Sunday 4 October › Killarney › 17:05
Result
Race of the Day
17:05 · Killarney (IRE)
Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100)
Handicap? 2m 7f 100y? Good? 4YO plus · 15 ran €6,000 to the winner Mostly overcast
1 expert
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:36 BST · #f42bad · updated 16:31 BST (v2)
Wide-open, fifteen-runner handicap chase with no standout and not quite enough edge to bet.
This is an unusually open race with fifteen runners and prices spread almost evenly between them. No horse offered a clear enough edge over the market to justify a bet.
How the race should unfold Expect a contested gallop, with a couple of runners keen to lead, so the field could easily break into groups early on. With no standout and prices spread fairly evenly across all fifteen runners, where horses race and whether they get a clear run may matter as much as ability. Nothing stood out as clear enough value to back.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Avec Espoir One of several runners with a reasonable case in this tightly matched field, though nothing marks it out strongly enough on its own.
0% / 0%
Red flags With fifteen runners and a likely split pace, traffic trouble and where a horse races could decide the finish as much as raw ability. Prices are spread almost evenly across the field, suggesting the market itself sees no clear standout. A messy early pace could easily catch out horses drawn or ridden on the wrong side of the field.
Expert confidence? 1 expert
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Result Official · time 6m 06.09s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Avec Espoir — PU.
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
0 5 5 2 4 0
J Danny Gilligan 6%
T Cian Collins 2/18
— / 12%
7.80 8.20
0 wins from 6 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 30 days ago
Trainer Cian Collins: 2/18 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Danny Gilligan: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/3 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 0/2 Course Tight: 0/4 Field 13+: 0/5
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2
4 P 2 1 P 7
J Michael Kenneally (5) 10%
T Padraig Butler 1/3
— / 5%
18.5 20.0
1 win from 10 · placed 2
Won 1 of 4 at around this trip
Last ran 27 days ago
Trainer Padraig Butler: 1/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Michael Kenneally: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/1 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 1/6 Course Tight: 0/6 Field 13+: 1/7
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3
U 8 1 2 5 U
J Mr J Dunne (7) 0%
T E McNamara 1/26
— / 10%
10.0 10.5
1 win from 17 · placed 3
4 runs here without a win
Last ran 45 days ago
Trainer E McNamara: 1/26 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr J Dunne: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/8 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 1/10 Course Tight: 1/13 Field 13+: 1/14
1 expert tipped this horse
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4
6 P 0 P P 0
J Eoin Walsh 0%
T Eugene M OSullivan 0/3
— / 1%
85.0 130.0
5 wins from 35 · placed 10
Course winner: 1 win from 4 here
First time in blinkers and a tongue strap
Trainer Eugene M OSullivan: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Eoin Walsh: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/11 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 3/12 Course Tight: 3/16 Field 13+: 3/19
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5
0 0 4 0 5 0
J Ross Sugrue (7) 11%
T Tm Obrien 0/8
— / 3%
27.0 29.0
1 win from 26 · placed 4
Won 1 of 2 at around this trip
Last ran 8 days ago
Trainer Tm Obrien: 0/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ross Sugrue: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/5 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 0/7 Course Tight: 1/14 Field 13+: 1/25
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6
2 5 4 1 2 7
J Alex Harvey 17%
T David OSullivan 1/5
— / 12%
8.40 8.60
3 wins from 41 · placed 8
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer David OSullivan: 1/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Alex Harvey: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 2/20 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 2/18 Course Tight: 1/22 Field 13+: 3/24
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7
4 P 7 6 4 0
J Phillip Enright 6%
T S Curling 3/11
— / 4%
24.0 27.0
0 wins from 10 · placed 0
1 run here without a win
Last ran 10 days ago
Trainer S Curling: 3/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Phillip Enright: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/9 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 0/4 Course Tight: 0/9 Field 13+: 0/5
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8
1 1 4 0 0 5
J Daniel King 14%
T John Patrick Ryan 3/24
— / 9%
10.0 10.5
3 wins from 47 · placed 9
4 runs here without a win
Last ran 4 days ago
Trainer John Patrick Ryan: 3/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Daniel King: 14% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 2/16 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 2/14 Course Tight: 1/18 Field 13+: 2/25
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9
0 P 0 0 P P
J Philip Donovan 12%
T V T O'Brien 0/5
0% / 0%
220.0 1000.0
5 wins from 49 · placed 10
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
Last ran 39 days ago
Trainer V T O'Brien: 0/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Philip Donovan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/14 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 4/17 Course Tight: 5/34 Field 13+: 3/30
Our chance 0% · market 0%
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10
0 P F 8 9 P
J Jordan Gainford 0%
T David Richard Barry 0/4
— / 2%
48.0 60.0
3 wins from 30 · placed 8
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 41 days ago
Trainer David Richard Barry: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jordan Gainford: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 2/14 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 3/18 Course Tight: 3/17 Field 13+: 3/27
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11
1 2 F 8 6 6
J Donagh Meyler 16%
T Mark Michael McNiff 1/8
— / 6%
15.0 16.0
2 wins from 20 · placed 6
2 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 44 days ago
Trainer Mark Michael McNiff: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Donagh Meyler: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/5 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 1/4 Course Tight: 1/8 Field 13+: 3/18
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12
8 9 2 6 6 5
J J J Slevin 0%
T Seamus Neville 0/2
— / 12%
8.40 8.80
0 wins from 9 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer Seamus Neville: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey J J Slevin: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 0/3 Course Tight: 0/5 Field 13+: 0/10
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13
6 7 P P 7 P
J Kevin Healy (7) 12%
T John Patrick Ryan 3/24
— / 7%
13.5 14.0
8 wins from 80 · placed 20
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
Last ran 6 days ago
Trainer John Patrick Ryan: 3/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kevin Healy: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 3/21 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 6/29 Course Tight: 6/39 Field 13+: 5/34
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14
P 1 8 9 5 7
J Josh Williamson (3) 0%
T Denis Gerard Hogan 3/21
— / 8%
11.5 12.0
1 win from 15 · placed 1
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer Denis Gerard Hogan: 3/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Josh Williamson: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/6 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 0/2 Course Tight: 1/8 Field 13+: 1/15
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15
P 0 6 0 8 8
J Jordan Canavan (7) 0%
T J P Flavin 0/2
— / 7%
14.0 15.0
0 wins from 8 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer J P Flavin: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jordan Canavan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m5f–2m7f: 0/2 Course Tight: 0/3 Field 13+: 0/8
Spotted wrong data? Report it