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Result Race of the Day 16:50 · Bath

Elite Racing Club Handicap (Div 1)

Class 6Handicap1mGood · GoingStick 5.14YO plus · 14 ran£3,454 to the winnerOvercast 6 experts
Analyst verdict Locked 09:53 BST · #d3ef07 · updated 16:14 BST (v2)
A brisk pace among front-runners could open the door for the favourite's rivals.
Our chance
19% 1 in 5
Market (Betfair)
10% 6.60
Worth it down to
5.30
Confidence
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfoldWith fourteen runners and three confirmed front-runners, the pace looks set to be hot, and they may tire each other out, which should help those racing closer to the pace settle things late. The favourite's stable has been quiet recently and she faces an awkward wide draw, leaving room for a couple of better-drawn, in-form rivals.
1
Spirit Lead Me
The reigning favourite won last time out, but a wide draw and a recent dip in her stable's form make her look vulnerable to a couple of rivals.
24% / 33%
2
Sub Thirteen
Backed heavily in the build-up, she was only narrowly beaten last time in a strong race and looks better than her price suggests.
19% / 10%
3
Dalmally
A recent winner with real class and previous form over this trip, though she carries top weight and drew wide, which may explain her bigger price.
14% / 13%
4
Georg Zhukov
Once rated higher, his form has dipped from its peak, so he is rated a touch below where the market has him.
10% / 13%
5
Sceptic
From a yard in form today and well backed, but he is short of his best and could get caught up in a fast early pace, so he is left out of the betting.
9% / 6%
Red flags
The favourite drew awkwardly wide and her stable has underperformed in recent weeks.One of the fancied runners steps up in distance today over a trip she hasn't proven she stays.The in-form yard's runner may be caught out if the early gallop is as brisk as expected.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

6 experts
Spirit Lead Me (IRE)
3 experts · 3 with a strong record
Sub Thirteen
2 experts · 2 with a strong record
Our analyst and the proven experts disagree: the experts lean elsewhere.

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Sub Thirteen6.607.00
Pitney (IRE)16.517.0
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Bath 1m–1m1f

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Prominent1.090.910.77Mid-div1.130.690.79Held up0.821.070.41
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 1m 42.11s · Report
How our analyst did
Sub Thirteen7thBSP 6.40−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (8)
Shes Ideal (IRE) p
4yo · 9-9 · OR 60
113847 J Charlie Tucker (7) 0% T Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams 0/7 — / 4% 22.0 24.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
08 Oct 26Bath1m 2f 37yGood to firm-good in placesC57/96L19.0
18 Aug 26Roscommon1m 2f 94yGood—3/102½L2.25
12 Aug 26Gowran Park1m 1f 100yGood To Firm—1/16—3.75
2 wins from 17 · placed 5
1 run here without a win
Last ran 11 days ago
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Charlie Tucker: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/6Trip 1m: 0/3Course Tight: 1/7Class C6+: 0/1Field 13+: 1/10
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2 (13)
Dalmally (GB)
4yo · 9-8 · OR 59
586371 J K Shoemark 18% T Mark Pattinson 1/5 14% / 11% 8.60 8.80
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
24 Aug 26Brighton7f 216yGood To FirmC61/9—5.50
23 Jul 26Sandown Park1mGood To FirmC57/127¼L29.0
07 Jul 26Brighton6f 210yGood To FirmC63/74¼L51.0
2 wins from 18 · placed 8
Won 2 of 10 at around this trip
Last ran 56 days ago
Trainer Mark Pattinson: 1/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey K Shoemark: 18% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/3Trip 1m: 2/10Course Tight: 2/6Class C6+: 1/5Field 13+: 0/4
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 14% · market 11%
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3 (5)
Havana Halo
4yo · 9-7 · OR 58
706278 J Rob Hornby 6% T Dominic Ffrench Davis 0/7 — / 2% 55.0 60.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
06 Oct 26Brighton6f 210yGood-good to firm in placesC68/107½L23.0
07 Sep 26Windsor6f 12yGoodC57/136L21.0
03 Aug 26Windsor6f 12yGood To FirmC52/52¾L4.50
0 wins from 10 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rob Hornby: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/4Trip 1m: 0/1Course Tight: 0/2Class C6+: 0/2Field 13+: 0/2
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4 (12)
Spirit Lead Me (IRE) p
4yo · 9-7 · OR 58
999861 J Finley Marsh 9% T Richard Hughes 3/20 24% / 20% 4.90 5.00
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
08 Oct 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC61/12—3.25
09 Sep 26Kempton Park1mStandard To SlowC56/137L9.00
14 Jun 26Salisbury1mGoodC58/1314½L67.0
5 wins from 27 · placed 7
Won 3 of 11 at around this trip
Last ran 11 days ago
Trainer Richard Hughes: 3/20 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Finley Marsh: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 1/6Trip 1m: 4/11Course Tight: 1/2Class C6+: 6/6Field 13+: 2/9
3 experts tipped this horse · 3 with a strong record
Our chance 24% · market 20%
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5 (1)
Sceptic (IRE)
6yo · 9-6 · OR 57
521955 J Olivia Haines (7) 0% T George Baker 2/8 9% / 16% 6.00 6.20
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
15 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 2fStandardC65/84¼L4.33
18 Jul 26Nottingham1m 75yGood To FirmC55/63¼L5.00
14 Jun 26Doncaster7f 213yGood To SoftC69/184L17.0
5 wins from 37 · placed 8
Won 2 of 18 at around this trip
Returns from a 65-day break
Trainer George Baker: 2/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Olivia Haines: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 1/8Trip 1m: 2/13Course Tight: 1/4Class C6+: 3/15Field 13+: 0/9
Our chance 9% · market 16%
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6 (9)
Pitney (IRE) v
5yo · 9-3 · OR 54
43D250 J Kieren Fox 0% T Michael Attwater 1/14 — / 6% 16.5 17.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
07 Oct 26Kempton Park1mStandard to slowC613/1310¾L51.0
01 Jun 26Lingfield Park1mStandardC65/112¼L10.0
19 May 26Lingfield Park7fGoodC62/94¾L11.0
2 wins from 28 · placed 9
Won 1 of 18 at around this trip
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Michael Attwater: 1/14 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kieren Fox: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/3Trip 1m: 1/15Course Tight: 1/6Class C6+: 0/10Field 13+: 0/7
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7 (14)
Wildfell (IRE) b,t
6yo · 9-1 · OR 52
790000 J William Carson 0% T John & Rhys Flint 0/4 — / 0% 220.0 440.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Oct 26Kempton Park7fStandard to slowC612/1315¾L101.0
02 Sep 26Bath1mGoodC611/1128L67.0
24 Jul 25Doncaster7fGoodC511/1114¾L81.0
4 wins from 27 · placed 7
Won 1 of 10 at around this trip
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer John & Rhys Flint: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey William Carson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 1/7Trip 1m: 1/11Course Tight: 0/3Class C6+: 3/7Field 13+: 0/8
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8 (7)
Sub Thirteen v11 Our pick
5yo · 9-0 · OR 51
324334 J Callum Hutchinson 0% T Jeremy Scott 0/5 19% / 14% 6.60 7.00
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
27 Sep 26Ffos Las6fSoftC64/113½L3.50
13 Sep 26Bath5f 160yGood To SoftC23/172¾L8.00
26 Aug 26Wolverhampton5f 21yStandardC63/61¾L2.25
4 wins from 33 · placed 11
Course winner: 2 wins from 7 here
First time in a visor
Trainer Jeremy Scott: 0/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Callum Hutchinson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 1/5Trip 1m: 0/4Course Tight: 2/8Class C6+: 2/18Field 13+: 0/4
2 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record
Our chance 19% · market 14%
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9 (6)
Ocean Force (IRE) b1,t1
5yo · 8-13 · OR 50
556670 J Lewis Edmunds 8% T G & J Moore 3/16 — / 4% 22.0 24.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
10 Oct 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC611/1213½L9.50
24 Sep 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC67/132¾L8.50
20 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 1yStandardC66/115¼L2.88
0 wins from 7 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
First time in blinkers and a tongue strap
Trainer G & J Moore: 3/16 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Lewis Edmunds: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/3Trip 1m: 0/6Course Tight: 0/4Class C6+: 0/4Field 13+: 0/2
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10 (10)
Birkie Boy (IRE) p
5yo · 8-12 · OR 49
441210 J Alfie Redman (7) 25% T Miss Celine De La Haye 0/1 — / 1% 85.0 140.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
06 Oct 26Brighton7f 216yGood-good to firm in placesC610/107½L26.0
27 Oct 25Wolverhampton1m 110yStandardC68/811L10.0
16 Oct 25Brighton7fGood To FirmC64/142½L51.0
1 win from 23 · placed 7
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Miss Celine De La Haye: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Alfie Redman: 25% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/5Trip 1m: 0/4Course Tight: 1/10Class C6+: 1/21Field 13+: 0/5
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11 (3)
Georg Zhukov (IRE) t
4yo · 8-11 · OR 48
005942 J Kieran O'Neill 12% T Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams 0/7 10% / 15% 6.60 6.80
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
27 Sep 26Ffos Las1m 2fSoftC62/5¾L4.00
21 Sep 26Ffos Las1mSoftC64/83½L4.50
12 Aug 26Gowran Park1m 1f 100yGood To Firm—9/166¼L29.0
1 win from 27 · placed 5
Won 1 of 12 at around this trip
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kieran O'Neill: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/9Trip 1m: 1/12Course Tight: 0/8Class C6+: 0/3Field 13+: 1/20
Our chance 10% · market 15%
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12 (2)
Raqraaq (USA) b
8yo · 8-9 · OR 46
630858 J William Cox 0% T Patrick Chamings 0/6 — / 0% 180.0 430.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
18 Aug 26Lingfield Park7f 1yStandardC68/126½L9.50
13 Jul 26Lingfield Park1m 1yStandardC65/105½L12.0
29 Jun 26Windsor1m 31yGood To FirmC68/114¾L41.0
2 wins from 41 · placed 10
Won 2 of 33 at around this trip
Returns from a 62-day break
Trainer Patrick Chamings: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey William Cox: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/10Trip 1m: 2/33Course Tight: 0/7Class C6+: 2/24Field 13+: 0/13
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13 (4)
Mooretown Lad (IRE)
6yo · 8-9 · OR 45
472750 J Jack Callan 27% T Adrian Wintle 1/11 — / 3% 32.0 34.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
12 Sep 26Bath1mGoodC610/1414¼L26.0
28 Jul 26Ffos Las1mGoodC65/715L5.50
23 Jun 26Ffos Las1mGoodC67/104¾L8.00
1 win from 24 · placed 2
1 run here without a win
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer Adrian Wintle: 1/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jack Callan: 27% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 1/9Trip 1m: 0/11Course Tight: 0/3Class C6+: 0/11Field 13+: 1/14
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14 (11)
Blue Point Express (IRE) p
4yo · 8-9 · OR 45
505437 J Joe Leavy 8% T Adrian Wintle 1/11 — / 2% 50.0 55.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
27 Sep 26Ffos Las6fSoftC67/116¾L5.50
31 Aug 26Chepstow7f 16yGood To SoftC63/113¼L17.0
30 Jun 26Ffos Las7f 80yGoodC64/83¼L15.0
1 win from 18 · placed 3
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Adrian Wintle: 1/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Joe Leavy: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/6Trip 1m: 0/4Course Tight: 0/6Class C6+: 1/16Field 13+: 0/2
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