Racing Verdict
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Result Race of the Day 16:15 · Curragh (IRE)

Business Plus Handicap

Handicap6fStraight: yielding to soft; round: good to yielding3YO plus · 22 ran€12,600 to the winnerovercast 7 experts
View on Betfair ↗
Analyst verdict Locked 09:34 BST · #70db13 · updated 16:06 BST (v2)
Apothic Red stands out as a fast-improving type worth backing in this huge field.
Our chance
17% 1 in 6
Market (Betfair)
6% 12.0
Worth it down to
5.90
Confidence
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfoldWith more than twenty runners and no obvious star, expect a genuinely fast pace as several quick types chase the lead, which should stop any one horse strolling clear. The finish looks likely to be a close, messy scramble rather than a one-horse show.
1
Apothic Red
Apothic Red's official rating keeps climbing and both recent runs have been at career-best pace, with strong market support backing up the progress.
17% / 6%
2
Nouvel Espoir
Nouvel Espoir is the market's choice, with form that has settled at a solid, consistent level and nothing obviously against it.
10% / 5%
3
Gerrits Gem
Gerrits Gem has shown a big gap between its fastest ever run and current form, finishing strongly last time but not quite matching its best.
8% / 6%
4
Apache Outlaw
Apache Outlaw has an even bigger gap to its career-best pace, though that peak came a while ago and the latest run was well below it.
6% / 7%
5
Cool Azul
Cool Azul is at a career-high rating with a helpful draw and a jockey in good form, though a drifting price on the day is a slight worry.
5% / 10%
Red flags
Apothic Red's starting position in the field has historically been less favourable than more central draws.A purely form-based view rates Apothic Red's chance lower than the market currently does, so there's some disagreement worth noting.Some of Apothic Red's appeal may already be reflected in the price given how well the yard has been running lately.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

7 experts
Tolebi (FR)
2 experts

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Nouvel Espoir (IRE)9.209.60
Apache Outlaw (IRE)9.409.60
Cool Azul (IRE)11.512.0
Apothic Red (IRE)12.012.5
Gerrits Gem (IRE)15.016.5
Smoke Them Out (IRE)15.016.0
Apothic Red (IRE): 13.5 at 15:16 → 12.0 at 16:14.
Open market on Betfair ↗ Wrong price? Report it

Track bias · Curragh 5f–6f

Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low drawMiddleHigh draw Led4.002.76—Prominent0.831.021.29Mid-div0.490.350.91Held up0.850.390.92
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.

Result

Official · time 1m 16.40s · Report
PosHorseJockeyTrainerBeatenSPBSP
1Nouvel Espoir (IRE)Julian PietropaoloJames M Barcoe—7.5013.7
2Therewillbeglory (IRE)Andrew SlatteryAndrew Slattery1½L21.036.1
3Smoke Them Out (IRE)Terry CaseyT G McCourt1¾L12.017.5
4Go Athletico (FR)Gavin RyanAdrian McGuinness2½L17.024.0
5Irish Rumour (IRE)Orla TynanMiss Jennifer Anne Lynch4L17.024.0
6Contrary To Law (IRE)Ben CoenJ P Murtagh4¾L15.021.0
7Michaels Well (IRE)Declan McDonoghEddie & Patrick Harty5¼L21.023.2
8Tolebi (FR)Danny O'LearyGerard OLeary5½L23.038.3
9Apache Outlaw (IRE)Adam CaffreyAdrian McGuinness5½L8.0011.1
10I Bid You Ajou (FR)Reese HolohanMark Fahey5½L26.042.0
11Jon Riggens (IRE)James RyanEdward Lynam6¼L19.029.0
12Gerrits Gem (IRE)Jack ClearyJ G Coogan7L13.021.0
13Real Force (GB)Sam CoenGerard OLeary8¼L29.050.1
14Nakamura (IRE)Patrick McGettiganJ P Murtagh10½L19.038.0
15Go Out (FR)Jamie PowellDaniel James Murphy11L41.070.0
16Sommelier (GB)Nathan CrosseKieran P Cotter12¾L15.015.8
17Noble Nation (IRE)Gary CarrollGerard OLeary15¼L21.038.0
18Venetian Star (IRE)Luke McAteerPatrick T Foley15½L26.037.7
19Green Kite (IRE)Conor CusackKevin Thomas Coleman23½L23.035.2
20Tawaazon (IRE)Keithen KennedyJohn Andrew Kinsella23¾L41.095.0
21Cool Azul (IRE)W J LeeA Oliver30¾L5.508.05
22Apothic Red (IRE) Our pickSadhbh TormeyT G McCourt35¾L8.0010.6
How our analyst did
Apothic Red22ndBSP 10.61−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1 (16)
Nakamura (IRE) b
3yo · 10-0 · OR 79
878207 J Patrick McGettigan (5) 12% T J P Murtagh 4/37 — / 4% 25.0 30.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Sep 26Listowel7f 15yYielding—7/115½L15.0
27 Jun 26Curragh6fGood To Firm—12/1411¾L11.0
12 Jun 26Fairyhouse6fGood—2/12½L5.00
2 wins from 14 · placed 6
Won 2 of 9 at around this trip
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer J P Murtagh: 4/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Patrick McGettigan: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/4Trip 6f: 2/10Course Galloping: 1/10Field 13+: 0/6
Full profile →Jockey Patrick McGettiganTrainer J P Murtagh
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2 (21)
Real Force (GB)
9yo · 10-0 · OR 78
5040 J Sam Coen (5) 17% T Gerard OLeary 1/9 — / 2% 50.0 65.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Apr 26Curragh7fSoft—14/1710L17.0
15 Mar 26Curragh6fHeavy—4/95¼L17.0
02 Nov 25Curragh5fHeavy—12/1410¼L9.50
5 wins from 23 · placed 7
Course winner: 1 win from 10 here
Returns from a 168-day break
Trainer Gerard OLeary: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Sam Coen: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 1/5Trip 6f: 0/6Course Galloping: 4/20Field 13+: 2/9
Full profile →Jockey Sam CoenTrainer Gerard OLeary
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3 (17)
Cool Azul (IRE)
3yo · 9-13 · OR 78
223712 J W J Lee 16% T A Oliver 3/24 5% / 9% 11.5 12.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
18 Aug 26Roscommon7f 111yGood To Yielding—2/141½L6.50
11 Jul 26Navan5f 180yGood—1/13—4.50
03 Jun 26Curragh5fGood To Yielding—7/123½L12.0
1 win from 6 · placed 5
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Last ran 47 days ago
Trainer A Oliver: 3/24 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey W J Lee: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/3Trip 6f: 1/4Course Galloping: 0/4Field 13+: 1/5
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 5% · market 9%
Full profile →Jockey W J LeeTrainer A Oliver
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4 (22)
Sommelier (GB) t,v11
5yo · 9-13 · OR 77
500004 J Nathan Crosse 7% T Kieran P Cotter 0/6 — / 4% 26.0 28.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
26 Sep 26Curragh5fStraight: yielding; round: good to yielding—4/202L41.0
28 Jul 26Galway7fYielding—15/1512½L41.0
27 Jun 26Curragh6fGood To Firm—14/1416L15.0
3 wins from 22 · placed 5
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
First time in a tongue strap and a visor
Trainer Kieran P Cotter: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Nathan Crosse: 7% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/2Trip 6f: 2/10Course Galloping: 1/9Field 13+: 1/10
Full profile →Jockey Nathan CrosseTrainer Kieran P Cotter
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5 (15)
I Bid You Ajou (FR)
5yo · 9-12 · OR 76
442260 J Reese Holohan (5) 7% T Mark Fahey 0/12 — / 3% 32.0 36.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
15 Aug 26Dundalk6fStandard—6/122¾L5.50
22 Jul 26Naas5f 205yGood—2/101¼L4.00
08 Jul 26Fairyhouse7fGood—2/7¾L3.50
3 wins from 32 · placed 14
Won 3 of 13 at around this trip
Last ran 21 days ago
Trainer Mark Fahey: 0/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Reese Holohan: 7% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/6Trip 6f: 3/13Course Galloping: 3/20Field 13+: 1/20
Full profile →Jockey Reese HolohanTrainer Mark Fahey
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6 (18)
Tolebi (FR)
4yo · 9-12 · OR 76
940455 J Danny O'Leary (10) 0% T Gerard OLeary 1/9 — / 4% 26.0 29.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Sep 26Listowel7f 15yYielding—5/114¾L41.0
03 Aug 26Naas5f 205yGood—4/54½L13.0
30 Jul 26Galway1m 98yYielding To Soft—11/1314½L34.0
0 wins from 7 · placed 0
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Gerard OLeary: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Danny O'Leary: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/2Trip 6f: 0/2Course Galloping: 0/6Field 13+: 0/4
2 experts tipped this horse
Full profile →Jockey Danny O'LearyTrainer Gerard OLeary
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7 (2)
Contrary To Law (IRE)
3yo · 9-10 · OR 75
67146 J Ben Coen 12% T J P Murtagh 4/37 — / 6% 15.0 16.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
18 Aug 26Roscommon7f 111yGood To Yielding—6/145¾L4.50
22 Jul 26Naas7fGood—4/81¼L2.75
08 Jul 26Fairyhouse7fGood—1/15—2.62
1 win from 7 · placed 1
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 47 days ago
Trainer J P Murtagh: 4/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ben Coen: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/1Trip 6f: 0/2Course Galloping: 1/6Field 13+: 1/6
Full profile →Jockey Ben CoenTrainer J P Murtagh
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8 (19)
Smoke Them Out (IRE)
4yo · 9-10 · OR 74
030771 J Terry Casey (7) 12% T T G McCourt 2/12 — / 6% 15.0 16.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
30 Sep 26Bellewstown5f 3yYielding to soft-soft in places—1/6—5.00
27 Aug 26Navan5f 180yGood—7/96¾L11.0
03 Aug 26Naas5f 205yGood—11/1111¾L19.0
4 wins from 27 · placed 9
Course winner: 2 wins from 9 here
Last ran 4 days ago
Trainer T G McCourt: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Terry Casey: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 1/3Trip 6f: 3/13Course Galloping: 3/19Field 13+: 1/15
Full profile →Jockey Terry CaseyTrainer T G McCourt
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9 (13)
Go Athletico (FR) t
8yo · 9-9 · OR 73
625600 J Gavin Ryan 0% T Adrian McGuinness 4/37 — / 4% 25.0 28.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Sep 26Listowel7f 15yYielding—10/119¾L13.0
22 Aug 26Curragh6fGood—6/105L7.00
09 Aug 26Curragh6fGood To Firm—5/141¼L4.33
3 wins from 28 · placed 9
Course winner: 2 wins from 17 here
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Adrian McGuinness: 4/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Gavin Ryan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 1/8Trip 6f: 1/15Course Galloping: 3/25Field 13+: 1/14
Full profile →Jockey Gavin RyanTrainer Adrian McGuinness
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10 (20)
Michaels Well (IRE) t,b11
3yo · 9-9 · OR 74
21685 J Declan McDonogh 10% T Eddie & Patrick Harty 1/7 — / 2% 40.0 44.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
03 Aug 26Naas5f 205yGood—5/55L5.50
09 May 26Naas6fGood—8/145½L8.00
04 Apr 26Cork5fSoft—6/88½L17.0
1 win from 5 · placed 2
Won 1 of 4 at around this trip
First time in a tongue strap and blinkers
Trainer Eddie & Patrick Harty: 1/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Declan McDonogh: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 1/3Trip 6f: 1/5Course Galloping: 0/5Field 13+: 1/3
Full profile →Jockey Declan McDonoghTrainer Eddie & Patrick Harty
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12 (1)
Jon Riggens (IRE) t,v
8yo · 9-8 · OR 72
076713 J James Ryan 8% T Edward Lynam 0/7 — / 3% 29.0 32.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
07 Jun 26Navan5f 180yGood—1/9—4.50
03 Jun 26Curragh6f 110yYielding—7/206¼L5.00
04 May 26Curragh6fGood—6/202½L11.0
5 wins from 45 · placed 15
Course winner: 3 wins from 27 here
Last ran 25 days ago
Trainer Edward Lynam: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey James Ryan: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 2/7Trip 6f: 3/26Course Galloping: 3/39Field 13+: 3/31
1 expert tipped this horse
Full profile →Jockey James RyanTrainer Edward Lynam
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13 (10)
Gerrits Gem (IRE) b
6yo · 9-6 · OR 70
007034 J Jack Cleary (5) 7% T J G Coogan 0/1 8% / 7% 15.0 16.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
29 Aug 26Curragh6fYielding—3/194½L19.0
09 Aug 26Curragh6fGood To Firm—10/143L41.0
07 Jun 26Navan5f 180yGood—7/97¾L19.0
3 wins from 19 · placed 6
Won 2 of 14 at around this trip
Last ran 25 days ago
Trainer J G Coogan: 0/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jack Cleary: 7% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 1/3Trip 6f: 2/13Course Galloping: 3/17Field 13+: 1/11
Our chance 8% · market 7%
Full profile →Jockey Jack ClearyTrainer J G Coogan
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14 (6)
Nouvel Espoir (IRE)
6yo · 9-6 · OR 70
443222 J Julian Pietropaolo (7) 27% T James M Barcoe 1/5 10% / 10% 9.20 9.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
30 Sep 26Bellewstown5f 3yYielding to soft-soft in places—2/6¾L2.88
21 Sep 26Fairyhouse6fGood—2/171¾L7.00
09 Aug 26Curragh6fGood To Firm—3/14½L15.0
4 wins from 35 · placed 14
12 runs here without a win
Last ran 4 days ago
Trainer James M Barcoe: 1/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Julian Pietropaolo: 27% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 2/7Trip 6f: 1/12Course Galloping: 3/23Field 13+: 3/24
Our chance 10% · market 10%
Full profile →Jockey Julian PietropaoloTrainer James M Barcoe
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15 (12)
Therewillbeglory (IRE)
4yo · 9-6 · OR 70
43022 J Andrew Slattery 6% T Andrew Slattery 7/39 — / 3% 30.0 36.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
26 Jun 26Curragh1mGood—13/207¾L10.0
26 May 26Dundalk1m 2f 110yStandard—3/12½L4.33
20 Oct 25Gowran Park1m 1f 110yHeavy—4/85½L2.10
0 wins from 7 · placed 5
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer Andrew Slattery: 7/39 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Andrew Slattery: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/1Trip 6f: 0/1Course Galloping: 0/5Field 13+: 0/6
Full profile →Jockey Andrew SlatteryTrainer Andrew Slattery
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16 (3)
Apache Outlaw (IRE) t,p
6yo · 9-4 · OR 68
350323 J Adam Caffrey 5% T Adrian McGuinness 4/37 6% / 10% 9.40 9.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Sep 26Listowel7f 15yYielding—3/113L5.50
12 Sep 26Chester7f 127ySoftC42/94½L7.50
01 Aug 26Galway7fYielding—3/13hd5.00
6 wins from 57 · placed 21
Course winner: 1 win from 21 here
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Adrian McGuinness: 4/37 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Adam Caffrey: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/5Trip 6f: 3/28Course Galloping: 2/33Field 13+: 1/29
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 6% · market 10%
Full profile →Jockey Adam CaffreyTrainer Adrian McGuinness
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17 (14)
Apothic Red (IRE) v Our pick
3yo · 9-4 · OR 69
865721 J Sadhbh Tormey (7) 12% T T G McCourt 2/12 17% / 8% 12.0 12.5
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
29 Aug 26Curragh6fYielding—1/19—10.0
05 Aug 26Sligo6fYielding—2/12½L6.00
12 Jun 26Gowran Park7fYielding—7/124½L6.00
1 win from 8 · placed 2
Course winner: 1 win from 5 here
Last ran 36 days ago
Trainer T G McCourt: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Sadhbh Tormey: 12% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/3Trip 6f: 1/6Course Galloping: 1/6Field 13+: 1/6
Our chance 17% · market 8%
Full profile →Jockey Sadhbh TormeyTrainer T G McCourt
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18 (4)
Irish Rumour (IRE) t
6yo · 9-3 · OR 67
050315 J Orla Tynan (7) 0% T Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch 0/6 — / 4% 26.0 30.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
21 Sep 26Fairyhouse6fGood—5/176L5.00
22 Aug 26Curragh6fGood—3/27½L13.0
03 Aug 26Naas7fGood—10/163¾L23.0
1 win from 35 · placed 12
6 runs here without a win
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Orla Tynan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/5Trip 6f: 0/13Course Galloping: 0/18Field 13+: 1/30
Full profile →Jockey Orla TynanTrainer Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
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20 (8)
Noble Nation (IRE) t11
5yo · 9-2 · OR 66
00013 J Gary Carroll 16% T Gerard OLeary 1/9 — / 3% 30.0 32.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Apr 26Curragh5fSoft—3/103¼L5.00
22 Mar 26Naas6fSoft—1/15—5.00
21 Oct 25Curragh6fHeavy—13/1715½L7.00
3 wins from 12 · placed 4
Won 3 of 7 at around this trip
First time in a tongue strap
Trainer Gerard OLeary: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Gary Carroll: 16% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 2/4Trip 6f: 3/8Course Galloping: 2/8Field 13+: 3/11
Full profile →Jockey Gary CarrollTrainer Gerard OLeary
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21 (7)
Venetian Star (IRE) t,b
3yo · 8-13 · OR 64
200505 J Luke McAteer 10% T Patrick T Foley 1/11 — / 4% 23.0 25.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
28 Sep 26Down Royal7f 26yGood—5/144½L9.50
18 Aug 26Roscommon7f 111yGood To Yielding—11/1412L34.0
09 Jul 26Leopardstown7f 50yGood—10/1015½L8.50
0 wins from 13 · placed 4
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 6 days ago
Trainer Patrick T Foley: 1/11 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Luke McAteer: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/5Trip 6f: 0/4Course Galloping: 0/12Field 13+: 0/7
2 experts tipped this horse
Full profile →Jockey Luke McAteerTrainer Patrick T Foley
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22 (23)
Green Kite (IRE)
4yo · 8-11 · OR 61
420458 J Conor Cusack (7) 9% T Kevin Thomas Coleman 0/16 — / 2% 38.0 50.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Sep 26Listowel7f 15yYielding—8/118L9.00
21 Sep 26Listowel1mYielding—5/155¾L6.00
08 Jul 26Fairyhouse7fGood—11/1516¼L12.0
0 wins from 10 · placed 2
1 run here without a win
Last ran 12 days ago
Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman: 0/16 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Conor Cusack: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/2Trip 6f: 0/1Course Galloping: 0/5Field 13+: 0/7
Full profile →Jockey Conor CusackTrainer Kevin Thomas Coleman
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23 (5)
Go Out (FR)
4yo · 8-10 · OR 60
903460 J Jamie Powell 0% T Daniel James Murphy 0/7 — / 1% 90.0 120.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
21 Sep 26Fairyhouse6fGood—10/178¾L10.0
27 Aug 26Navan1m 20yGood—4/131L5.00
15 Jul 26Killarney1m 40yGood—3/143L15.0
0 wins from 15 · placed 5
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Daniel James Murphy: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jamie Powell: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 0/2Trip 6f: 0/6Course Galloping: 0/6Field 13+: 0/8
Full profile →Jockey Jamie PowellTrainer Daniel James Murphy
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24 (24)
Tawaazon (IRE) t,b
8yo · 8-7 · OR 57
594556 J Keithen Kennedy (5) 6% T John Andrew Kinsella 0/3 — / 1% 80.0 140.0
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
19 Sep 26Newcastle5fStandardC66/94L3.50
29 Aug 26Curragh6fYielding—5/195L13.0
23 Aug 26Naas5fGood—5/195L6.00
9 wins from 70 · placed 21
Course winner: 2 wins from 11 here
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer John Andrew Kinsella: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Keithen Kennedy: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Soft: 2/6Trip 6f: 5/36Course Galloping: 3/35Field 13+: 5/40
Full profile →Jockey Keithen KennedyTrainer John Andrew Kinsella
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11
Gotta Catchem All (IRE) Non-runner
19
Mint Man (GB) Non-runner

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