Wednesday 30 September › Catterick › 15:42
Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1)
Class 5? Handicap? 7f 6y? Good to firm · GoingStick 7.9? 3YO plus · 10 ran £4,187 to the winner Sunny
8 experts
Analyst verdict
Locked 10:06 BST · #43c7fb · updated 14:56 BST (v2)
Golden Strike looks the value pick as a well-fancied favourite dropping in class today.
Market (Betfair)?
41% 2.84
Confidence?
Medium · Tier B
How the race should unfold Two horses look keen to lead, and the fight for the front is likely to tire them out, setting things up for horses racing just behind - a group that includes the favourite.
# Contender and why we differ from the market Ours ■ vs market ■ Win chance
1
Golden Strike The favourite finished a close second at a higher level last time and drops in class today, with the same jockey who has won on him before.
40% / 41%
2
Masaban Masaban won last time out and is popular in the betting, but the handicapper has raised his mark, leaving little room for improvement.
27% / 21%
3
Diamont Katie Diamont Katie's trainer has a notably strong record at this course, which helps make up for form that has been just moderate.
10% / 9%
4
Beyond The Bar Beyond The Bar looks likely to set the pace and has won over this course and distance before, though recent form has been fading.
6% / 10%
5
Lady Gormire Lady Gormire has won at this course and distance before and has an excuse for her last run, but her stable is out of form.
4% / 6%
Red flags The favourite's price has drifted slightly this morning, showing the market isn't fully backing it. The field is fairly small, so treat the confidence level with some caution. Masaban's price has already tightened sharply after his last win, leaving little value there.
Expert confidence? 8 experts
Our analyst and the proven experts disagree: the experts lean elsewhere.
Dots weigh how many experts tipped a horse by each expert's long-term record. We track public tipsters and never show names.
Track bias · Catterick 7f?
Winners vs expected (A/E), 10+ runners, last 3 seasons
Low draw Middle High draw
Prominent 1.13 1.44 1.14 Mid-div 0.33 0.58 — Held up 1.00 0.00 0.00
Above 1.00 = wins more often than the market expects.
Result Official · time 1m 24.66s · Report
Runners
Form, oldest → latest?
Suitability: strong good untried poor?
Bookmaker prices — coming soon
No (draw) Horse · age · weight · OR Form Jockey · 14 days Trainer · 14 days Experts Ours / market Back / Lay
1 (4)
0 1 7 5 3 2
J O J Orr 8%
T R A Fahey 3/34
40% / 35%
2.84 2.86
4 wins from 19 · placed 9
Won 2 of 12 at around this trip
Last ran 11 days ago
Trainer R A Fahey: 3/34 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey O J Orr: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/2 Trip 7f: 2/13 Course Tight: 1/2 Class C5: 3/8 Field 9–12: 0/9
2 experts tipped this horse · 2 with a strong record
Our chance 40% · market 35%
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2 (5)
3 4 2 0 2 7
J Shane Gray 40%
T K R Burke 4/33
10% / 10%
10.5 11.0
2 wins from 19 · placed 8
1 run here without a win
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer K R Burke: 4/33 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Shane Gray: 40% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/4 Trip 7f: 1/9 Course Tight: 1/7 Class C5: 3/14 Field 9–12: 1/8
Our chance 10% · market 10%
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3 (8)
2 2 5 1 0 7
J D Swift 0%
T S Spencer 0/7
— / 1%
100.0 130.0
6 wins from 40 · placed 14
Won 1 of 15 at around this trip
Last ran 42 days ago
Trainer S Spencer: 0/7 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Swift: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/7 Trip 7f: 1/16 Course Tight: 0/3 Class C5: 2/21 Field 9–12: 3/22
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4 (2)
7 5 1 5 7 9
J D Allan 17%
T T D Easterby 14/78
6% / 7%
13.0 14.0
2 wins from 11 · placed 4
Course winner: 1 win from 2 here
Last ran 37 days ago
Trainer T D Easterby: 14/78 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Allan: 17% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/5 Trip 7f: 1/6 Course Tight: 1/5 Class C5: 1/5 Field 9–12: 2/7
Our chance 6% · market 7%
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5 (3)
1 3 5 2 3 1
J D Tudhope 26%
T E Bethell 2/26
27% / 32%
3.10 3.20
2 wins from 9 · placed 5
Won 1 of 3 at around this trip
Last ran 18 days ago
Trainer E Bethell: 2/26 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey D Tudhope: 26% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/4 Trip 7f: 1/4 Course Tight: 2/5 Class C5: 1/5 Field 9–12: 1/4
3 experts tipped this horse · 3 with a strong record
Our chance 27% · market 32%
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6 (1)
2 3 2 5 1 0
J Connor Beasley 9%
T M Dods 0/27
4% / 7%
13.5 14.5
1 win from 8 · placed 5
Course winner: 1 win from 4 here
Last ran 19 days ago
Trainer M Dods: 0/27 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Connor Beasley: 9% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/4 Trip 7f: 1/5 Course Tight: 1/6 Class C5: 0/4 Field 9–12: 0/3
Our chance 4% · market 7%
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7 (9)
7 1 4 7 9 5
J Ethan Tindall (5) 0%
T John David Riches 0/2
— / 3%
30.0 32.0
9 wins from 61 · placed 20
Course winner: 4 wins from 8 here
Last ran 16 days ago
Trainer John David Riches: 0/2 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Ethan Tindall: 0% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/8 Trip 7f: 5/24 Course Tight: 6/22 Class C5: 6/24 Field 9–12: 5/39
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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8 (6)
3 0 1 3 5 8
J Joanna Mason 10%
T Roger Fell 1/12
— / 3%
30.0 34.0
4 wins from 29 · placed 12
2 runs at around this trip without a win
Last ran 16 days ago
Trainer Roger Fell: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Joanna Mason: 10% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/10 Trip 7f: 0/3 Course Tight: 0/7 Class C5: 2/16 Field 9–12: 3/15
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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9 (7)
3 3 0 4 7 0
J T Eaves 5%
T Craig Lidster 1/12
— / 2%
50.0 60.0
1 win from 17 · placed 8
Won 1 of 10 at around this trip
First time in cheekpieces
Trainer Craig Lidster: 1/12 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey T Eaves: 5% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 1/5 Trip 7f: 1/10 Course Tight: 1/6 Class C5: 1/8 Field 9–12: 0/11
1 expert tipped this horse · 1 with a strong record
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10 (10)
2 3 3 1 3 9
J Billy Garritty 8%
T Liam Bailey 1/8
— / 0%
220.0 420.0
2 wins from 28 · placed 13
3 runs here without a win
Last ran 22 days ago
Trainer Liam Bailey: 1/8 winners from runners in the last 14 days
Jockey Billy Garritty: 8% strike rate in the last 14 days
Suits today?
Going Firm: 0/6 Trip 7f: 0/11 Course Tight: 0/7 Class C5: 0/8 Field 9–12: 0/19
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