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Result Race of the Day 16:55 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Class 6Handicap1m 6f 21yStandard3YO plus · 11 ran£3,080 to the winnerMostly cloudy 4 experts
Analyst verdict Locked 09:43 BST · #8d4107
No clear edge in this wide-open Southwell handicap, so we're sitting this one out.

None of today's contenders offer a price that looks better than their realistic winning chance. The favourite's strengths already look fully priced in, and the same goes for the next two market players, while the two drop-in-class horses come with their own doubts.

How the race should unfoldThis is a long-distance amateur riders' handicap on Southwell's all-weather surface, run at a fair pace with no dominant leader. Two horses look best placed to take it up, but the staying trip should see the field spread out and the finish decided in the closing stages.
1
Zafaan
The clear favourite on form, having won nicely last time out with a stable and jockey both in good form, but hard to find value in its price.
38% / —
2
The Pug
A previous winner at this course with a favourable draw and a light weight, though stepping up sharply in distance brings real uncertainty.
13% / —
3
West Sleekburn Lad
A young, improving horse fresh from a recent win and racing off a career-high mark, but that promise already looks fully reflected in the price.
13% / —
4
Stitching Wheel
Backed in sharply since the morning and dropping down in class, though the jockey and trainer's recent strike rate leaves some doubt over that move.
8% / —
5
Beaune
The stable is in good form, but this one's price has drifted out since the morning and recent form has been patchy.
6% / —
Red flags
The Pug is stepping up sharply in distance for the first time, a real unknown over this trip.Stitching Wheel's price drop isn't clearly backed up by strong recent figures from its jockey or trainer.Beaune has drifted in the betting rather than shortened, rarely a positive sign.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

4 experts
Zafaan (IRE)
3 experts · 1 with a strong record

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Zafaan (IRE)2.162.18
Beaune (IRE)6.807.20
Crazy Plan26.028.0
Zafaan (IRE): 2.14 at 15:56 → 2.16 at 16:28.
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Southwell 1m 2f+

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Led0.861.69—Prominent1.161.161.04Mid-div0.750.990.99Held up0.690.970.72
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 3m 10.45s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Zafaan — 9th.

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (2)
Stitching Wheel (IRE) t
4yo · 11-2 · OR 55
776125 J Mr Simon Walker 0% T Chris Grant 0/3 8% / 2% 38.0 46.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
08 Aug 26Newmarket1m 6fGood To FirmC55/66¼L10.0
19 Jul 26Redcar1m 7f 217yGood To FirmC62/43¼L2.75
20 Jun 26Redcar1m 5f 218yGoodC61/7—17.0
1 win from 12 · placed 3
Won 1 of 2 at around this trip
Last ran 59 days ago
Trainer Chris Grant: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Simon Walker: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/3Trip 1m1f+: 1/10Course AW: 0/3Class C6+: 1/6Field 9–12: 0/2
Our chance 8% · market 2%
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2 (5)
Cougar (JPN)
7yo · 11-1 · OR 54
075579 J Miss Sophia Watson (7) 0% T Nick Kent 0/1 — / 0% 300.0 1000.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
17 Sep 26Southwell1m 3f 23yStandardC69/920¾L67.0
31 Aug 26Ripon1m 2f 190ySoftC67/108L151.0
15 Jul 26Catterick1m 4f 13yGood To FirmC55/616¼L81.0
5 wins from 35 · placed 8
1 run here without a win
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer Nick Kent: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Miss Sophia Watson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/5Trip 1m1f+: 3/24Course AW: 0/5Class C6+: 2/8Field 9–12: 0/13
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3 (12)
Beaune (IRE) p
4yo · 11-1 · OR 54
743430 J Miss Jessica Llewellyn (5) 0% T Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams 2/12 6% / 15% 6.80 7.20
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
11 Sep 26Chester1m 7f 196yGood To SoftC510/1289¾L15.0
18 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 7f 169yStandardC53/73¾L13.0
04 Aug 26Ffos Las1m 3f 209yGoodC64/1019½L6.50
3 wins from 27 · placed 11
1 run here without a win
Last ran 25 days ago
Trainer Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Miss Jessica Llewellyn: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/15Trip 1m1f+: 3/22Course AW: 3/15Class C6+: 3/21Field 9–12: 2/19
Our chance 6% · market 15%
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4 (3)
Zafaan (IRE) p,h
6yo · 11-1 · OR 49
551451 J Mr Henry Callan 25% T Charlie Clover 3/8 38% / 46% 2.16 2.18
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
28 Sep 26Wolverhampton1m 5f 219yStandardC61/10—2.10
04 Sep 26Worcester2mGoodC41/6—5.00
23 Aug 26Worcester2mGoodC52/131¾L23.0
5 wins from 34 · placed 12
Won 1 of 1 at around this trip
Last ran 8 days ago
Trainer Charlie Clover: 3/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Henry Callan: 25% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/12Trip 1m1f+: 3/13Course AW: 1/12Class C6+: 4/21Field 9–12: 3/21
3 experts tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 38% · market 46%
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6 (1)
Different Drum (GB)
5yo · 10-13 · OR 52
420803 J Miss Serena Brotherton 0% T Louise Allan 0/2 — / 3% 29.0 32.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
28 Apr 26Southwell2m 110yStandardC63/112¼L8.50
04 Apr 26Carlisle2m 3f 110yGood To SoftC51/8—4.00
11 Mar 26Huntingdon2m 4f 110yGoodC53/1414L41.0
2 wins from 20 · placed 8
7 runs here without a win
Returns from a 161-day break
Trainer Louise Allan: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Miss Serena Brotherton: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/10Trip 1m1f+: 1/15Course AW: 1/10Class C6+: 1/9Field 9–12: 1/10
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7 (10)
Artavian b,t
6yo · 10-13 · OR 52
273673 J Mr Frederick Tett 33% T Patrick Chamings 1/7 — / 3% 29.0 36.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
14 Sep 26Windsor1m 3f 99yGood To SoftC63/118¼L10.0
08 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 5fStandardC67/712¾L17.0
06 Jul 26Lingfield Park1m 7f 169yStandardC66/915¾L13.0
1 win from 20 · placed 7
1 run here without a win
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Patrick Chamings: 1/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Frederick Tett: 33% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/12Trip 1m1f+: 2/19Course AW: 1/12Class C6+: 2/12Field 9–12: 2/9
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8 (8)
The Pug (IRE) v
6yo · 10-8 · OR 47
545522 J Miss Jemima Stewart (7) 0% T O Murphy 4/15 13% / 6% 17.5 18.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
17 Sep 26Southwell1m 3f 23yStandardC62/9½L5.50
12 Sep 26Bath1m 3f 137yGoodC62/72¾L11.0
01 Sep 26Lingfield Park1m 2fStandardC65/101¼L67.0
4 wins from 55 · placed 18
Course winner: 2 wins from 8 here
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer O Murphy: 4/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Miss Jemima Stewart: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 3/37Trip 1m1f+: 4/51Course AW: 3/37Class C6+: 4/47Field 9–12: 1/32
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 13% · market 6%
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9 (11)
Crazy Plan
3yo · 10-7 · OR 52
002420 J Mr Sam Burton (5) 0% T Dan Horsford 0/1 — / 4% 26.0 28.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
14 Sep 26Windsor1m 3f 99yGood To SoftC611/1160¾L4.00
22 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC62/93¾L3.50
11 Aug 26Lingfield Park1m 2fStandardC64/121¼L10.0
0 wins from 7 · placed 2
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Dan Horsford: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Sam Burton: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/6Trip 1m1f+: 0/7Course AW: 0/6Class C6+: 0/5Field 9–12: 0/8
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10 (4)
West Sleekburn Lad
3yo · 10-6 · OR 51
0831 J Mr Eireann Cagney 0% T Peter Niven 1/4 13% / 17% 5.90 6.00
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC61/11—7.50
01 Aug 26Thirsk7f 218yGoodC43/516¼L301.0
05 Jun 26Doncaster1m 2f 43yGood To FirmC48/844L201.0
1 win from 4 · placed 2
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 17 days ago
Trainer Peter Niven: 1/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Eireann Cagney: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 1/2Trip 1m1f+: 1/3Course AW: 1/2Class C6+: 1/2Field 9–12: 1/3
Our chance 13% · market 17%
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11 (9)
Make It Up (IRE)
3yo · 10-5 · OR 50
033527 J Mr James Hills (5) 0% T W J Knight 0/10 — / 4% 26.0 28.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
10 Sep 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC67/914¼L3.25
13 Jul 26Lingfield Park1m 4fStandardC62/13hd3.00
02 Jun 26Wolverhampton1m 4fStandardC65/85L9.50
0 wins from 8 · placed 3
1 run here without a win
Last ran 26 days ago
Trainer W J Knight: 0/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr James Hills: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/8Trip 1m1f+: 0/6Course AW: 0/8Class C6+: 0/6Field 9–12: 0/6
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12 (7)
Go Teejay
3yo · 10-1 · OR 45
609686 J Miss Grace Bell (7) 0% T Craig Lidster 1/13 — / 1% 100.0 680.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Newcastle1m 4f 98yStandardC66/114¼L21.0
02 Sep 26Newcastle1m 2f 42yStandardC68/129L34.0
06 Aug 26Southwell1m 13yStandardC66/105¾L67.0
0 wins from 9 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
Last ran 17 days ago
Trainer Craig Lidster: 1/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Miss Grace Bell: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going AW: 0/6Trip 1m1f+: 0/3Course AW: 0/6Class C6+: 0/7Field 9–12: 0/8
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5
Shahbaz (IRE) Non-runner