Sunday 4 October › Uttoxeter › 14:36
F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)
Class 4? 1m 7f 168y? Good · GoingStick 4.1? 4YO plus · 7 ran £5,446 to the winner Sunny intervals
9 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:28 BST · #5f025d · updated 14:08 BST (v2)
Three horses stand out at Uttoxeter, but none offers enough extra value to back.
The three realistic contenders are all priced as market favourites, and our view of their chances lines up closely with those prices, leaving no clear edge. The remaining runners carry too many form concerns to make up for their bigger prices, so there's no bet in this race.
How the race should unfold With no obvious pacesetter among the seven runners, the gallop looks likely to be steady, and Tazman Dan may well lead. The race should boil down to a tussle between the market's top three, with the outcome likely settled in the closing stages rather than from the front.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Sytadel The market leader, backed by a yard and jockey combination both in excellent form today, looks a fair standout on current evidence.
32% / 39%
2
Current Edition Heavily backed this morning and well supported by followers, but returns from a six-month absence and his price already reflects the interest.
28% / 18%
3
Larzac Drops sharply in grade after tougher assignments and looks the strongest on ability, but has yet to win and has shown signs of not quite seeing races out.
21% / 34%
4
Tazman Dan Likely to set the pace given the lack of a confirmed front-runner, though he can be free-going and has made jumping errors before.
4% / 1%
Red flags Larzac has never won and has twice failed to find extra when challenged. Tazman Dan is prone to jumping mistakes and racing too freely for his own good. Current Edition returns from a six-month absence, adding a layer of uncertainty.
Expert confidence? 9 experts
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Result Official · time 3m 56.24s · Report
How our analyst did
No bet. Our top-rated contender: Sytadel — 3rd.
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: ?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
F 5 3 2 J Sam Twiston-Davies 33% T N & W Twiston-Davies 8/14 28% / 29% 3.50 3.55
0 wins from 3 · placed 2
3 runs at around this trip without a win
Returns from a 188-day break
Trainer N & W Twiston-Davies: 8/14 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies: 33% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m: 0/4 Course Galloping: 0/1 Class C4: 0/3 Field ≤ 8: 0/3
5 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 28% · market 29%
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3
2 0 6 8 4 0 J Harry Cobden 30% T Faye Bramley 3/10 21% / 37% 2.72 2.74
0 wins from 5 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
Returns from a 159-day break
Trainer Faye Bramley: 3/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Harry Cobden: 30% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/1 Trip 2m: 1/2 Course Galloping: 1/5 Class C4: 1/1 Field ≤ 8: 1/1
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 21% · market 37%
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4
6 5 7 4 J Charlie Hammond 40% T S Edmunds 2/5 4% / 3% 34.0 36.0
0 wins from 4 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
First time in a hood
Trainer S Edmunds: 2/5 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Charlie Hammond: 40% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m: 0/3 Course Galloping: 0/3 Class C4: 0/2 Field ≤ 8: 0/4
Our chance 4% · market 3%
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5
P J James Bowen 33% T M Bowen 1/17 — / 1% 90.0 120.0
0 wins from 5 · placed 2
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer M Bowen: 1/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey James Bowen: 33% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m: 0/1 Course Galloping: 0/3 Class C4: 0/5 Field ≤ 8: 0/2
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6
8 J S Bowen 11% T O Murphy 4/15 — / 2% 50.0 55.0
0 wins from 1 · placed 0
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 42 days ago
Trainer O Murphy: 4/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey S Bowen: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m: 0/2 Course Galloping: 0/2 Class C4: 0/1 Field ≤ 8: 0/1
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7
2 J Harry Skelton 15% T D Skelton 3/22 32% / 28% 3.55 3.60
0 wins from 1 · placed 1
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 24 days ago
Trainer D Skelton: 3/22 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Harry Skelton: 15% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m: 0/2 Course Galloping: 0/2 Class C4: 0/2 Field ≤ 8: 0/1
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 32% · market 28%
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9
3 J Liam Harrison 0% T D Skelton 3/22 — / 1% 90.0 130.0
0 wins from 1 · placed 1
1 run at around this trip without a win
Last ran 30 days ago
Trainer D Skelton: 3/22 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Liam Harrison: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/2 Trip 2m: 0/2 Course Galloping: 0/2 Class C4: 0/1 Field ≤ 8: 0/1
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