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Result Race of the Day 15:30 · Kelso

NSPCC School Service Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Class 2Handicap2m 1f 14yGood-good to firm in places · GoingStick 6.54YO plus · 4 ran£20,812 to the winnerCloudy 14 experts
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Analyst verdict Locked 09:32 BST · #d3b00b · updated 14:53 BST (v2)
Breaking Cover looks the one to beat, with front-running outsider Aeros Luck worth a second look.
Our chance
33% 1 in 3
Market (Betfair)
22% 3.65
Worth it down to
3.05
Confidence
Medium · Tier B
Also backing: Aeros Luck at 4.40 or bigger
How the race should unfoldJust five runners in this two-mile-plus chase on good to firm ground. Aeros Luck looks set to lead from the front, and front-runners have been doing well at this meeting lately. The race could be settled up front, or by a stronger finisher overhauling the leader late on.
1
Breaking Cover
Two wins in a row, including on similar ground, a drop in class, and a trainer and jockey both in good current form.
33% / 22%
2
Ice Jet
The market favourite, but it jumps up sharply in class today against tougher rivals, so its recent winning run may flatter it.
25% / 34%
3
Aeros Luck
Likely to be the only front-runner, knows this course well from past runs here, and gets a big weight allowance today.
23% / 14%
4
Primoz
Fell last time out, has shown jumping mistakes before, and returns from a long break with a modest recent record.
12% / 15%
Red flags
Breaking Cover now faces tougher company than in its last two winning runs.Aeros Luck has won only a small fraction of its races and carries an inexperienced jockey claiming a weight allowance.Aeros Luck's yard has had no winners in its last few runners before this one.
Report a problem 18+ · Bet responsibly

Expert confidence

14 experts
Ice Jet (IRE)
8 experts
Primoz (IRE)
2 experts

Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.

Betfair Exchange · Win

Aeros Luck (IRE)3.453.55
Breaking Cover (IRE)3.653.70
Ice Jet (IRE)4.604.70
Traprain Law (FR)5.807.40
Primoz (IRE)8.208.60
Tommy's Oscar (IRE)9.209.60
Breaking Cover (IRE): 4.00 at 14:31 → 3.70 at 15:29.
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Result

Official · time 4m 07.40s · Report
PosHorseJockeyTrainerBeatenSPBSP
1Breaking Cover (IRE) Our pickChad BamentAnthony Honeyball—3.252.72
2Primoz (IRE)Derek FoxLucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore½L7.505.96
3Aeros Luck (IRE) Our pickMr Lucas MurphySandy Thomson3¾L3.252.48
4Tommy's Oscar (IRE)Danny McMenaminAnn Hamilton5½L8.006.13
How our analyst did
Breaking CoverWonBSP 2.72+1.63 pts to 1 pt stake
Aeros Luck3rdBSP 2.48−1.00 pts to 1 pt stake

Runners

Form, oldest → latest Suitability: strong good untried poor Bookmaker prices — coming soon
1
Tommy's Oscar (IRE) p
11yo · 12-0 · OR 144
42142 J Danny McMenamin 9% T Ann Hamilton 0/2 — / 11% 9.20 9.60

No previous runs on our record.

First run on our record
Returns from a 164-day break
Trainer Ann Hamilton: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Danny McMenamin: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/1Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/1Course Undulating: 0/1Class C2: 0/1Field ≤ 8: 0/1
Full profile →Jockey Danny McMenaminTrainer Ann Hamilton
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2
Breaking Cover (IRE) t Our pick
8yo · 11-9 · OR 139
64411 J Chad Bament (5) 50% T Anthony Honeyball 2/4 33% / 27% 3.65 3.70
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
05 Sep 26Stratford-on-Avon2m 213yGoodC31/5—2.00
27 Aug 26Newton Abbot2m 75yGood To FirmC21/4—4.00
19 Jul 26Stratford-on-Avon2m 213yGood To FirmC24/53½L4.50
7 wins from 20 · placed 14
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Last ran 29 days ago
Trainer Anthony Honeyball: 2/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Chad Bament: 50% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 5/11Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 6/12Course Undulating: 2/6Class C2: 2/4Field ≤ 8: 8/17
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 33% · market 27%
Full profile →Jockey Chad BamentTrainer Anthony Honeyball
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4
Primoz (IRE) t
8yo · 11-1 · OR 131
5631B J Derek Fox 0% T Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 4/34 12% / 12% 8.20 8.60
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
10 Apr 26Aintree2m 5fGood To SoftC1BD—23.0
07 Mar 26Ayr2m 4f 110ySoftC31/6—2.50
21 Feb 26Newcastle2m 4fGood To SoftC33/74¾L11.0
5 wins from 18 · placed 9
Course winner: 1 win from 3 here
Returns from a 177-day break
Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore: 4/34 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Derek Fox: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/4Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/9Course Undulating: 1/6Class C2: 0/1Field ≤ 8: 3/12
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 12% · market 12%
Full profile →Jockey Derek FoxTrainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
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5
Aeros Luck (IRE) t Our pick
7yo · 10-7 · OR 123
62233 J Mr Lucas Murphy (7) 75% T Sandy Thomson 0/3 23% / 29% 3.45 3.55
DateCourseDistGoingClassPosBeatenSP
22 Apr 26Perth2mGoodC33/711¾L6.50
28 Feb 26Kelso2m 1fGood To SoftC33/810¾L7.50
01 Feb 26Musselburgh2mGood To SoftC32/5½L10.0
2 wins from 29 · placed 13
4 runs here without a win
Returns from a 165-day break
Trainer Sandy Thomson: 0/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr Lucas Murphy: 75% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today Going Good: 0/7Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/17Course Undulating: 0/11Class C2: 0/2Field ≤ 8: 1/9
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 23% · market 29%
Full profile →Jockey Mr Lucas MurphyTrainer Sandy Thomson
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3
Traprain Law (FR) Non-runner
6
Ice Jet (IRE) Non-runner

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