Saturday 3 October › Fontwell Park › 16:25
KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap Hurdle
Class 5? Handicap? 2m 1f 162y? Good · GoingStick 5.6? 3YO plus · 8 ran £3,697 to the winner Mostly cloudy
5 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 09:15 BST · #5a29fc · updated 16:10 BST (v2)
Devon Red looks underrated after a close defeat in much tougher company, now dropping sharply in class.
Market (Betfair)?
10% 4.80
Confidence?
How the race should unfold With no obvious pace in this field, expect a tactical race rather than a flat-out gallop from the start. The favourite travels well and is on an upward curve, but looks fairly assessed already. The more interesting angle is a horse stepping down sharply from a far stronger race after running its rival close, returning quickly while in good order.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Birthday Angel The favourite is in good form with an improving mark, but looks fairly assessed with little hidden upside today.
27% / 20%
2
A Tickatickatiming Consistently finishes close to the action but hasn't won for a couple of seasons and failed to complete last spring.
20% / 21%
3
Devon Red Ran a strong race in much tougher company last time and now drops into a weaker race with a quick reappearance.
19% / 10%
4
Crown Of India Well fancied and drawing plenty of support, though the price has drifted since morning and jumping needs to be tidy.
13% / 20%
5
Diamond Egg Returns after a long absence for a stable still chasing its first winner today, adding an extra layer of risk.
7% / 14%
Red flags Devon Red is still a maiden over hurdles despite several attempts. Devon Red tackles a shorter trip today than its last outing, an untested switch. Diamond Egg's long layoff and the yard's lack of recent winners make it harder to trust fully.
Expert confidence? 5 experts
Our analyst and the proven experts disagree: the experts lean elsewhere.
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Result Official · time 4m 31.67s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: ?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
0 0 7 5 1 6 J Ellis Collier (5) 20% T Syd Hosie 0/4 — / 1% 140.0 170.0
2 wins from 18 · placed 3
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer Syd Hosie: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ellis Collier: 20% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/3 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2 Course Tight: 0/6 Class C5: 0/2 Field ≤ 8: 0/3
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2
U 5 P 1 1 5 J Rex Dingle 100% T Lydia Richards 1/1 27% / 22% 4.60 4.70
3 wins from 23 · placed 7
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 24 days ago
Trainer Lydia Richards: 1/1 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rex Dingle: 100% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 3/6 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/1 Course Tight: 3/10 Class C5: 3/10 Field ≤ 8: 3/12
Our chance 27% · market 22%
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3
9 4 2 4 2 9 J Jack Quinlan 0% T Nick Scholfield 1/9 19% / 21% 4.80 4.90
0 wins from 5 · placed 2
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 8 days ago
Trainer Nick Scholfield: 1/9 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Jack Quinlan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/5 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/3 Course Tight: 0/4 Class C5: 0/2 Field ≤ 8: 0/4
Our chance 19% · market 21%
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5
1 5 1 2 3 8 J Ben Godfrey 0% T Daisy Hitchins 0/4 — / 2% 38.0 44.0
10 wins from 65 · placed 36
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Last ran 15 days ago
Trainer Daisy Hitchins: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ben Godfrey: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 6/36 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 5/30 Course Tight: 4/30 Class C5: 7/37 Field ≤ 8: 6/32
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6
6 9 1 2 2 6 J Bryan Carver 0% T Alex Hales 0/2 13% / 21% 4.80 4.90
2 wins from 22 · placed 9
First time at this course and trip
Last ran 41 days ago
Trainer Alex Hales: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Bryan Carver: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 2/12 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/3 Course Tight: 0/7 Class C5: 0/6 Field ≤ 8: 1/10
3 experts tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
Our chance 13% · market 21%
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7
2 2 5 4 6 4 J Robbie David (5) 0% T Daisy Hitchins 0/4 — / 6% 17.5 18.0
0 wins from 4 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
First time in a hood
Trainer Daisy Hitchins: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Robbie David: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/3 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2 Course Tight: 0/5 Class C5: 0/1 Field ≤ 8: 0/3
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8
3 1 6 0 P 2 J Bradley Harris (3) 0% T N P Mulholland 0/13 7% / 8% 12.5 13.0
2 wins from 11 · placed 5
First time at this course and trip
First time in a hood and a tongue strap
Trainer N P Mulholland: 0/13 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Bradley Harris: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 2/7 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/2 Course Tight: 0/6 Class C5: 1/4 Field ≤ 8: 2/5
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 7% · market 8%
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9
4 3 P 4 5 4 J Marc Goldstein 0% T Sheena West 0/6 20% / 21% 4.80 4.90
2 wins from 26 · placed 11
Won 1 of 4 at around this trip
Returns from a 83-day break
Trainer Sheena West: 0/6 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Marc Goldstein: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 1/12 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/10 Course Tight: 2/20 Class C5: 1/15 Field ≤ 8: 1/17
Our chance 20% · market 21%
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