Result Race of the Day 15:53 · Pontefract

Phil Bull Trophy Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Class 3Handicap2m 2f 2yGood to soft-soft in places · GoingStick 6.43YO plus · 9 ran£11,339 to the winnerOvercast dry 7 experts

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Analyst verdict Locked 09:50 BST · #924f8d · updated 15:07 BST (v2)

An open staying handicap where the market already looks to have the leading chances fairly priced.

No horse here offers a clear enough edge over its market price to be worth backing today. The leading two look fairly priced, and the more interesting outsiders carry too much uncertainty to trust.

How the race should unfoldIt's a long, stamina-testing trip on soft ground, so a strong gallop is likely with two horses keen to lead. That pace could fade late, helping those racing just behind. Maxident, in career-best form, heads the market, with Moon Over Miami his closest market rival.

Maxident

The favourite is in the best form of his season, with a string of good recent runs over a similar trip and class, though he may not get an uncontested lead.

32% / 33%

Moon Over Miami

Second in the market, he has a strong jockey and trainer pairing, though his overall scope for improvement looks fairly modest.

16% / 20%

In The Breeze

A past winner at this course, he is racing in steady, dependable form without any obvious standout factor either way.

13% / 12%

Marble Sands

Dropped sharply in class after a career over much tougher obstacle races, and his stamina could suit this unfamiliar long trip, despite a lengthy layoff.

13% / 10%

Wise Eagle

Has recently run against notably stronger fields, with several rivals winning since, but a sharp rise in price raises a caution flag.

7% / 8%

Red flags

The two market leaders look fairly assessed already, leaving little obvious value.Marble Sands' form comes from a different type of racing and after a long break, making it hard to judge.Wise Eagle's price has drifted out noticeably despite looking fit, which is often a warning sign.

Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

7 experts

Moon Over Miami (FR)

2 experts · 2 with a strong record

Maxident

2 experts · 1 with a strong record

Wise Eagle (IRE)

1 expert · 1 with a strong record

In The Breeze (IRE)

1 expert · 1 with a strong record

Marble Sands (FR)

1 expert · 1 with a strong record

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Maxident2.642.68

Moon Over Miami (FR)5.505.60

In The Breeze (IRE)8.408.60

Marble Sands (FR)10.511.5

Tashkhan (IRE)14.515.5

Senor Cortez (IRE)14.515.0

Maxident: 2.74 at 14:53 → 2.66 at 15:52.

Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Pontefract 1m 2f+

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons

Low drawMiddleHigh draw Held up——0.60

Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 4m 12.35s · Report

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Beaten	SP	BSP
1	Moon Over Miami (FR)	Rossa Ryan	R M Beckett	—	4.50	5.70
2	Maxident	D Egan	K P De Foy	3L	2.50	2.73
3	Marble Sands (FR)	David Probert	David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	5L	12.0	14.5
4	Tashkhan (IRE)	Alistair Rawlinson	Brian Ellison	5¼L	9.50	12.0
5	Wise Eagle (IRE)	Billy Garritty	Adam Nicol	27¼L	19.0	26.0
6	In The Breeze (IRE)	Cieren Fallon	Henrietta C Knight	28¾L	7.00	7.83
7	Senor Cortez (IRE)	Ray Dawson	J Butler	30¼L	9.50	10.1
8	Call My Bluff (IRE)	D Allan	Dominic Ffrench Davis	36¼L	41.0	49.9
9	Sure And Stedfast (IRE)	Greg Fairley	Ewan Whillans	37¾L	23.0	27.0

How our analyst did

No bet. Our top-rated contender: Maxident — 2nd.

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon

1 (4)

Wise Eagle (IRE)

9yo · 10-2 · OR 95

240773 J Billy Garritty 7% T Adam Nicol 1/8 7% / 5% 19.5 21.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
24 May 26	Kelso	2m	Good	C2	2/4	5½L	2.88
04 Apr 26	Musselburgh	1m 6f	Soft	C3	3/13	3L	6.50
28 Feb 26	Kelso	2m	Good To Soft	C2	3/17	2½L	17.0

14 wins from 51 · placed 27

Course winner: 1 win from 2 here

Returns from a 148-day break

Trainer Adam Nicol: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Billy Garritty: 7% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 4/14Trip 1m1f+: 10/39Course Stiff: 1/5Class C3: 1/9Field 9–12: 2/17

1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 7% · market 5%

Full profile →Jockey Billy Garritty Trainer Adam Nicol

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2 (8)

In The Breeze (IRE)

8yo · 10-0 · OR 93

710102 J Cieren Fallon 13% T Henrietta C Knight 1/9 13% / 12% 8.40 8.60

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
05 Sep 26	Haydock Park	1m 6f	Heavy	C2	2/10	7½L	13.0
19 Aug 26	York	2m 56y	Good	C2	13/16	17¾L	29.0
07 Jun 26	Goodwood	2m	Soft	C3	1/6	—	6.50

7 wins from 33 · placed 14

Course winner: 1 win from 1 here

Last ran 44 days ago

Trainer Henrietta C Knight: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Cieren Fallon: 13% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 1/6Trip 1m1f+: 7/32Course Stiff: 1/4Class C3: 3/12Field 9–12: 3/13

1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 13% · market 12%

Full profile →Jockey Cieren Fallon Trainer Henrietta C Knight

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3 (9)

Tashkhan (IRE)

8yo · 9-12 · OR 91

070090 J Alistair Rawlinson 0% T Brian Ellison 4/23 — / 7% 14.5 15.5

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
10 Oct 26	Newmarket	2m 2f	Good to firm	C2	11/29	12L	151.0
12 Sep 26	Chester	1m 7f 196y	Soft	C2	9/10	10½L	19.0
27 Jun 26	Newcastle	2m 56y	Standard To Slow	C2	20/20	52½L	81.0

5 wins from 38 · placed 15

Won 1 of 4 at around this trip

Last ran 9 days ago

Trainer Brian Ellison: 4/23 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Alistair Rawlinson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/10Trip 1m1f+: 4/31Course Stiff: 2/8Class C3: 0/2Field 9–12: 2/12

Full profile →Jockey Alistair Rawlinson Trainer Brian Ellison

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4 (6)

Moon Over Miami (FR)

5yo · 9-9 · OR 88

150402 J Rossa Ryan 12% T R M Beckett 4/37 16% / 18% 5.50 5.60

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
30 Aug 26	Goodwood	2m	Soft (good to soft in places)	C3	2/9	2¾L	5.00
27 Jun 26	Newcastle	2m 56y	Standard To Slow	C2	13/20	10½L	13.0
23 May 26	Goodwood	1m 6f	Good	C2	4/7	5½L	4.60

3 wins from 11 · placed 4

1 run at around this trip without a win

Last ran 50 days ago

Trainer R M Beckett: 4/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Rossa Ryan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 1/1Trip 1m1f+: 4/12Course Stiff: 1/1Class C3: 1/4Field 9–12: 1/4

2 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record

Our chance 16% · market 18%

Full profile →Jockey Rossa Ryan Trainer R M Beckett

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5 (5)

Senor Cortez (IRE)

5yo · 9-9 · OR 88

571114 J Ray Dawson 0% T J Butler 2/17 — / 7% 14.5 15.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
30 Aug 26	Goodwood	2m	Soft (good to soft in places)	C3	4/9	5¼L	13.0
10 Aug 26	Kempton Park	1m 7f 218y	Standard To Slow	C4	1/12	—	9.00
13 Jul 26	Lingfield Park	1m 5f	Standard	C5	1/9	—	2.75

5 wins from 17 · placed 9

First time at this course and trip

Last ran 50 days ago

Trainer J Butler: 2/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Ray Dawson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/2Trip 1m1f+: 5/15Course Stiff: 0/1Class C3: 0/2Field 9–12: 2/8

Full profile →Jockey Ray Dawson Trainer J Butler

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6 (3)

Maxident

6yo · 9-7 · OR 86

421221 J D Egan 16% T K P De Foy 2/16 32% / 37% 2.64 2.68

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
30 Aug 26	Goodwood	2m	Soft (good to soft in places)	C3	1/9	—	2.75
10 Aug 26	Kempton Park	1m 7f 218y	Standard To Slow	C4	2/12	5½L	3.00
07 Jun 26	Goodwood	2m	Soft	C3	2/6	5L	3.00

3 wins from 17 · placed 10

1 run here without a win

Last ran 50 days ago

Trainer K P De Foy: 2/16 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey D Egan: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/3Trip 1m1f+: 3/18Course Stiff: 0/5Class C3: 1/6Field 9–12: 1/4

2 experts tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 32% · market 37%

Full profile →Jockey D Egan Trainer K P De Foy

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7 (2)

Call My Bluff (IRE) p

9yo · 9-1 · OR 80

910508 J D Allan 12% T Dominic Ffrench Davis 0/8 — / 2% 55.0 70.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
14 Oct 26	Nottingham	2m	Good to soft-soft in places	C4	8/10	22¾L	81.0
06 Sep 26	York	2m 56y	Good To Soft	C4	11/12	29¾L	51.0
07 Jun 26	Goodwood	2m	Soft	C3	5/6	21¼L	15.0

6 wins from 29 · placed 13

Course winner: 1 win from 1 here

Last ran 5 days ago

Trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis: 0/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey D Allan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 1/6Trip 1m1f+: 6/28Course Stiff: 1/3Class C3: 1/5Field 9–12: 3/15

Full profile →Jockey D Allan Trainer Dominic Ffrench Davis

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8 (7)

Marble Sands (FR)

10yo · 8-11 · OR 76

66922 J David Probert 11% T David Killahena & Graeme McPherson 1/6 13% / 9% 10.5 11.5

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
11 Apr 26	Aintree	4m 2f 110y	Good To Soft	C1	F	—	67.0
26 Dec 25	Wetherby	3m	Soft	C1	2/4	7L	5.00
16 Nov 25	Cheltenham	3m 3f 110y	Soft	C1	1/10	—	8.00

8 wins from 32 · placed 18

First time at this course and trip

Returns from a 191-day break

Trainer David Killahena & Graeme McPherson: 1/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey David Probert: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 4/12Trip 1m1f+: 0/5Course Stiff: 3/8Class C3: 3/6Field 9–12: 2/11

1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record

Our chance 13% · market 9%

Full profile →Jockey David Probert Trainer David Killahena & Graeme McPherson

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9 (1)

Sure And Stedfast (IRE) h

4yo · 8-11 · OR 73

253152 J Greg Fairley 0% T Ewan Whillans 2/9 — / 4% 25.0 27.0

Date	Course	Dist	Going	Class	Pos	Beaten	SP
03 Oct 26	Redcar	1m 5f 218y	Good	C4	2/9	2¾L	9.00
21 Sep 26	Hamilton Park	1m 4f 15y	Soft	C5	5/12	7¾L	15.0
07 Aug 26	Musselburgh	1m 5f	Good	C5	1/6	—	9.00

3 wins from 22 · placed 9

First time at this course and trip

Last ran 16 days ago

Trainer Ewan Whillans: 2/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days

Jockey Greg Fairley: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days

Suits today Going Gd-Soft: 0/4Trip 1m1f+: 3/17Course Stiff: 1/2Class C3: 0/1Field 9–12: 2/16

Full profile →Jockey Greg Fairley Trainer Ewan Whillans

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Phil Bull Trophy Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Expert confidence?

Betfair Exchange · Win

Track bias · Pontefract 1m 2f+?

Result

Runners

Expert confidence

Track bias · Pontefract 1m 2f+