Class 5Handicap1m 7f 195yChase: good-good to firm in places; hurdle: good-good to soft in places · GoingStick 6.63YO plus · 6 ran£3,829 to the winnerOvercast with sunny intervals6 experts
No standout value in this six-runner hurdle, so we're sitting this race out.
The two most fancied runners look the likeliest to contest the finish, but neither offers enough of an edge over its price to be worth backing. The rest of the field carries too many question marks - from untested jumping ability to inconsistent stable form - to make a confident case for any of them either.
How the race should unfoldWith only six runners, there's no obvious pace-setter. Mc'flo has led most often in the past but lacks the class to make it count. Latin and Ez Tiger look the two most likely to fight out the finish, but neither looks cheap enough at the prices on offer to be worth backing.
#Contender and why we differ from the marketOurs ■ vs market ■Win chance
Mix De Gris has an excuse from his last run, but a big step up in distance, a change of discipline, and a drift in the betting count against him.
5%/ 7%
Red flags
Backing the favourite in small fields doesn't always pay off, even when it looks the best horse.Two runners are stepping up in distance or switching to hurdles for the first time, which adds uncertainty.A couple of the outsiders come from stables that have been short of winners recently.