36y? Standard? 2YO only · 12 ran £3,245 to the winner Mostly sunny
3 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:53 BST · #f27a32 · updated 16:23 BST (v2)
A tight, blanket finish looks likely, but nothing in the race offers clear value today.
Nothing here stands out as worth backing: the favourite is already fairly priced, the leading outsiders are weighed down by top weights in a big field, and other improving types have drifted sharply in the market, which tends to be a warning sign rather than an opportunity.
How the race should unfold With no obvious pace-setter, the field should race close together and the result likely won't be settled until the final furlong, since the surface here doesn't give front-runners much of an edge. The favourite has already won over course and distance, so expect it prominent, but little in the market looks mispriced either way.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Printing Money The favourite already won at this course and distance, and the market price looks fair, though there's a small concern it may race too keenly early.
37% / 36%
2
Prides Queen Steps up into a handicap for the first time off a modest mark, with a yard in good form at this course, and ran respectably last time against tougher company.
15% / 9%
3
Global Success Drops sharply in class and faces clearly weaker rivals than before, but has to carry a lot of weight in a large field.
12% / 12%
4
Navy Light Form against strong fields looks better than the result suggests, and the surface change should suit, but it also carries a big weight burden in a field of twelve.
9% / 9%
5
Hello You Ten Recent form is solid, but a sharp lengthening of its price shortly before the race is usually a caution sign rather than a reason to follow it.
6% / 9%
Red flags The favourite may have a tendency to race too freely early on. Two of the fancied outsiders are carrying a lot of weight in a large field, which often counts against them. Some improving types have drifted noticeably in the market just before the race, a pattern that has often signalled trouble rather than value.
Expert confidence? 3 experts
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Wolverhampton 7f?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Led 0.94 2.16 2.04 Prominent 1.25 1.22 0.89 Mid-div 1.02 0.88 0.89 Held up 0.38 0.70 0.62
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 1m 29.27s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Printing Money — 4th.
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: ?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (2)
5 4 5 J Aiden Brookes 0% T Micky Hammond 1/7 — / 4% 27.0 29.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
Returns from a 86-day break
Trainer Micky Hammond: 1/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Aiden Brookes: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/3 Trip 7f: 0/2 Course AW: 0/3 Class C6+: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/1
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2 (7)
5 2 5 3 4 9 J Oisin Murphy 21% T J S Moore 0/14 12% / 11% 8.80 9.20
0 wins from 10 · placed 4
3 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 16 days ago
Trainer J S Moore: 0/14 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Oisin Murphy: 21% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/1 Trip 7f: 0/4 Course AW: 0/1 Class C6+: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/4
Our chance 12% · market 11%
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3 (8)
4 2 3 8 J O J Orr 12% T R A Fahey 3/36 9% / 8% 13.0 13.5
0 wins from 4 · placed 2
2 runs at around this trip without a win
First time in cheekpieces
Trainer R A Fahey: 3/36 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey O J Orr: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/1 Trip 7f: 0/3 Course AW: 0/1 Class C6+: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/3
Our chance 9% · market 8%
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4 (3)
6 3 0 3 8 2 J William Carver 0% T Jamie Osborne 0/12 6% / 5% 20.0 21.0
0 wins from 6 · placed 3
2 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 11 days ago
Trainer Jamie Osborne: 0/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey William Carver: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/2 Trip 7f: 0/3 Course AW: 0/2 Class C6+: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/5
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 6% · market 5%
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5 (10)
6 4 9 6 4 J Megan Smith (7) 0% T G Boughey 6/29 — / 5% 19.5 21.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer G Boughey: 6/29 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Megan Smith: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/3 Trip 7f: 0/2 Course AW: 0/3 Class C6+: 0/2 Field 9–12: 0/5
1 expert tipped this horse
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6 (6)
9 6 7 3 9 1 J R Havlin 6% T Dylan Cunha 4/20 37% / 45% 2.20 2.22
1 win from 6 · placed 2
Course winner: 1 win from 1 here
Last ran 31 days ago
Trainer Dylan Cunha: 4/20 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey R Havlin: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 1/3 Trip 7f: 1/5 Course AW: 1/3 Class C6+: 1/4 Field 9–12: 1/5
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 37% · market 45%
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7 (11)
6 9 0 6 J Joey Haynes 0% T Chelsea Banham 0/2 — / 1% 100.0 200.0
0 wins from 4 · placed 0
2 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 39 days ago
Trainer Chelsea Banham: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Joey Haynes: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/4 Trip 7f: 0/3 Course AW: 0/4 Class C6+: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/4
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8 (9)
9 4 7 J Harry Davies 13% T Jonathan Portman 1/9 — / 1% 80.0 95.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 26 days ago
Trainer Jonathan Portman: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Harry Davies: 13% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/2 Trip 7f: 0/1 Course AW: 0/2 Class C6+: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/3
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9 (12)
8 8 0 3 0 J Tyler Heard 0% T S Dixon 1/37 — / 1% 130.0 170.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 1
1 run here without a win
Last ran 53 days ago
Trainer S Dixon: 1/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Tyler Heard: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/4 Trip 7f: 0/1 Course AW: 0/4 Class C6+: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/5
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10 (5)
7 4 4 4 0 J J Mitchell 14% T Joseph Parr 2/10 — / 5% 18.5 19.5
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Joseph Parr: 2/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey J Mitchell: 14% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/3 Trip 7f: 0/2 Course AW: 0/3 Class C6+: 0/3 Field 9–12: 0/4
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11 (1)
8 4 5 J C Lee 21% T Jack Channon 1/10 — / 3% 32.0 34.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
Last ran 30 days ago
Trainer Jack Channon: 1/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey C Lee: 21% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 1/2 Trip 7f: 1/2 Course AW: 1/2 Class C6+: 1/1 Field 9–12: 1/3
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12 (4)
8 0 5 J Marco Ghiani 5% T M Botti 3/11 15% / 12% 8.40 8.60
0 wins from 3 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
Returns from a 90-day break
Trainer M Botti: 3/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Marco Ghiani: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/2 Trip 7f: 0/3 Course AW: 0/2 Class C6+: 0/1 Field 9–12: 0/3
Our chance 15% · market 12%
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