Friday 2 October › Wolverhampton › 15:16
Franklin Hodge Handicap (Div 1)
Class 5? Handicap? 6f 20y? Standard? 3YO plus · 10 ran £3,978 to the winner Light cloud
3 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 10:23 BST · #fc1fda · updated 14:31 BST (v2)
Miracleoftheandes looks the biggest value in a race with no obvious pace-setter.
Market (Betfair)?
13% 5.20
Confidence?
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfold Ten runners line up with no out-and-out leader, and in this race taking it up early is a real advantage. Miracleoftheandes is one of only two with a genuine front-running style and won over this very course and distance a month ago. The favourite, Diamondinthedark, looks solid but fairly assessed, without a clear edge either way.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Miracleoftheandes Won last time out over this exact course and distance a month ago, and is one of the few who can take the lead early.
20% / 13%
2
Diamondinthedark The market favourite with consistent form and a previous course win, though its stable has been struggling for winners lately.
17% / 18%
3
Style King Last run was poor and the case for it looks weaker than its current price suggests.
12% / 12%
4
Sargent Dennis Seems to have more raw ability than its official rating shows, but the yard is in a lengthy losing run.
11% / 12%
5
Hayynah No strong case for or against; its chance looks roughly in line with its price.
9% / 8%
Red flags Limited experience with only six starts and one win, and that win came at a big price, so it may have come against a weak field. Its rating only rose slightly after that win, so it is not certain the rise in form was missed by the handicapper. The price has already shortened since the morning, meaning some of the early advantage may already be gone.
Expert confidence? 3 experts
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Wolverhampton 5f–6f?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Led 1.68 1.85 2.72 Prominent 1.16 1.19 1.19 Mid-div 1.03 0.72 0.90 Held up 0.18 0.62 0.56
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 1m 13.68s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (10)
3 7 1 5 8 9
J Tom Kiely-Marshall (3) 3%
T Miss J A Camacho 1/18
— / 3%
29.0 34.0
11 wins from 53 · placed 20
Won 6 of 30 at around this trip
Last ran 33 days ago
Trainer Miss J A Camacho: 1/18 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall: 3% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 2/15 Trip 6f: 6/33 Course AW: 2/15 Class C5: 4/26 Field 9–12: 6/29
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2 (7)
2 1 8 2 6 3
J Billy Loughnane 17%
T Mark Loughnane 0/17
17% / 17%
5.90 6.00
1 win from 6 · placed 4
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 11 days ago
Trainer Mark Loughnane: 0/17 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Billy Loughnane: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 1/5 Trip 6f: 1/6 Course AW: 1/5 Class C5: 1/7 Field 9–12: 1/3
Our chance 17% · market 17%
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3 (8)
4 3 3 1 6
J Alfie Redman (7) 14%
T A M Balding 7/62
— / 3%
32.0 38.0
1 win from 5 · placed 3
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Returns from a 147-day break
Trainer A M Balding: 7/62 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Alfie Redman: 14% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 1/6 Trip 6f: 1/4 Course AW: 1/6 Class C5: 1/3 Field 9–12: 0/1
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4 (2)
1 7 0 5 0 6
J Harry Vigors (5) 6%
T Ollie Sangster 3/20
9% / 8%
12.5 13.5
1 win from 11 · placed 5
2 runs here without a win
Last ran 14 days ago
Trainer Ollie Sangster: 3/20 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Harry Vigors: 6% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 1/6 Trip 6f: 0/8 Course AW: 1/6 Class C5: 0/5 Field 9–12: 1/8
Our chance 9% · market 8%
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5 (5)
3 1 2 2 1 0
J Harry Davies 8%
T Chris Dwyer 2/7
12% / 17%
6.00 6.20
3 wins from 24 · placed 9
Course winner: 1 win from 7 here
Last ran 13 days ago
Trainer Chris Dwyer: 2/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Harry Davies: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 4/19 Trip 6f: 3/19 Course AW: 4/19 Class C5: 4/15 Field 9–12: 2/15
Our chance 12% · market 17%
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6 (1)
2 1 7 8 4 0
J David Probert 4%
T Jack Channon 1/15
11% / 15%
6.60 6.80
1 win from 8 · placed 3
Won 1 of 7 at around this trip
First time in a visor
Trainer Jack Channon: 1/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey David Probert: 4% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/6 Trip 6f: 1/8 Course AW: 0/6 Class C5: 1/7 Field 9–12: 1/6
Our chance 11% · market 15%
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7 (4)
8 4 2 5 6 1
J Luke Morris 11%
T Warren Greatrex 4/15
20% / 19%
5.20 5.30
1 win from 6 · placed 2
Course winner: 1 win from 1 here
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer Warren Greatrex: 4/15 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Luke Morris: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 1/2 Trip 6f: 1/4 Course AW: 1/2 Class C5: 1/3 Field 9–12: 0/3
2 experts tipped this horse
Our chance 20% · market 19%
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8 (6)
9 4 2 4 0 5
J Ray Dawson 9%
T Grace Harris 2/12
— / 11%
9.20 9.60
1 win from 14 · placed 3
Won 1 of 10 at around this trip
First time in cheekpieces
Trainer Grace Harris: 2/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ray Dawson: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/3 Trip 6f: 1/11 Course AW: 0/3 Class C5: 1/11 Field 9–12: 1/9
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9 (9)
4 4 5 5 7 3
J Rob Hornby 11%
T C Johnston 6/47
— / 6%
16.0 16.5
2 wins from 25 · placed 7
Won 2 of 16 at around this trip
First time in a visor
Trainer C Johnston: 6/47 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Rob Hornby: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 0/11 Trip 6f: 2/16 Course AW: 0/11 Class C5: 0/5 Field 9–12: 0/8
1 expert tipped this horse
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10 (3)
0 0 8 6 1 8
J Kieran O'Neill 11%
T S Dixon 1/28
— / 2%
40.0 46.0
3 wins from 33 · placed 8
Won 2 of 8 at around this trip
Last ran 39 days ago
Trainer S Dixon: 1/28 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Kieran O'Neill: 11% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going AW: 2/21 Trip 6f: 2/9 Course AW: 2/21 Class C5: 0/11 Field 9–12: 3/21
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