No clear market opening here, with Royal Hollow the yardstick in a tricky mares' hurdle.
The favourite appears fairly assessed, and none of the others make a strong enough case that the market has got them wrong. With no clear edge anywhere in this field, it's better to let this race pass.
How the race should unfoldThree runners look keen to lead - Gino Bella, Likealightswitch and Speisialta - so the gallop could be stronger than ideal for them, and they may end up racing too closely together. Royal Hollow, with the strongest overall form, looks the one best suited to tracking that pace and arriving late.
#Contender and why we differ from the marketOurs ■ vs market ■Win chance
Her rating is at a career high and recent form has held up well, though she's close to fully exposed on the handicapper's figures and must share an early pace battle with two others.
She's usually the one forcing the pace, but a flat run last time, finishing well down the field, and a tendency to make jumping errors raise questions.
A career-best rating and a similar-distance win over the summer give her claims, but support for her has clearly dried up heading into the race.
10%/ 13%
Red flags
Royal Hollow is a short-priced favourite with little room for error or value.Three horses look keen to set the pace, which adds uncertainty to how the race is run.Speisialta's last run was well below her best and jumping errors have been a recurring issue.