Friday 2 October › Hexham › 14:13
Result
Race of the Day
14:13 · Hexham
Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle
Class 5? Handicap? 2m 4f 28y? Good-good to firm in places · GoingStick 7.5? 3YO plus · 6 ran £4,938 to the winner Overcast
3 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 10:19 BST · #d97fb0 · updated 13:28 BST (v2)
Knockeranna Rose looks the value pick in a wide-open novice hurdle at Hexham.
Market (Betfair)?
11% 6.40
Confidence?
How the race should unfold No horse looks likely to dominate the pace, so the race should be steadily run and decided late. Dante's Inferno and Drumlee Myth have solid form claims, but Knockeranna Rose, eased in the weights and reunited with a jockey who has placed her twice this summer, looks best placed to finish strongest.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Dante's Inferno A fair favourite after a close second last time and with the same successful jockey booked, but a quick turnaround leaves little value in the price.
40% / 40%
2
Drumlee Myth Carries career-best form but was sent off favourite last time and ran below expectations, so the current price looks about right rather than tempting.
22% / 25%
3
Knockeranna Rose Disappointing last time after a long break, but the same jockey has placed her twice this summer, the yard is in form, and she drops in the weights today.
18% / 11%
4
Order Another One Looks capable on paper but her ability falls short of her official rating, and the price is drifting out, so there's little appeal here.
7% / 12%
Red flags Her last run was well below her best form, so a genuine dip in form can't be ruled out. She has had over three months off, so it's hard to know what shape she'll be in. Her only previous run at this course was well down the field.
Expert confidence? 3 experts
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Result Official · time 4m 12.08s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: ?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1
8 6 5 9 1 6 J Mr N McParlan (3) 50% T S McParlan 1/3 22% / 28% 3.55 3.60
1 win from 10 · placed 4
1 run here without a win
Last ran 48 days ago
Trainer S McParlan: 1/3 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Mr N McParlan: 50% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 2/6 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 1/5 Course Stiff: 1/2 Class C5: 2/5 Field ≤ 8: 1/2
Our chance 22% · market 28%
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2
4 4 1 7 5 4 J Ryan Mania 0% T Dianne Sayer 0/4 7% / 10% 10.5 11.0
0 wins from 3 · placed 0
First time at this course and trip
Returns from a 74-day break
Trainer Dianne Sayer: 0/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ryan Mania: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/4 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/3 Course Stiff: 0/1 Class C5: 0/1 Field ≤ 8: 0/3
Our chance 7% · market 10%
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3
4 8 3 2 4 0 J Conor Rabbitt (3) 0% T S Corbett 1/10 18% / 15% 6.40 6.60
0 wins from 12 · placed 3
4 runs here without a win
Returns from a 103-day break
Trainer S Corbett: 1/10 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Conor Rabbitt: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/6 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/8 Course Stiff: 0/8 Class C5: 0/8 Field ≤ 8: 0/8
1 expert tipped this horse
Our chance 18% · market 15%
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4
3 5 5 P 7 6 J Leah Noreci (7) 0% T Gillian Boanas 0/2 — / 4% 26.0 29.0
0 wins from 22 · placed 7
1 run here without a win
Last ran 29 days ago
Trainer Gillian Boanas: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Leah Noreci: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/9 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/4 Course Stiff: 0/3 Class C5: 0/10 Field ≤ 8: 0/9
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6
3 4 4 7 6 2 J David Noonan 0% T Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay 1/4 40% / 39% 2.56 2.58
0 wins from 14 · placed 4
2 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 6 days ago
Trainer Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay: 1/4 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey David Noonan: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/13 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/7 Course Stiff: 0/1 Class C5: 0/10 Field ≤ 8: 0/5
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 40% · market 39%
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7
4 P 8 5 8 P J Oscar Palmer (7) 0% T Philip Kirby 0/21 — / 5% 21.0 23.0
0 wins from 24 · placed 6
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 23 days ago
Trainer Philip Kirby: 0/21 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Oscar Palmer: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Good: 0/11 Trip 2m1f–2m4f: 0/7 Course Stiff: 0/5 Class C5: 0/22 Field ≤ 8: 0/10
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